PFR

New York Jets vs. Buffalo BillsWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Highmark Stadium · Bills at homeAFC East division game

The ratings project Buffalo Bills 31, New York Jets 19 (BUF -12.4) and give the Bills a 83% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Jets vs. Bills prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 22
New York Jets

2-7 · No. 31 in the ratings

19
Buffalo Bills

7-1 · No. 2 in the ratings

31
NYJ 17%Win probability83% BUF
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadBUF -12.4——
Total49.8——
Win prob.BUF 83%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatNYJBUF
Record2-77-1
Division3rd, AFC E1st, AFC E
Rating-5.131+5.82
Adj Off20.32727.91
Adj Def25.42722.112
Points per game20.22532.01
Points allowed per game24.82023.416
Playoff odds0%100%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Jets vs. Bills matchup stats season to date

When the Jets have the ball

StatNYJoffBUFdef
Yards per pass attempt6.1186.013
Yards per rush4.3164.09
Starting field positionOwn 327Own 3118
EPA per play+0.00317+0.01917
Adj. EPA per play-0.02422-0.0318
Success rate44.6%1145.7%25
Passing EPA per play+0.09415+0.07116
Rushing EPA per play-0.13721-0.08617
CPOE4.24-3.54
Explosive play rate9.3%78.5%18
Points per game20.22523.416
Points per drive2.02222.1714
Red zone TD rate50.0%2966.7%20
3rd down conversion35.4%2638.6%12
Turnovers per game0.7861.5010
Sack rate8.5%284.8%23
Penalties per game8.1257.316

When the Bills have the ball

StatBUFoffNYJdef
Yards per pass attempt7.536.115
Yards per rush4.884.317
Starting field positionOwn 342Own 3117
EPA per play+0.1403+0.05825
Adj. EPA per play+0.0771+0.04327
Success rate47.7%647.2%30
Passing EPA per play+0.2503+0.19530
Rushing EPA per play-0.0014-0.12210
CPOE4.06-0.019
Explosive play rate11.6%18.3%16
Points per game32.0124.820
Points per drive3.0112.4525
Red zone TD rate69.0%771.0%25
3rd down conversion43.2%842.3%23
Turnovers per game1.50221.1122
Sack rate5.7%176.6%11
Penalties per game8.5305.631

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Jets and Bills recent results

New York Jets

Wk 9@Kansas City ChiefsL12-35
Wk 8vsLas Vegas RaidersL33-38
Wk 7vsMiami DolphinsL25-28
Wk 6@New England PatriotsL19-26
Wk 5vsCleveland BrownsW17-12

Buffalo Bills

Wk 9@Minnesota VikingsW23-6
Wk 8vsBaltimore RavensW36-10
Wk 6@Las Vegas RaidersW33-30
Wk 5@Los Angeles RamsW37-34OT
Wk 4vsNew England PatriotsL26-29

Players to watch season totals

New York Jets

  • Geno SmithQB · #7183/271, 2,078 yds, 12 TD, 3 INT
  • Braelon AllenRB · #0120 car, 598 yds, 3 TD
  • Garrett WilsonWR · #543 rec, 527 yds, 3 TD
  • Kenyon SadiqTE · #1621 rec, 235 yds, 1 TD

Buffalo Bills

  • Josh AllenQB · #17156/236, 2,027 yds, 12 TD, 6 INT
  • James CookRB · #4169 car, 814 yds, 8 TD
  • Khalil ShakirWR · #1031 rec, 412 yds, 1 TD
  • Dalton KincaidTE · #8630 rec, 429 yds, 2 TD

Jets vs. Bills: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Jets vs. Bills?
The ratings project New York Jets 19, Buffalo Bills 31, 49.8 total points.
Who is favored, the Jets or the Bills?
The ratings make the Bills 12.4-point favorites with a 83% chance to win.
When and where is Jets vs. Bills?
Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at Highmark Stadium, the Bills' home field.

More Week 18 predictions

All Week 18 gamesNew York JetsBuffalo BillsWeek 10 meeting at NYJ