Who won Packers vs. Patriots?

The Green Bay Packers won 45-27 at Gillette Stadium.

Who covered the spread in Packers vs. Patriots?

The Packers covered the closing line of NE -3.0.

Did Packers vs. Patriots go over or under?

Over: the teams scored 72 points against a closing total of 44.5.

What did the ratings predict for Packers vs. Patriots?

The projection published the morning of the game was NE -3.5, with the Patriots 61% to win.

Green Bay Packers vs. New England PatriotsWeek 9 Final Score, Stats and Recap

Final · Sun, Nov 8Gillette Stadium · Patriots at home

Green Bay Packers beat New England Patriots 45-27. The projection published that morning was NE -3.5 (Patriots 61% to win). The closing line was NE -3.0; the Packers covered, and the 72 total points went over the 44.5 total.

Packers vs. Patriots final score and how the prediction did

Final scoreExcitement 2.3

Green Bay Packers

6-3 · No. 12 in the ratings

New England Patriots

5-4 · No. 14 in the ratings

GB 39%Win probability that morning61% NE

vs. closePrediction vs. the closing line	Model	Market	Diff	Result
Spread	NE -3.5	NE -3.0	NE +0.5	GB by 18GB covered
Total	42.6	44.5	Under 1.9	72Went over
Win prob.probability	NE 61%	NE 62%	-2 pts	GB won
Moneyline	—	GB +154 · NE -185

Closing line. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 9 lines · How the projections work

Packers vs. Patriots game stats

Stat	GB	NE
Points	45	27
EPA per play	+0.31	-0.11
Total yards	480	387
Yards per play	7.4	6.2
Third downs	4-12	4-9
Turnovers	0	4

Tale of the tape season to date

Stat	GB	NE
Record	6-3	5-4
Division	4th, NFC N	2nd, AFC E
Rating	+2.412	+1.914
Adj Off	23.911	24.29
Adj Def	21.69	22.313
Points per game	24.012	23.414
Points allowed per game	21.211	23.015
Playoff odds	63%	68%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Packers vs. Patriots matchup stats season to date

When the Packers have the ball

Stat	GBoff	NEdef
Yards per pass attempt	7.08	6.723
Yards per rush	3.231	3.98
Starting field position	Own 326	Own 3013
EPA per play	+0.0459	+0.04221
Adj. EPA per play	+0.02910	+0.00919
Success rate	40.8%27	43.8%17
Passing EPA per play	+0.2016	+0.14424
Rushing EPA per play	-0.25531	-0.11811
CPOE	1.113	5.130
Explosive play rate	9.2%8	9.3%28
Points per game	24.012	23.015
Points per drive	2.1915	2.3320
Red zone TD rate	58.1%22	61.1%13
3rd down conversion	37.8%18	38.0%11
Turnovers per game	1.2214	0.8927
Sack rate	4.4%8	7.3%6
Penalties per game	8.226	6.425

When the Patriots have the ball

Stat	NEoff	GBdef
Yards per pass attempt	7.44	5.43
Yards per rush	4.511	4.113
Starting field position	Own 3023	Own 296
EPA per play	+0.04010	-0.0509
Adj. EPA per play	+0.0309	-0.0327
Success rate	45.5%10	44.4%19
Passing EPA per play	+0.1619	-0.0275
Rushing EPA per play	-0.14924	-0.09216
CPOE	6.52	-1.29
Explosive play rate	9.8%5	7.0%8
Points per game	23.414	21.211
Points per drive	2.1019	1.866
Red zone TD rate	69.4%6	68.6%21
3rd down conversion	40.4%11	41.7%22
Turnovers per game	2.1130	2.112
Sack rate	5.7%19	6.6%10
Penalties per game	7.318	6.128

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Form coming in