NFC South · 2026
Carolina Panthers
3-4 (1-1 NFC South · 3-3 NFC)1st in the NFC South
Last: L 19-27 at Green Bay PackersNext: vs Denver BroncosLine DEN -3.0 · Model DEN -3.1
- Rating
- -2.321
- Adj Off
- 23.513
- Adj Def
- 25.830
- Playoffs
- 22%
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 34.5%29 | 40.0%13 |
| Early-down pass rate | 59.8%3 | 51.3%15 |
| Plays per game | 69.63 | 68.17 |
| Time of possession | 28:4926 | 30:3215 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 6.219 | 5.810 |
| Yards per rush | 4.414 | 5.026 |
| Starting field position | Own 3213 | Own 3225 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.01316 | +0.03319 |
| Adj. EPA per play | -0.00317 | +0.02823 |
| Success rate | 41.7%24 | 44.4%20 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.06618 | +0.08818 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.08916 | -0.05125 |
| CPOE | -0.421 | -1.97 |
| Explosive play rate | 8.4%14 | 6.9%7 |
Situational
Scoring, red zone finishing, money downs, ball security, protection and discipline.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 25.49 | 27.628 |
| Points per drive | 2.399 | 2.7131 |
| Red zone TD rate | 69.0%8 | — |
| 3rd down conversion | 38.5%18 | 46.4%28 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.1415 | 1.713 |
| Sack rate | 7.2%23 | 3.9%29 |
| Penalties per game | 8.126 | 8.93 |
Rank out of 32 teams, regular season only. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like pace and pass rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 7.2-9.8
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13Wk 1 | 12Chicago Bears | L37-59 | +0.13 | +0.36 |
| Sep 20Wk 2 | @19Atlanta FalconsDIV | W34-3 | +0.04 | -0.48 |
| Sep 27Wk 3 | @27Cleveland Browns | L18-21 | -0.10 | +0.00 |
| Oct 4Wk 4 | 9Detroit Lions | W32-26 | +0.29 | +0.15 |
| Oct 18Wk 6 | @26Philadelphia Eagles | W25-14 | +0.12 | -0.12 |
| Oct 25Wk 7 | 14Tampa Bay BuccaneersDIV | L13-43 | -0.29 | +0.21 |
| Oct 29Wk 8 | @16Green Bay Packers | L19-27 | -0.15 | +0.08 |
| Nov 8Wk 9 | 10Denver Broncos | +3.141% | — | — |
| Nov 15Wk 10 | @23New Orleans SaintsDIV | +0.748% | — | — |
| Nov 22Wk 11 | 18Baltimore Ravens | -0.551% | — | — |
| Nov 30Wk 12 | @14Tampa Bay BuccaneersDIV | +5.434% | — | — |
| Dec 6Wk 13 | @7Minnesota Vikings | +6.930% | — | — |
| Dec 13Wk 14 | 23New Orleans SaintsDIV | -2.357% | — | — |
| Dec 20Wk 15 | 8Cincinnati Bengals | +3.340% | — | — |
| Dec 27Wk 16 | @13Pittsburgh Steelers | +5.534% | — | — |
| Jan 3Wk 17 | 2Seattle Seahawks | +6.232% | — | — |
| Jan 10Wk 18 | 19Atlanta FalconsDIV | -0.752% | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them; defenders by tackles. Regular season only. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9Bryce YoungYr 4 | 98% | 158/269 | 58.7% | 1921 | 7.1 | 13 | 5 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30Chuba HubbardYr 6 | 70% | 118 | 540 | 4.6 | 5 | 22 |
| 28AJ DillonYr 7 | 10% | 17 | 43 | 2.5 | 0 | 2 |
| 25Jonathon BrooksYr 3 | 5% | 9 | 30 | 3.3 | 0 | 2 |
| 23Trevor EtienneYr 2 | 5% | 8 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
Receivers and tight ends
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Tetairoa McMillanWR Yr 2 | 15% | 42 | 569 | 13.5 | 2 |
| 18Jalen CokerWR Yr 3 | 10% | 27 | 364 | 13.5 | 3 |
| 82Tommy TrembleTE Yr 6 | 6% | 17 | 155 | 9.1 | 2 |
| 88Darren WallerTE Yr 12 | 5% | 15 | 209 | 13.9 | 3 |
| 13John Metchie IIIWR Yr 5 | 4% | 12 | 114 | 9.5 | 1 |
| 84Mitchell EvansTE Yr 2 | 4% | 10 | 127 | 12.7 | 0 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | QBH | FF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95Derrick BrownDT Yr 7 | 13 | 1 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 |
| 92Lee HunterDT R | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 94Aaron HallDT R | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 98Tershawn WhartonDE Yr 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 93TeRah EdwardsDT Yr 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58Bobby OkerekeILB Yr 8 | 31 | 5 | 1.0 | 5 | 1 |
| 55Devin LloydLB Yr 5 | 27 | 4 | 2.0 | 3 | 2 |
| 3Princely UmanmielenLB Yr 2 | 12 | 4 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 91Patrick Jones IILB Yr 6 | 8 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 52Trevis GipsonLB Yr 7 | 6 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | FF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24Will Lee IIICB R | 22 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| 21Nick ScottSAF Yr 8 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 20Zakee WheatleySAF R | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| 7Tre'von MoehrigSAF Yr 6 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29Akayleb EvansCB Yr 5 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 22Lathan RansomSAF Yr 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 35Marco WilsonCB Yr 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10Ryan FitzgeraldYr 2 | 13/13 | 100% | 53 | 13/18 | 52 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6Sam MartinYr 14 | 24 | 46.7 | 61 | 14 | 2 |