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Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati BengalsWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Paycor Stadium · Bengals at homeAFC North division game

The ratings project Cincinnati Bengals 27, Cleveland Browns 19 (CIN -8.2) and give the Bengals a 74% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Browns vs. Bengals prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 30
Cleveland Browns

5-4 · No. 26 in the ratings

19
Cincinnati Bengals

6-2 · No. 6 in the ratings

27
CLE 27%Win probability74% CIN
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadCIN -8.2——
Total46.3——
Win prob.CIN 74%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatCLECIN
Record5-46-2
Division3rd, AFC N2nd, AFC N
Rating-3.526+3.26
Adj Off19.82926.22
Adj Def23.21723.016
Points per game17.92930.02
Points allowed per game21.81221.914
Playoff odds22%95%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Browns vs. Bengals matchup stats season to date

When the Browns have the ball

StatCLEoffCINdef
Yards per pass attempt5.9216.218
Yards per rush3.9265.231
Starting field positionOwn 2928Own 271
EPA per play-0.06625+0.00916
Adj. EPA per play-0.04125+0.01621
Success rate42.0%2345.0%24
Passing EPA per play+0.02122+0.03813
Rushing EPA per play-0.22829-0.04327
CPOE-0.620-0.118
Explosive play rate7.4%239.0%21
Points per game17.92921.914
Points per drive1.59292.1211
Red zone TD rate—50.0%4
3rd down conversion34.2%2947.5%30
Turnovers per game1.33191.634
Sack rate10.1%326.7%9
Penalties per game9.1329.12

When the Bengals have the ball

StatCINoffCLEdef
Yards per pass attempt7.355.65
Yards per rush4.0244.828
Starting field positionOwn 343Own 3123
EPA per play+0.1442-0.01911
Adj. EPA per play+0.0732+0.00618
Success rate50.8%242.7%11
Passing EPA per play+0.2622-0.0109
Rushing EPA per play-0.10117-0.03229
CPOE9.71-1.010
Explosive play rate8.8%1210.2%32
Points per game30.0221.812
Points per drive2.8051.999
Red zone TD rate71.8%455.6%9
3rd down conversion53.6%139.4%17
Turnovers per game1.13121.2218
Sack rate4.5%97.4%5
Penalties per game6.996.128

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Browns and Bengals recent results

Cleveland Browns

Wk 9@New Orleans SaintsL22-23OT
Wk 8@Pittsburgh SteelersL6-27
Wk 7@Tennessee TitansW27-24
Wk 6vsBaltimore RavensW13-10
Wk 5@New York JetsL12-17

Cincinnati Bengals

Wk 9NAtlanta FalconsW34-17
Wk 8vsTennessee TitansW43-36OT
Wk 7@Baltimore RavensW35-13
Wk 5@Miami DolphinsW31-24
Wk 4vsJacksonville JaguarsL17-22

Players to watch season totals

Cleveland Browns

  • Deshaun WatsonQB · #4163/249, 1,806 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT
  • Quinshon JudkinsRB · #10116 car, 385 yds, 3 TD
  • Harold Fannin Jr.TE · #4437 rec, 453 yds, 4 TD
  • KC ConcepcionWR · #137 rec, 437 yds, 1 TD

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Joe BurrowQB · #9219/296, 2,386 yds, 23 TD, 6 INT
  • Chase BrownRB · #30103 car, 397 yds, 1 TD
  • Ja'Marr ChaseWR · #153 rec, 647 yds, 7 TD
  • Tee HigginsWR · #548 rec, 758 yds, 6 TD

Browns vs. Bengals: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Browns vs. Bengals?
The ratings project Cleveland Browns 19, Cincinnati Bengals 27, 46.3 total points.
Who is favored, the Browns or the Bengals?
The ratings make the Bengals 8.2-point favorites with a 74% chance to win.
When and where is Browns vs. Bengals?
Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at Paycor Stadium, the Bengals' home field.

More Week 18 predictions

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