PFR

AFC East · 2026

New England Patriots

5-3 (3-0 AFC East · 5-1 AFC)2nd in the AFC East

Last: W 24-19 at Miami DolphinsNext: vs Green Bay PackersLine NE -3.0 · Model NE -3.5

Rating
+3.26
Adj Off
24.011
Adj Def
20.84
Playoffs
83%

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate40.9%1337.7%22
Early-down pass rate50.5%1548.3%26
Plays per game63.61961.625
Time of possession30:541229:0625
Yards per pass attempt7.636.216
Yards per rush4.4153.99
Starting field positionOwn 3026Own 3016

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.0598+0.00716
Adj. EPA per play+0.0408-0.00912
Success rate45.6%1043.4%14
Passing EPA per play+0.2176+0.07416
Rushing EPA per play-0.16926-0.10412
CPOE7.422.824
Explosive play rate8.6%108.5%16

Situational

Scoring, red zone finishing, money downs, ball security, protection and discipline.

StatOffenseDefense
Points per game23.01620.38
Points per drive2.13182.1816
Red zone TD rate65.6%1258.6%12
3rd down conversion40.0%1238.5%11
Turnovers per game1.88281.0022
Sack rate5.3%137.2%6
Penalties per game7.6206.920

Rank out of 32 teams, regular season only. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like pace and pass rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 10.3-6.7

DateOpponentResult / projectionOff EPADef EPA
Sep 9Wk 1@2Seattle SeahawksL10-13-0.09+0.03
Sep 20Wk 213Pittsburgh SteelersW20-3-0.04-0.32
Sep 27Wk 3@1Jacksonville JaguarsL6-35-0.25+0.19
Oct 4Wk 4@3Buffalo BillsDIVW29-26+0.19+0.11
Oct 11Wk 524Las Vegas RaidersW45-17+0.37-0.03
Oct 18Wk 630New York JetsDIVW26-19+0.01-0.02
Oct 22Wk 7@12Chicago BearsL24-30+0.15+0.18
Nov 1Wk 8@31Miami DolphinsDIVW24-19+0.10-0.04
Nov 8Wk 916Green Bay Packers-3.561%——
Nov 15Wk 10N9Detroit Lions-0.752%——
Nov 29Wk 12@28Los Angeles Chargers-5.366%——
Dec 6Wk 133Buffalo BillsDIV+0.349%——
Dec 10Wk 147Minnesota Vikings-1.655%——
Dec 21Wk 15@11Kansas City Chiefs+0.648%——
Dec 27Wk 16@30New York JetsDIV-5.967%——
Jan 3Wk 1710Denver Broncos-2.457%——
Jan 10Wk 1831Miami DolphinsDIV-9.075%——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them; defenders by tackles. Regular season only. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
10Drake MayeYr 398%157/23467.1%19838.5158

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
38Rhamondre StevensonYr 640%963673.8223
32TreVeyon HendersonYr 222%522033.915
9Corey KinerYr 218%421894.502

Receivers and tight ends

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
85Hunter HenryTE Yr 1112%2932611.22
3DeMario DouglasWR Yr 411%2633212.84
13Mack HollinsWR Yr 106%1520913.90
86Efton Chism IIIWR Yr 26%1515110.11
87Romeo DoubsWR Yr 56%1426118.63
82Eli RaridonTE R5%1317313.32
1A.J. BrownWR Yr 84%910111.20

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckQBHFF
97Milton WilliamsDT Yr 61021.020
94Cory DurdenDT Yr 4821.550
90Christian BarmoreDT Yr 6533.571
93Leonard Taylor IIIDT Yr 3432.020
92Joshua FarmerDT Yr 2411.010

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
53Christian EllissLB Yr 63241.510
14Robert SpillaneLB Yr 92110.020
91Elijah PonderLB Yr 21376.010
50Gabe JacasLB R1143.011
54Darius MuasauLB Yr 31010.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTFF
25Marcus JonesCB Yr 525610
22Charles WoodsCB Yr 321410
7Carlton Davis IIICB Yr 920100
4Craig WoodsonSAF Yr 220310
31Kevin ByardFS Yr 1120310
0Christian GonzalezCB Yr 418500
28Kindle VildorCB Yr 76101

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
8Andy BorregalesYr 210/1377%5020/2150

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
19Mitch WishnowskyYr 82547.073123