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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago BearsWeek 9 Final Score, Stats and Recap

Final · Soldier Field · Bears at home

Chicago Bears beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27-24. The projection published that morning was CHI -3.4 (Bears 60% to win). The closing line was CHI -6.5; the Buccaneers covered, and the 51 total points went over the 47.5 total.

Buccaneers vs. Bears final score and how the prediction did

Final scoreExcitement 4.3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3-6 · No. 16 in the ratings

24
Chicago Bears

7-2 · No. 7 in the ratings

27
TB 40%Win probability that morning60% CHI
vs. closeModelMarketDiffResult
SpreadCHI -3.4CHI -6.5TB +3.1CHI by 3TB covered
Total44.747.5Under 2.851Went over
Win prob.CHI 60%CHI 71%-11 ptsCHI won
Moneyline—TB +235 · CHI -290

Closing line. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 9 lines · How the projections work

Buccaneers vs. Bears game stats

StatTBCHI
Points2427
EPA per play-0.18-0.24
Total yards354353
Yards per play5.56.1
Third downs2-127-13
Turnovers25

Tale of the tape season to date

StatTBCHI
Record3-67-2
Division3rd, NFC S1st, NFC N
Rating+1.616+3.27
Adj Off22.81725.26
Adj Def21.2822.011
Points per game22.41826.87
Points allowed per game19.8720.49
Playoff odds52%84%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Buccaneers vs. Bears matchup stats season to date

When the Buccaneers have the ball

StatTBoffCHIdef
Yards per pass attempt4.8306.926
Yards per rush5.134.522
Starting field positionOwn 335Own 3225
EPA per play-0.10128-0.04310
Adj. EPA per play-0.04727-0.01910
Success rate41.1%2640.8%4
Passing EPA per play-0.16530-0.0138
Rushing EPA per play-0.0278-0.09814
CPOE-3.627-0.813
Explosive play rate8.6%149.0%22
Points per game22.41820.49
Points per drive2.04212.2316
Red zone TD rate50.0%2961.8%14
3rd down conversion36.3%2322.8%1
Turnovers per game1.67251.2218
Sack rate8.6%298.0%3
Penalties per game7.0117.415

When the Bears have the ball

StatCHIoffTBdef
Yards per pass attempt6.6126.012
Yards per rush4.4143.87
Starting field positionOwn 3111Own 3120
EPA per play+0.03812-0.1602
Adj. EPA per play+0.02013-0.0862
Success rate47.1%740.3%3
Passing EPA per play+0.11213-0.1472
Rushing EPA per play-0.06211-0.1852
CPOE4.25-2.65
Explosive play rate9.1%96.5%3
Points per game26.8719.87
Points per drive2.29121.834
Red zone TD rate58.7%2148.4%3
3rd down conversion45.3%434.5%9
Turnovers per game2.11302.221
Sack rate5.4%134.9%21
Penalties per game8.0236.721

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Form coming in

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk 8vsAtlanta FalconsW16-0
Wk 7@Carolina PanthersW43-13
Wk 6vsPittsburgh SteelersL19-26OT
Wk 5@Dallas CowboysW24-16
Wk 4vsGreen Bay PackersL14-17

Chicago Bears

Wk 8@Seattle SeahawksW34-17
Wk 7vsNew England PatriotsW30-24
Wk 6@Atlanta FalconsW31-23
Wk 5@Green Bay PackersL7-31
Wk 4vsNew York JetsW23-12

Players to watch season totals

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Baker MayfieldQB · #686/142, 922 yds, 3 TD, 4 INT
  • Bucky IrvingRB · #7167 car, 825 yds, 7 TD
  • Emeka EgbukaWR · #231 rec, 278 yds, 2 TD
  • Chris Godwin Jr.WR · #1429 rec, 259 yds, 0 TD

Chicago Bears

  • Caleb WilliamsQB · #18134/195, 1,546 yds, 8 TD, 5 INT
  • D'Andre SwiftRB · #4155 car, 576 yds, 10 TD
  • Luther Burden IIIWR · #1049 rec, 644 yds, 4 TD
  • Colston LovelandTE · #8437 rec, 363 yds, 2 TD

Buccaneers vs. Bears: quick answers

Who won Buccaneers vs. Bears?
The Chicago Bears won 27-24 at Soldier Field.
Who covered the spread in Buccaneers vs. Bears?
The Buccaneers covered the closing line of CHI -6.5.
Did Buccaneers vs. Bears go over or under?
Over: the teams scored 51 points against a closing total of 47.5.
What did the ratings predict for Buccaneers vs. Bears?
The projection published the morning of the game was CHI -3.4, with the Bears 60% to win.

More Week 9 results

All Week 9 gamesTampa Bay BuccaneersChicago Bears