PFR

NFC South · 2026

Atlanta Falcons

3-5 (1-2 NFC South · 3-3 NFC)3rd in the NFC South

Last: L 0-16 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersNext: vs Cincinnati BengalsLine CIN -3.0 · Model CIN -4.0

Rating
-1.519
Adj Off
22.025
Adj Def
23.519
Playoffs
19%

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate45.5%238.9%16
Early-down pass rate44.4%3050.3%18
Plays per game61.02668.18
Time of possession29:421831:0510
Yards per pass attempt6.2175.812
Yards per rush4.884.522
Starting field positionOwn 2830Own 3428

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play-0.08027-0.03710
Adj. EPA per play-0.03726-0.01311
Success rate43.2%1643.3%13
Passing EPA per play-0.12429+0.00411
Rushing EPA per play-0.0278-0.10213
CPOE-7.1322.021
Explosive play rate8.6%118.6%17

Situational

Scoring, red zone finishing, money downs, ball security, protection and discipline.

StatOffenseDefense
Points per game21.42323.617
Points per drive2.6082.0010
Red zone TD rate64.3%1462.5%14
3rd down conversion33.3%2941.1%19
Turnovers per game1.88281.3813
Sack rate6.0%185.4%18
Penalties per game6.047.416

Rank out of 32 teams, regular season only. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like pace and pass rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 7.1-9.9

DateOpponentResult / projectionOff EPADef EPA
Sep 13Wk 1@13Pittsburgh SteelersL13-20-0.36-0.25
Sep 20Wk 221Carolina PanthersDIVL3-34-0.48+0.04
Sep 24Wk 3@16Green Bay PackersW35-14+0.33+0.03
Oct 5Wk 4@23New Orleans SaintsDIVW45-24+0.47-0.04
Oct 11Wk 518Baltimore RavensL23-30OT-0.02+0.04
Oct 18Wk 612Chicago BearsL23-31-0.22+0.01
Oct 25Wk 74San Francisco 49ersW29-20+0.11+0.01
Nov 1Wk 8@14Tampa Bay BuccaneersDIVL0-16-0.49-0.17
Nov 8Wk 9N8Cincinnati Bengals+4.038%——
Nov 15Wk 1011Kansas City Chiefs+2.343%——
Nov 29Wk 12@7Minnesota Vikings+6.132%——
Dec 6Wk 139Detroit Lions+2.543%——
Dec 13Wk 14@27Cleveland Browns-0.552%——
Dec 20Wk 15@22Washington Commanders+0.648%——
Dec 27Wk 1614Tampa Bay BuccaneersDIV+1.645%——
Jan 3Wk 1723New Orleans SaintsDIV-3.059%——
Jan 10Wk 18@21Carolina PanthersDIV+0.748%——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them; defenders by tackles. Regular season only. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
9Michael Penix Jr.Yr 375%104/16861.9%12827.695
13Cooper RushYr 1017%22/3956.4%2295.914
18Jack StrandR7%8/1553.3%593.901

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
7Bijan RobinsonYr 464%1507805.2425
15Brian RobinsonYr 523%532114.045

Receivers and tight ends

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
5Drake LondonWR Yr 517%3962416.01
8Kyle PittsTE Yr 610%221979.04
4Jahan DotsonWR Yr 56%1433724.12
17Zachariah BranchWR R4%10646.40
81Austin HooperTE Yr 114%9768.41

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckQBHFF
95Gervon Dexter Sr.DT Yr 41141.550
94LaCale LondonDE Yr 71111.010
99Cameron ThomasDE Yr 5812.0111
54Brandon DorlusDE Yr 3831.080
55Za'Darius SmithDE Yr 12664.550
92Maason SmithDT Yr 3641.031

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
53Kendal DanielsLB R3741.021
56Harold Perkins Jr.LB R2321.510
0Divine DeabloLB Yr 61510.010
42Josh WoodsLB Yr 9810.000
51Jared IveyLB Yr 2421.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTFF
26C.J. HendersonCB Yr 731801
31Xavier WattsSAF Yr 229212
3Jessie BatesFS Yr 924413
21Mike HughesCB Yr 923500
29Sydney BrownSAF Yr 417101
12Avieon TerrellCB R7000
24A.J. TerrellCB Yr 75300

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
6Nick FolkYr 2012/1675%5115/1651

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
16Jake BaileyYr 82848.167113