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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis ColtsWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Lucas Oil Stadium · Colts at homeAFC South division game

The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 28, Indianapolis Colts 19 (JAX -9.0) and give the Jaguars a 75% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Jaguars vs. Colts prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 43
Jacksonville Jaguars

6-2 · No. 1 in the ratings

28
Indianapolis Colts

2-7 · No. 23 in the ratings

19
JAX 75%Win probability25% IND
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadJAX -9.0——
Total46.2——
Win prob.JAX 75%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatJAXIND
Record6-22-7
Division1st, AFC S3rd, AFC S
Rating+7.41-3.023
Adj Off26.2222.020
Adj Def18.8225.125
Points per game28.6420.424
Points allowed per game15.1227.730
Playoff odds99%0%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Jaguars vs. Colts matchup stats season to date

When the Jaguars have the ball

StatJAXoffINDdef
Yards per pass attempt7.627.230
Yards per rush4.2185.229
Starting field positionOwn 328Own 3226
EPA per play+0.1135+0.05022
Adj. EPA per play+0.0564+0.01420
Success rate46.3%942.8%12
Passing EPA per play+0.2315+0.10121
Rushing EPA per play-0.0279-0.02032
CPOE2.47-2.37
Explosive play rate9.5%69.9%30
Points per game28.6427.730
Points per drive2.7272.4024
Red zone TD rate75.8%273.5%28
3rd down conversion46.4%332.4%5
Turnovers per game0.7540.6731
Sack rate4.9%115.9%16
Penalties per game7.3177.812

When the Colts have the ball

StatINDoffJAXdef
Yards per pass attempt4.8316.622
Yards per rush4.3173.86
Starting field positionOwn 3116Own 298
EPA per play-0.11830-0.1093
Adj. EPA per play-0.06130-0.0663
Success rate42.3%2041.1%5
Passing EPA per play-0.18932-0.0673
Rushing EPA per play-0.0136-0.1843
CPOE-4.1294.328
Explosive play rate7.6%206.8%6
Points per game20.42415.12
Points per drive2.15182.1612
Red zone TD rate63.0%1750.0%4
3rd down conversion36.9%2234.0%6
Turnovers per game1.89291.883
Sack rate7.1%225.1%19
Penalties per game6.038.83

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Jaguars and Colts recent results

Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk 9@Baltimore RavensW33-10
Wk 8vsIndianapolis ColtsW42-7
Wk 6NHouston TexansL31-34
Wk 5NPhiladelphia EaglesW19-17
Wk 4@Cincinnati BengalsW22-17

Indianapolis Colts

Wk 9vsDallas CowboysL23-27
Wk 8@Jacksonville JaguarsL7-42
Wk 7@Minnesota VikingsL10-16
Wk 6vsTennessee TitansL20-26
Wk 5@Pittsburgh SteelersL22-34

Players to watch season totals

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Trevor LawrenceQB · #16146/224, 1,932 yds, 18 TD, 4 INT
  • Bhayshul TutenRB · #33122 car, 521 yds, 4 TD
  • Brenton StrangeTE · #8530 rec, 356 yds, 1 TD
  • Parker WashingtonWR · #1129 rec, 493 yds, 5 TD

Indianapolis Colts

  • Daniel JonesQB · #17182/302, 1,722 yds, 6 TD, 10 INT
  • Jonathan TaylorRB · #28161 car, 656 yds, 8 TD
  • Keenan AllenWR40 rec, 351 yds, 1 TD
  • Tyler WarrenTE · #8438 rec, 275 yds, 2 TD

Jaguars vs. Colts: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Jaguars vs. Colts?
The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 28, Indianapolis Colts 19, 46.2 total points.
Who is favored, the Jaguars or the Colts?
The ratings make the Jaguars 9.0-point favorites with a 75% chance to win.
When and where is Jaguars vs. Colts?
Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium, the Colts' home field.

More Week 18 predictions

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