Who won Patriots vs. Bills?

The New England Patriots won 29-26 at Highmark Stadium.

Who covered the spread in Patriots vs. Bills?

The Patriots covered the closing line of BUF -7.0.

Did Patriots vs. Bills go over or under?

Over: the teams scored 55 points against a closing total of 49.5.

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo BillsWeek 4 Final Score, Stats and Recap

Final · Sun, Oct 4Highmark Stadium · Bills at homeAFC East division game

New England Patriots beat Buffalo Bills 29-26. The closing line was BUF -7.0; the Patriots covered, and the 55 total points went over the 49.5 total.

Patriots vs. Bills final score and how the prediction did

Final scoreExcitement 5.6

New England Patriots

5-4 · No. 14 in the ratings

Buffalo Bills

7-1 · No. 2 in the ratings

vs. closePrediction vs. the closing line	Model	Market	Diff	Result
Spread	—	BUF -7.0	—	NE by 3NE covered
Total	—	49.5	—	55Went over
Win prob.probability	—	BUF 74%	—	NE won
Moneyline	—	NE +275 · BUF -345

Closing line. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 4 lines · How the projections work

Patriots vs. Bills game stats

Stat	NE	BUF
Points	29	26
EPA per play	+0.19	+0.11
Total yards	409	340
Yards per play	5.7	6.2
Third downs	5-12	6-12
Turnovers	2	2

Tale of the tape season to date

Stat	NE	BUF
Record	5-4	7-1
Division	2nd, AFC E	1st, AFC E
Rating	+1.914	+5.82
Adj Off	24.29	27.91
Adj Def	22.313	22.112
Points per game	23.414	32.01
Points allowed per game	23.015	23.416
Playoff odds	68%	100%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Patriots vs. Bills matchup stats season to date

When the Patriots have the ball

Stat	NEoff	BUFdef
Yards per pass attempt	7.44	6.013
Yards per rush	4.511	4.09
Starting field position	Own 3023	Own 3118
EPA per play	+0.04010	+0.01917
Adj. EPA per play	+0.0309	-0.0318
Success rate	45.5%10	45.7%25
Passing EPA per play	+0.1619	+0.07116
Rushing EPA per play	-0.14924	-0.08617
CPOE	6.52	-3.54
Explosive play rate	9.8%5	8.5%18
Points per game	23.414	23.416
Points per drive	2.1019	2.1714
Red zone TD rate	69.4%6	66.7%20
3rd down conversion	40.4%11	38.6%12
Turnovers per game	2.1130	1.5010
Sack rate	5.7%19	4.8%23
Penalties per game	7.318	7.316

When the Bills have the ball

Stat	BUFoff	NEdef
Yards per pass attempt	7.53	6.723
Yards per rush	4.88	3.98
Starting field position	Own 342	Own 3013
EPA per play	+0.1403	+0.04221
Adj. EPA per play	+0.0771	+0.00919
Success rate	47.7%6	43.8%17
Passing EPA per play	+0.2503	+0.14424
Rushing EPA per play	-0.0014	-0.11811
CPOE	4.06	5.130
Explosive play rate	11.6%1	9.3%28
Points per game	32.01	23.015
Points per drive	3.011	2.3320
Red zone TD rate	69.0%7	61.1%13
3rd down conversion	43.2%8	38.0%11
Turnovers per game	1.5022	0.8927
Sack rate	5.7%17	7.3%6
Penalties per game	8.530	6.425

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Form coming in