AFC West · 2026
Denver Broncos
6-2 (2-1 AFC West · 3-1 AFC)1st in the AFC West
Last: W 28-24 vs Kansas City ChiefsNext: at Carolina PanthersLine DEN -3.0 · Model DEN -3.1
- Rating
- +2.410
- Adj Off
- 23.513
- Adj Def
- 21.17
- Playoffs
- 91%
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 39.1%17 | 37.1%24 |
| Early-down pass rate | 55.2%9 | 53.4%10 |
| Plays per game | 60.529 | 71.41 |
| Time of possession | 28:2930 | 32:102 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 5.524 | 5.66 |
| Yards per rush | 4.024 | 4.624 |
| Starting field position | Own 3021 | Own 295 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | -0.00920 | -0.02411 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.01412 | -0.0228 |
| Success rate | 39.3%29 | 41.0%4 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.04220 | -0.0108 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.08915 | -0.04726 |
| CPOE | -2.627 | -1.96 |
| Explosive play rate | 6.8%27 | 7.7%12 |
Situational
Scoring, red zone finishing, money downs, ball security, protection and discipline.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 21.522 | 20.611 |
| Points per drive | 1.9426 | 1.886 |
| Red zone TD rate | 65.4%13 | 53.1%8 |
| 3rd down conversion | 29.7%32 | 42.1%24 |
| Turnovers per game | 0.635 | 1.3813 |
| Sack rate | 3.4%5 | 6.4%12 |
| Penalties per game | 7.620 | 7.515 |
Rank out of 32 teams, regular season only. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like pace and pass rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 11.4-5.6
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14Wk 1 | @11Kansas City ChiefsDIV | L10-31 | -0.38 | +0.12 |
| Sep 20Wk 2 | 1Jacksonville Jaguars | W20-13 | +0.13 | -0.05 |
| Sep 27Wk 3 | 5Los Angeles Rams | W30-26 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Oct 4Wk 4 | @4San Francisco 49ers | L14-24 | +0.06 | +0.12 |
| Oct 11Wk 5 | @28Los Angeles ChargersDIV | W23-17 | -0.19 | -0.37 |
| Oct 15Wk 6 | 2Seattle Seahawks | W17-14OT | -0.11 | -0.09 |
| Oct 25Wk 7 | @29Arizona Cardinals | W30-16 | +0.17 | -0.07 |
| Nov 1Wk 8 | 11Kansas City ChiefsDIV | W28-24 | +0.15 | +0.17 |
| Nov 8Wk 9 | @21Carolina Panthers | -3.159% | — | — |
| Nov 22Wk 11 | 24Las Vegas RaidersDIV | -6.970% | — | — |
| Nov 27Wk 12 | @13Pittsburgh Steelers | +0.947% | — | — |
| Dec 6Wk 13 | 31Miami Dolphins | -8.173% | — | — |
| Dec 13Wk 14 | @30New York Jets | -5.065% | — | — |
| Dec 20Wk 15 | @24Las Vegas RaidersDIV | -3.962% | — | — |
| Dec 25Wk 16 | 3Buffalo Bills | +1.147% | — | — |
| Jan 3Wk 17 | @6New England Patriots | +2.443% | — | — |
| Jan 10Wk 18 | 28Los Angeles ChargersDIV | -7.572% | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them; defenders by tackles. Regular season only. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bo NixYr 3 | 100% | 149/250 | 59.6% | 1493 | 6.0 | 9 | 3 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27J.K. DobbinsYr 7 | 48% | 94 | 306 | 3.3 | 3 | 8 |
| 20Jonah ColemanR | 15% | 30 | 134 | 4.5 | 2 | 9 |
| 12RJ HarveyYr 2 | 12% | 24 | 87 | 3.6 | 1 | 25 |
| 28Tyler BadieYr 5 | 3% | 6 | 22 | 3.7 | 0 | 6 |
Receivers and tight ends
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17Jaylen WaddleWR Yr 6 | 12% | 29 | 315 | 10.9 | 2 |
| 14Courtland SuttonWR Yr 9 | 8% | 20 | 221 | 11.1 | 1 |
| 1Evan EngramTE Yr 10 | 5% | 13 | 136 | 10.5 | 1 |
| 13Pat BryantWR Yr 2 | 4% | 9 | 133 | 14.8 | 1 |
| 19Marvin Mims Jr.WR Yr 4 | 4% | 9 | 92 | 10.2 | 0 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | QBH | FF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97Malcolm RoachDT Yr 7 | 15 | 5 | 3.5 | 12 | 0 |
| 99Zach AllenDE Yr 8 | 10 | 4 | 4.5 | 20 | 1 |
| 96Eyioma UwazurikeDT Yr 5 | 9 | 2 | 1.0 | 5 | 0 |
| 93D.J. JonesDT Yr 10 | 6 | 2 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49Alex SingletonLB Yr 12 | 49 | 5 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 40Justin StrnadLB Yr 7 | 20 | 3 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 |
| 51Que RobinsonLB Yr 2 | 12 | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15Nik BonittoLB Yr 5 | 11 | 4 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 92Dondrea TillmanLB Yr 7 | 10 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | FF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22Brandon JonesSAF Yr 7 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 23Jahdae BarronCB Yr 2 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 29Ja'Quan McMillianCB Yr 5 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 2Pat Surtain IICB Yr 6 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 31Kris Abrams-DraineCB Yr 3 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| 26Devon KeySAF Yr 6 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 21Riley MossCB Yr 4 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Wil LutzYr 11 | 14/17 | 82% | 53 | 14/14 | 56 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16Jeremy CrawshawYr 2 | 41 | 46.5 | 68 | 18 | 2 |