PFR

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore RavensWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread

M&T Bank Stadium · Ravens at homeAFC North division game

The ratings project Pittsburgh Steelers 23, Baltimore Ravens 21 (PIT -2.1) and give the Steelers a 56% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Steelers vs. Ravens prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 55
Pittsburgh Steelers

6-2 · No. 15 in the ratings

23
Baltimore Ravens

4-5 · No. 19 in the ratings

21
PIT 56%Win probability44% BAL
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadPIT -2.1——
Total43.4——
Win prob.PIT 56%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatPITBAL
Record6-24-5
Division1st, AFC N4th, AFC N
Rating+1.615-2.019
Adj Off22.61821.922
Adj Def20.9523.921
Points per game22.51721.022
Points allowed per game18.0426.225
Playoff odds84%8%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Steelers vs. Ravens matchup stats season to date

When the Steelers have the ball

StatPIToffBALdef
Yards per pass attempt5.4256.725
Yards per rush5.223.74
Starting field positionOwn 3118Own 3119
EPA per play-0.01118+0.02419
Adj. EPA per play+0.00015+0.00215
Success rate42.8%1844.7%22
Passing EPA per play-0.07226+0.09620
Rushing EPA per play+0.1021-0.08518
CPOE-2.2251.422
Explosive play rate8.9%107.2%10
Points per game22.51726.225
Points per drive2.16172.3118
Red zone TD rate56.7%2465.7%19
3rd down conversion37.9%1639.0%15
Turnovers per game1.13121.0024
Sack rate6.8%214.9%20
Penalties per game5.925.432

When the Ravens have the ball

StatBALoffPITdef
Yards per pass attempt6.3155.88
Yards per rush4.873.85
Starting field positionOwn 3117Own 309
EPA per play-0.01820-0.0686
Adj. EPA per play-0.02221-0.01811
Success rate43.7%1442.1%10
Passing EPA per play+0.03720-0.0177
Rushing EPA per play-0.08615-0.1676
CPOE1.611-0.911
Explosive play rate8.0%168.2%14
Points per game21.02218.04
Points per drive2.23141.753
Red zone TD rate64.7%1350.0%4
3rd down conversion37.8%1734.3%7
Turnovers per game1.22141.5010
Sack rate7.5%247.8%4
Penalties per game8.2267.813

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Steelers and Ravens recent results

Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk 8vsCleveland BrownsW27-6
Wk 7NNew Orleans SaintsW16-10
Wk 6@Tampa Bay BuccaneersW26-19OT
Wk 5vsIndianapolis ColtsW34-22
Wk 4@Cleveland BrownsL24-27

Baltimore Ravens

Wk 9vsJacksonville JaguarsL10-33
Wk 8@Buffalo BillsL10-36
Wk 7vsCincinnati BengalsL13-35
Wk 6@Cleveland BrownsL10-13
Wk 5@Atlanta FalconsW30-23OT

Players to watch season totals

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Aaron RodgersQB · #8175/288, 1,871 yds, 13 TD, 6 INT
  • Jaylen WarrenRB · #30119 car, 704 yds, 2 TD
  • DK MetcalfWR · #433 rec, 378 yds, 1 TD
  • Germie BernardWR · #1732 rec, 284 yds, 1 TD

Baltimore Ravens

  • Tyler HuntleyQB · #576/110, 727 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
  • Derrick HenryRB · #22175 car, 689 yds, 8 TD
  • Zay FlowersWR · #443 rec, 614 yds, 3 TD
  • Mark AndrewsTE · #8931 rec, 237 yds, 1 TD

Steelers vs. Ravens: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Steelers vs. Ravens?
The ratings project Pittsburgh Steelers 23, Baltimore Ravens 21, 43.4 total points.
Who is favored, the Steelers or the Ravens?
The ratings make the Steelers 2.1-point favorites with a 56% chance to win.
When and where is Steelers vs. Ravens?
Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium, the Ravens' home field.

More Week 18 predictions

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