PFR

Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington CommandersWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Northwest Stadium · Commanders at homeNFC East division game

The ratings project Dallas Cowboys 25.0, Washington Commanders 24.9 (a pick 'em) and give the Cowboys a 50% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Cowboys vs. Commanders prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 64
Dallas Cowboys

4-5 · No. 17 in the ratings

25.0
Washington Commanders

3-5-1 · No. 21 in the ratings

24.9
DAL 50%Win probability50% WAS
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadPick 'em——
Total49.9——
Win prob.DAL 50%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatDALWAS
Record4-53-5-1
Division2nd, NFC E3rd, NFC E
Rating-0.617-2.221
Adj Off24.5822.020
Adj Def25.12524.223
Points per game27.3621.821
Points allowed per game26.22524.820
Playoff odds26%13%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Cowboys vs. Commanders matchup stats season to date

When the Cowboys have the ball

StatDALoffWASdef
Yards per pass attempt6.6116.319
Yards per rush4.0234.112
Starting field positionOwn 3210Own 3121
EPA per play+0.1126+0.03720
Adj. EPA per play+0.0515+0.02623
Success rate47.1%846.0%26
Passing EPA per play+0.1898+0.09019
Rushing EPA per play-0.02710-0.06325
CPOE0.1172.624
Explosive play rate7.4%257.0%9
Points per game27.3624.820
Points per drive2.8642.3219
Red zone TD rate68.3%974.3%29
3rd down conversion45.3%539.3%16
Turnovers per game1.0081.568
Sack rate3.5%54.6%27
Penalties per game8.2266.622

When the Commanders have the ball

StatWASoffDALdef
Yards per pass attempt5.9206.621
Yards per rush4.5105.230
Starting field positionOwn 3024Own 295
EPA per play-0.01219+0.10131
Adj. EPA per play-0.01318+0.05732
Success rate43.0%1746.3%27
Passing EPA per play+0.05119+0.18729
Rushing EPA per play-0.12620-0.02830
CPOE2.092.423
Explosive play rate7.5%228.9%20
Points per game21.82126.225
Points per drive1.90262.4826
Red zone TD rate66.7%1169.2%23
3rd down conversion33.3%3048.3%32
Turnovers per game0.7860.8927
Sack rate5.6%154.7%26
Penalties per game7.2149.41

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Cowboys and Commanders recent results

Dallas Cowboys

Wk 9@Indianapolis ColtsW27-23
Wk 8vsArizona CardinalsL30-33OT
Wk 7@Philadelphia EaglesW38-21
Wk 6@Green Bay PackersL13-23
Wk 5vsTampa Bay BuccaneersL16-24

Washington Commanders

Wk 10@New York GiantsW24-21
Wk 9vsLos Angeles RamsL13-20
Wk 8vsPhiladelphia EaglesW27-10
Wk 6@San Francisco 49ersL17-23
Wk 5vsNew York GiantsT27-27OT

Players to watch season totals

Dallas Cowboys

  • Dak PrescottQB · #4218/336, 2,381 yds, 16 TD, 5 INT
  • Javonte WilliamsRB · #33154 car, 629 yds, 9 TD
  • CeeDee LambWR · #8870 rec, 904 yds, 7 TD
  • George PickensWR · #339 rec, 533 yds, 2 TD

Washington Commanders

  • Jayden DanielsQB · #5138/213, 1,499 yds, 10 TD, 2 INT
  • Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · #2267 car, 239 yds, 2 TD
  • Stefon DiggsWR · #336 rec, 386 yds, 6 TD
  • Antonio WilliamsWR · #1428 rec, 326 yds, 2 TD

Cowboys vs. Commanders: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Cowboys vs. Commanders?
The ratings project Dallas Cowboys 25.0, Washington Commanders 24.9, 49.9 total points.
Who is favored, the Cowboys or the Commanders?
The ratings call it a pick 'em.
When and where is Cowboys vs. Commanders?
Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at Northwest Stadium, the Commanders' home field.

More Week 18 predictions

All Week 18 gamesDallas CowboysWashington CommandersWeek 2 meeting at DAL