PFR

AFC West · 2026

Kansas City Chiefs

5-2 (3-1 AFC West · 5-1 AFC)2nd in the AFC West

Last: L 24-28 at Denver BroncosNext: vs New York JetsLine KC -10.0 · Model KC -8.0

Rating
+2.311
Adj Off
23.513
Adj Def
21.29
Playoffs
85%

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate38.6%1838.1%19
Early-down pass rate57.8%547.9%27
Plays per game62.62366.710
Time of possession29:312231:543
Yards per pass attempt7.256.215
Yards per rush5.313.62
Starting field positionOwn 3118Own 297

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.1117-0.01813
Adj. EPA per play+0.0537-0.00314
Success rate47.0%741.8%7
Passing EPA per play+0.14013+0.06414
Rushing EPA per play+0.0652-0.15210
CPOE1.612-3.63
Explosive play rate9.6%77.1%8

Situational

Scoring, red zone finishing, money downs, ball security, protection and discipline.

StatOffenseDefense
Points per game23.91218.75
Points per drive2.25142.0010
Red zone TD rate62.1%1954.2%9
3rd down conversion40.0%1239.2%13
Turnovers per game0.5731.578
Sack rate3.4%43.1%32
Penalties per game7.4176.126

Rank out of 32 teams, regular season only. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like pace and pass rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 10.6-6.4

DateOpponentResult / projectionOff EPADef EPA
Sep 14Wk 110Denver BroncosDIVW31-10+0.12-0.38
Sep 20Wk 224Indianapolis ColtsW33-30OT+0.20+0.21
Sep 27Wk 3@31Miami DolphinsW24-10+0.18-0.12
Oct 4Wk 4@24Las Vegas RaidersDIVW30-27+0.13+0.07
Oct 18Wk 628Los Angeles ChargersDIVW22-6+0.07-0.29
Oct 25Wk 7@2Seattle SeahawksL3-20-0.13+0.16
Nov 1Wk 8@10Denver BroncosDIVL24-28+0.17+0.15
Nov 8Wk 930New York Jets-8.073%——
Nov 15Wk 10@19Atlanta Falcons-2.357%——
Nov 22Wk 1129Arizona Cardinals-8.073%——
Nov 26Wk 12@3Buffalo Bills+4.237%——
Dec 3Wk 13@5Los Angeles Rams+2.543%——
Dec 13Wk 14@8Cincinnati Bengals+1.745%——
Dec 21Wk 156New England Patriots-0.652%——
Dec 27Wk 164San Francisco 49ers-0.150%——
Jan 3Wk 17@28Los Angeles ChargersDIV-4.463%——
Jan 10Wk 1824Las Vegas RaidersDIV-6.870%——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them; defenders by tackles. Regular season only. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
15Patrick MahomesYr 10100%154/23266.4%17957.7124

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
9Kenneth Walker IIIYr 576%1417705.5622
10Emmett JohnsonR11%20773.9014

Receivers and tight ends

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
87Travis KelceTE Yr 1413%2941014.12
1Xavier WorthyWR Yr 312%272308.51
4Rashee RiceWR Yr 49%2024312.22
83Noah GrayTE Yr 66%1417312.41
2Tyquan ThorntonWR Yr 55%1121919.92

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckQBHFF
56George KarlaftisDE Yr 51262.0161
97Ashton GillotteDE Yr 21031.020
91Felix Anudike-UzomahDE Yr 4721.041
95Chris JonesDE Yr 11610.530
92Khyiris TongaDT Yr 6510.000
99Peter WoodsDT R300.510

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
32Nick BoltonLB Yr 63430.020
23Drue TranquillLB Yr 82650.020
43Jack CochraneLB Yr 5810.011
31Jeffrey BassaLB Yr 2500.000
48Cole ChristiansenLB Yr 7300.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTFF
38L'Jarius SneedCB Yr 722302
20Nohl WilliamsCB Yr 218710
5Mansoor DelaneCB R17510
21Jaden HicksSAF Yr 315100
27Chamarri ConnerDB Yr 412100
30Christian Roland-WallaceCB Yr 312200
17Alohi GilmanSAF Yr 711100

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
7Harrison ButkerYr 1012/1867%5017/1853

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
14Matt AraizaYr 52251.469124