PFR

Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota VikingsWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread

U.S. Bank Stadium · Vikings at homeNFC North division game

The ratings project Minnesota Vikings 21, Chicago Bears 20 (MIN -0.5) and give the Vikings a 51% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Bears vs. Vikings prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 85
Chicago Bears

7-2 · No. 7 in the ratings

20
Minnesota Vikings

6-2 · No. 13 in the ratings

21
CHI 49%Win probability51% MIN
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadMIN -0.5——
Total40.7——
Win prob.MIN 51%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatCHIMIN
Record7-26-2
Division1st, NFC N3rd, NFC N
Rating+3.27+2.213
Adj Off25.2620.826
Adj Def22.01118.61
Points per game26.8718.327
Points allowed per game20.4914.51
Playoff odds84%83%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Bears vs. Vikings matchup stats season to date

When the Bears have the ball

StatCHIoffMINdef
Yards per pass attempt6.6124.92
Yards per rush4.4144.421
Starting field positionOwn 3111Own 3011
EPA per play+0.03812-0.1681
Adj. EPA per play+0.02013-0.0861
Success rate47.1%736.7%1
Passing EPA per play+0.11213-0.1831
Rushing EPA per play-0.06211-0.1498
CPOE4.25-6.81
Explosive play rate9.1%98.0%12
Points per game26.8714.51
Points per drive2.29121.471
Red zone TD rate58.7%2142.3%1
3rd down conversion45.3%431.2%3
Turnovers per game2.11301.634
Sack rate5.4%1310.3%1
Penalties per game8.0238.010

When the Vikings have the ball

StatMINoffCHIdef
Yards per pass attempt5.2276.926
Yards per rush4.3154.522
Starting field positionOwn 334Own 3225
EPA per play-0.15131-0.04310
Adj. EPA per play-0.07731-0.01910
Success rate37.1%3040.8%4
Passing EPA per play-0.11729-0.0138
Rushing EPA per play-0.20327-0.09814
CPOE-2.926-0.813
Explosive play rate7.6%199.0%22
Points per game18.32720.49
Points per drive1.57302.2316
Red zone TD rate52.6%2761.8%14
3rd down conversion33.3%3022.8%1
Turnovers per game1.0081.2218
Sack rate8.0%268.0%3
Penalties per game5.417.415

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Bears and Vikings recent results

Chicago Bears

Wk 9vsTampa Bay BuccaneersW27-24
Wk 8@Seattle SeahawksW34-17
Wk 7vsNew England PatriotsW30-24
Wk 6@Atlanta FalconsW31-23
Wk 5@Green Bay PackersL7-31

Minnesota Vikings

Wk 9vsBuffalo BillsL6-23
Wk 8@Detroit LionsL15-19
Wk 7vsIndianapolis ColtsW16-10
Wk 5@New Orleans SaintsW23-13
Wk 4vsMiami DolphinsW15-10

Players to watch season totals

Chicago Bears

  • Caleb WilliamsQB · #18134/195, 1,546 yds, 8 TD, 5 INT
  • D'Andre SwiftRB · #4155 car, 576 yds, 10 TD
  • Luther Burden IIIWR · #1049 rec, 644 yds, 4 TD
  • Colston LovelandTE · #8437 rec, 363 yds, 2 TD

Minnesota Vikings

  • Kyler MurrayQB · #1100/154, 1,022 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT
  • Aaron JonesRB · #33115 car, 474 yds, 2 TD
  • T.J. HockensonTE · #8735 rec, 328 yds, 3 TD
  • Justin JeffersonWR · #1831 rec, 393 yds, 4 TD

Bears vs. Vikings: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Bears vs. Vikings?
The ratings project Chicago Bears 20, Minnesota Vikings 21, 40.7 total points.
Who is favored, the Bears or the Vikings?
The ratings make the Vikings 0.5-point favorites with a 51% chance to win.
When and where is Bears vs. Vikings?
Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at U.S. Bank Stadium, the Vikings' home field.

More Week 18 predictions

All Week 18 gamesChicago BearsMinnesota VikingsWeek 2 meeting at CHI