PFR

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City ChiefsWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread

GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Chiefs at homeAFC West division game

The ratings project Kansas City Chiefs 29, Las Vegas Raiders 21 (KC -8.4) and give the Chiefs a 74% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Raiders vs. Chiefs prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 27
Las Vegas Raiders

4-5 · No. 27 in the ratings

21
Kansas City Chiefs

6-2 · No. 8 in the ratings

29
LV 26%Win probability74% KC
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadKC -8.4——
Total50.0——
Win prob.KC 74%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatLVKC
Record4-56-2
Division3rd, AFC W2nd, AFC W
Rating-3.927+3.08
Adj Off23.61423.911
Adj Def27.53220.95
Points per game26.4825.310
Points allowed per game29.83217.93
Playoff odds7%93%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Raiders vs. Chiefs matchup stats season to date

When the Raiders have the ball

StatLVoffKCdef
Yards per pass attempt6.995.811
Yards per rush3.1323.73
Starting field positionOwn 371Own 3012
EPA per play+0.01216-0.0538
Adj. EPA per play-0.01419-0.0229
Success rate43.5%1641.3%7
Passing EPA per play+0.15310+0.02311
Rushing EPA per play-0.23430-0.1755
CPOE0.516-4.33
Explosive play rate7.4%236.6%5
Points per game26.4817.93
Points per drive2.8631.887
Red zone TD rate62.2%2050.0%4
3rd down conversion43.8%636.7%10
Turnovers per game1.44201.5010
Sack rate3.0%24.3%31
Penalties per game6.036.523

When the Chiefs have the ball

StatKCoffLVdef
Yards per pass attempt7.277.128
Yards per rush5.315.332
Starting field positionOwn 3112Own 297
EPA per play+0.1194+0.08028
Adj. EPA per play+0.0497+0.04930
Success rate48.3%447.8%31
Passing EPA per play+0.14911+0.18628
Rushing EPA per play+0.0732-0.06623
CPOE2.284.729
Explosive play rate10.1%410.2%31
Points per game25.31029.832
Points per drive2.35112.6330
Red zone TD rate67.7%1069.8%24
3rd down conversion41.7%944.0%26
Turnovers per game0.7541.568
Sack rate3.6%65.5%17
Penalties per game6.997.911

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Raiders and Chiefs recent results

Las Vegas Raiders

Wk 9@San Francisco 49ersL17-38
Wk 8@New York JetsW38-33
Wk 7vsLos Angeles RamsL21-35
Wk 6vsBuffalo BillsL30-33
Wk 5@New England PatriotsL17-45

Kansas City Chiefs

Wk 9vsNew York JetsW35-12
Wk 8@Denver BroncosL24-28
Wk 7@Seattle SeahawksL3-20
Wk 6vsLos Angeles ChargersW22-6
Wk 4@Las Vegas RaidersW30-27

Players to watch season totals

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Kirk CousinsQB202/315, 2,340 yds, 20 TD, 8 INT
  • Ashton JeantyRB · #2114 car, 362 yds, 1 TD
  • Brock BowersTE · #8948 rec, 658 yds, 6 TD
  • Michael MayerTE · #8739 rec, 388 yds, 1 TD

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Patrick MahomesQB · #15177/263, 2,037 yds, 14 TD, 4 INT
  • Kenneth Walker IIIRB · #9159 car, 872 yds, 7 TD
  • Travis KelceTE · #8733 rec, 482 yds, 2 TD
  • Xavier WorthyWR · #133 rec, 278 yds, 1 TD

Raiders vs. Chiefs: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Raiders vs. Chiefs?
The ratings project Las Vegas Raiders 21, Kansas City Chiefs 29, 50.0 total points.
Who is favored, the Raiders or the Chiefs?
The ratings make the Chiefs 8.4-point favorites with a 74% chance to win.
When and where is Raiders vs. Chiefs?
Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs' home field.

More Week 18 predictions

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