PFR

Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina PanthersWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Bank of America Stadium · Panthers at homeNFC South division game

The ratings project Carolina Panthers 25, Atlanta Falcons 24 (CAR -1.4) and give the Panthers a 54% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Falcons vs. Panthers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 47
Atlanta Falcons

3-6 · No. 20 in the ratings

24
Carolina Panthers

3-5 · No. 22 in the ratings

25
ATL 46%Win probability54% CAR
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadCAR -1.4——
Total48.4——
Win prob.CAR 54%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatATLCAR
Record3-63-5
Division4th, NFC S1st, NFC S
Rating-2.120-2.322
Adj Off21.62423.316
Adj Def23.82025.629
Points per game20.92324.911
Points allowed per game24.82027.428
Playoff odds13%21%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Falcons vs. Panthers matchup stats season to date

When the Falcons have the ball

StatATLoffCARdef
Yards per pass attempt6.1195.810
Yards per rush4.944.726
Starting field positionOwn 2832Own 3224
EPA per play-0.06124+0.05023
Adj. EPA per play-0.03124+0.03225
Success rate43.6%1545.0%23
Passing EPA per play-0.10328+0.12623
Rushing EPA per play-0.0085-0.06624
CPOE-6.532-0.515
Explosive play rate8.6%156.5%4
Points per game20.92327.428
Points per drive2.5482.7031
Red zone TD rate62.5%19—
3rd down conversion34.9%2747.7%31
Turnovers per game1.78271.634
Sack rate5.2%123.6%32
Penalties per game6.788.83

When the Panthers have the ball

StatCARoffATLdef
Yards per pass attempt6.2176.114
Yards per rush4.4124.623
Starting field positionOwn 3115Own 3429
EPA per play+0.02613+0.00014
Adj. EPA per play+0.00314+0.00215
Success rate42.5%1944.4%21
Passing EPA per play+0.08317+0.05315
Rushing EPA per play-0.08414-0.08220
CPOE1.1153.425
Explosive play rate8.7%139.2%23
Points per game24.91124.820
Points per drive2.39102.1613
Red zone TD rate69.7%564.9%17
3rd down conversion37.7%1942.6%24
Turnovers per game1.25161.2218
Sack rate7.1%235.5%18
Penalties per game8.8317.219

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Falcons and Panthers recent results

Atlanta Falcons

Wk 9NCincinnati BengalsL17-34
Wk 8@Tampa Bay BuccaneersL0-16
Wk 7vsSan Francisco 49ersW29-20
Wk 6vsChicago BearsL23-31
Wk 5vsBaltimore RavensL23-30OT

Carolina Panthers

Wk 9vsDenver BroncosL21-26
Wk 8@Green Bay PackersL19-27
Wk 7vsTampa Bay BuccaneersL13-43
Wk 6@Philadelphia EaglesW25-14
Wk 4vsDetroit LionsW32-26

Players to watch season totals

Atlanta Falcons

  • Michael Penix Jr.QB · #9124/199, 1,444 yds, 10 TD, 6 INT
  • Bijan RobinsonRB · #7169 car, 880 yds, 5 TD
  • Drake LondonWR · #544 rec, 692 yds, 1 TD
  • Kyle PittsTE · #825 rec, 220 yds, 4 TD

Carolina Panthers

  • Bryce YoungQB · #9186/308, 2,197 yds, 16 TD, 6 INT
  • Chuba HubbardRB · #30134 car, 619 yds, 5 TD
  • Tetairoa McMillanWR · #446 rec, 625 yds, 3 TD
  • Jalen CokerWR · #1831 rec, 393 yds, 3 TD

Falcons vs. Panthers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Falcons vs. Panthers?
The ratings project Atlanta Falcons 24, Carolina Panthers 25, 48.4 total points.
Who is favored, the Falcons or the Panthers?
The ratings make the Panthers 1.4-point favorites with a 54% chance to win.
When and where is Falcons vs. Panthers?
Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at Bank of America Stadium, the Panthers' home field.

More Week 18 predictions

All Week 18 gamesAtlanta FalconsCarolina PanthersWeek 2 meeting at ATL