PFR

NFC North · 2026

Minnesota Vikings

6-1 (2-1 NFC North · 4-1 NFC)1st in the NFC North

Last: L 15-19 at Detroit LionsNext: vs Buffalo BillsLine BUF -2.5 · Model Pick 'em

Rating
+3.17
Adj Off
21.826
Adj Def
18.61
Playoffs
93%

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate40.8%1442.4%5
Early-down pass rate49.8%1844.9%31
Plays per game60.62860.728
Time of possession31:071028:2630
Yards per pass attempt5.4264.82
Yards per rush4.3164.623
Starting field positionOwn 329Own 3011

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play-0.09329-0.1911
Adj. EPA per play-0.03828-0.0851
Success rate38.0%3036.0%1
Passing EPA per play-0.01625-0.2101
Rushing EPA per play-0.20628-0.1666
CPOE-0.119-8.41
Explosive play rate8.0%208.2%14

Situational

Scoring, red zone finishing, money downs, ball security, protection and discipline.

StatOffenseDefense
Points per game20.02713.31
Points per drive1.75291.371
Red zone TD rate55.6%2640.9%1
3rd down conversion36.0%2729.7%3
Turnovers per game0.7161.713
Sack rate8.4%3010.2%1
Penalties per game5.618.08

Rank out of 32 teams, regular season only. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like pace and pass rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 11.8-5.2

DateOpponentResult / projectionOff EPADef EPA
Sep 13Wk 116Green Bay PackersDIVW39-22+0.07-0.18
Sep 20Wk 2@12Chicago BearsDIVW9-3-0.07-0.14
Sep 27Wk 3@14Tampa Bay BuccaneersW23-16-0.29-0.30
Oct 4Wk 431Miami DolphinsW15-10-0.06-0.24
Oct 11Wk 5@23New Orleans SaintsW23-13-0.16-0.37
Oct 25Wk 724Indianapolis ColtsW16-10-0.07-0.15
Nov 1Wk 8@9Detroit LionsDIVL15-19-0.08-0.04
Nov 9Wk 93Buffalo Bills+0.449%——
Nov 15Wk 10@16Green Bay PackersDIV-0.551%——
Nov 22Wk 11N4San Francisco 49ers+0.548%——
Nov 29Wk 1219Atlanta Falcons-6.168%——
Dec 6Wk 1321Carolina Panthers-6.970%——
Dec 10Wk 14@6New England Patriots+1.645%——
Dec 20Wk 159Detroit LionsDIV-2.257%——
Dec 27Wk 1622Washington Commanders-7.071%——
Jan 3Wk 17@30New York Jets-5.867%——
Jan 10Wk 1812Chicago BearsDIV-2.558%——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them; defenders by tackles. Regular season only. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
1Kyler MurrayYr 880%100/15464.9%10226.653
11Carson WentzYr 1120%23/3959.0%2767.130

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
33Aaron JonesYr 1055%1104584.2215
27Jordan MasonYr 519%381473.910
21Demond ClaiborneR3%6132.202

Receivers and tight ends

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
87T.J. HockensonTE Yr 816%312959.53
18Justin JeffersonWR Yr 715%2833512.04
3Jordan AddisonWR Yr 48%1624915.61
86Gavin BartholomewTE Yr 24%7547.70
14Jauan JenningsWR Yr 73%6549.00

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckQBHFF
61Jalen RedmondDL Yr 41420.511
50Levi Drake RodriguezDL Yr 3621.030
95Caleb BanksDT R510.000
90Tyrion Ingram-DawkinsDT Yr 2410.520
97Domonique OrangeDT R310.000

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
51Blake CashmanLB Yr 83574.550
55Eric WilsonLB Yr 102153.010
15Dallas TurnerLB Yr 31456.000
43Andrew Van GinkelOLB Yr 81176.511
17Kyle Van NoyMLB Yr 13971.500

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTFF
44Josh MetellusSAF Yr 727400
7Byron MurphyCB Yr 825630
23James PierreCB Yr 720420
26Theo JacksonDB Yr 513100
22Harrison SmithFS Yr 159410
2Isaiah RodgersCB Yr 79410
24Jay WardSAF Yr 44000

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
16Will ReichardYr 318/2090%5610/1064

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
19Brett ThorsonR2044.062101
6Johnny HekkerYr 151238.35221