NFC South · 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-5 (2-0 NFC South · 3-2 NFC)2nd in the NFC South
Last: W 16-0 vs Atlanta FalconsNext: at Chicago BearsLine CHI -5.5 · Model CHI -2.0
- Rating
- +1.614
- Adj Off
- 22.716
- Adj Def
- 21.17
- Playoffs
- 54%
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 46.5%1 | 35.6%25 |
| Early-down pass rate | 42.3%31 | 53.2%11 |
| Plays per game | 64.518 | 60.029 |
| Time of possession | 32:094 | 28:3028 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 4.532 | 5.89 |
| Yards per rush | 5.22 | 3.87 |
| Starting field position | Own 327 | Own 3121 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | -0.09128 | -0.1502 |
| Adj. EPA per play | -0.03727 | -0.0703 |
| Success rate | 41.1%26 | 40.0%3 |
| Passing EPA per play | -0.15130 | -0.1382 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.0237 | -0.1724 |
| CPOE | -3.629 | -3.14 |
| Explosive play rate | 8.5%12 | 6.5%4 |
Situational
Scoring, red zone finishing, money downs, ball security, protection and discipline.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 22.320 | 18.96 |
| Points per drive | 1.9724 | 1.875 |
| Red zone TD rate | 53.6%28 | 50.0%4 |
| 3rd down conversion | 38.4%20 | 32.0%5 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.6325 | 1.881 |
| Sack rate | 8.3%29 | 5.2%23 |
| Penalties per game | 6.910 | 6.423 |
Rank out of 32 teams, regular season only. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like pace and pass rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 8.1-8.9
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13Wk 1 | @8Cincinnati Bengals | L27-33 | -0.08 | +0.00 |
| Sep 20Wk 2 | 27Cleveland Browns | L19-23 | -0.20 | +0.02 |
| Sep 27Wk 3 | 7Minnesota Vikings | L16-23 | -0.30 | -0.29 |
| Oct 4Wk 4 | 16Green Bay Packers | L14-17 | -0.04 | +0.01 |
| Oct 8Wk 5 | @17Dallas Cowboys | W24-16 | +0.15 | -0.03 |
| Oct 18Wk 6 | 13Pittsburgh Steelers | L19-26OT | -0.28 | -0.16 |
| Oct 25Wk 7 | @21Carolina PanthersDIV | W43-13 | +0.21 | -0.29 |
| Nov 1Wk 8 | 19Atlanta FalconsDIV | W16-0 | -0.17 | -0.49 |
| Nov 8Wk 9 | @12Chicago Bears | +2.044% | — | — |
| Nov 22Wk 11 | @9Detroit Lions | +2.443% | — | — |
| Nov 30Wk 12 | 21Carolina PanthersDIV | -5.466% | — | — |
| Dec 6Wk 13 | 28Los Angeles Chargers | -6.770% | — | — |
| Dec 13Wk 14 | @18Baltimore Ravens | -1.354% | — | — |
| Dec 20Wk 15 | 23New Orleans SaintsDIV | -6.168% | — | — |
| Dec 27Wk 16 | @19Atlanta FalconsDIV | -1.655% | — | — |
| Jan 3Wk 17 | 5Los Angeles Rams | +0.150% | — | — |
| Jan 10Wk 18 | @23New Orleans SaintsDIV | -3.160% | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them; defenders by tackles. Regular season only. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6Baker MayfieldYr 9 | 53% | 68/110 | 61.8% | 679 | 6.2 | 3 | 2 |
| 10Jalon DanielsR | 47% | 60/98 | 61.2% | 501 | 5.1 | 3 | 5 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7Bucky IrvingYr 3 | 55% | 147 | 728 | 5.0 | 5 | 18 |
| 1Kenny GainwellYr 6 | 22% | 58 | 289 | 5.0 | 0 | 12 |
| 44Sean TuckerYr 4 | 6% | 15 | 80 | 5.3 | 2 | 0 |
Receivers and tight ends
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Emeka EgbukaWR Yr 2 | 13% | 28 | 240 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 14Chris Godwin Jr.WR Yr 10 | 13% | 27 | 243 | 9.0 | 0 |
| 88Cade OttonTE Yr 5 | 9% | 19 | 186 | 9.8 | 0 |
| 17Ted Hurst IIIWR R | 5% | 11 | 168 | 15.3 | 1 |
| 15Tez JohnsonWR Yr 2 | 4% | 9 | 178 | 19.8 | 1 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | QBH | FF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95Elijah RobertsDE Yr 2 | 8 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 94Calijah KanceyDT Yr 4 | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 91A'Shawn RobinsonDT Yr 11 | 6 | 1 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 50Vita VeaDT Yr 9 | 6 | 1 | 1.0 | 4 | 0 |
| 92Elijah SimmonsDL Yr 2 | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45Josiah TrotterLB R | 32 | 3 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 |
| 34Alex AnzaloneMLB Yr 10 | 17 | 2 | 1.0 | 3 | 3 |
| 51David WalkerLB Yr 2 | 15 | 6 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0Yaya DiabyLB Yr 4 | 11 | 6 | 3.0 | 2 | 1 |
| 97Al-Quadin MuhammadLB Yr 10 | 4 | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | FF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22Keionte ScottCB R | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 25Jacob ParrishCB Yr 2 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 27Zyon McCollumCB Yr 5 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23Tykee SmithSAF Yr 3 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 31Antoine Winfield Jr.SAF Yr 7 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21Benjamin MorrisonCB Yr 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5Ifeatu MelifonwuSAF Yr 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Chase McLaughlinYr 8 | 19/19 | 100% | 59 | 17/17 | 74 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9Riley DixonYr 11 | 35 | 43.7 | 59 | 10 | 3 |