PFR

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay PackersWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Lambeau Field · Packers at homeNFC North division game

The ratings project Green Bay Packers 24, Detroit Lions 23 (GB -1.1) and give the Packers a 53% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Lions vs. Packers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 84
Detroit Lions

6-2 · No. 9 in the ratings

23
Green Bay Packers

6-3 · No. 12 in the ratings

24
DET 47%Win probability53% GB
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadGB -1.1——
Total47.5——
Win prob.GB 53%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatDETGB
Record6-26-3
Division2nd, NFC N4th, NFC N
Rating+2.89+2.412
Adj Off25.3523.911
Adj Def22.61521.69
Points per game27.8524.012
Points allowed per game23.61721.211
Playoff odds82%63%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Lions vs. Packers matchup stats season to date

When the Lions have the ball

StatDEToffGBdef
Yards per pass attempt6.9105.43
Yards per rush4.694.113
Starting field positionOwn 328Own 296
EPA per play+0.1047-0.0509
Adj. EPA per play+0.0506-0.0327
Success rate48.8%344.4%19
Passing EPA per play+0.2374-0.0275
Rushing EPA per play-0.07712-0.09216
CPOE1.412-1.29
Explosive play rate10.4%37.0%8
Points per game27.8521.211
Points per drive2.7461.866
Red zone TD rate64.1%1668.6%21
3rd down conversion37.2%2141.7%22
Turnovers per game0.6322.112
Sack rate6.1%206.6%10
Penalties per game7.0116.128

When the Packers have the ball

StatGBoffDETdef
Yards per pass attempt7.086.116
Yards per rush3.2314.316
Starting field positionOwn 326Own 282
EPA per play+0.0459+0.08630
Adj. EPA per play+0.02910+0.02422
Success rate40.8%2744.4%20
Passing EPA per play+0.2016+0.17527
Rushing EPA per play-0.25531-0.11512
CPOE1.1133.527
Explosive play rate9.2%89.5%29
Points per game24.01223.617
Points per drive2.19152.3320
Red zone TD rate58.1%2268.6%21
3rd down conversion37.8%1844.4%27
Turnovers per game1.22141.0024
Sack rate4.4%87.1%8
Penalties per game8.2266.523

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Lions and Packers recent results

Detroit Lions

Wk 9@Miami DolphinsW19-9
Wk 8vsMinnesota VikingsW19-15
Wk 7vsGreen Bay PackersW20-17
Wk 5@Arizona CardinalsW45-21
Wk 4@Carolina PanthersL26-32

Green Bay Packers

Wk 9@New England PatriotsW45-27
Wk 8vsCarolina PanthersW27-19
Wk 7@Detroit LionsL17-20
Wk 6vsDallas CowboysW23-13
Wk 5vsChicago BearsW31-7

Players to watch season totals

Detroit Lions

  • Jared GoffQB · #16185/273, 2,134 yds, 15 TD, 2 INT
  • Jahmyr GibbsRB · #0177 car, 847 yds, 9 TD
  • Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · #1461 rec, 657 yds, 5 TD
  • Sam LaPortaTE · #8735 rec, 399 yds, 3 TD

Green Bay Packers

  • Jordan LoveQB · #10215/341, 2,618 yds, 19 TD, 6 INT
  • MarShawn LloydRB · #3257 car, 149 yds, 2 TD
  • Matthew GoldenWR · #053 rec, 783 yds, 5 TD
  • Christian WatsonWR · #949 rec, 879 yds, 7 TD

Lions vs. Packers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Lions vs. Packers?
The ratings project Detroit Lions 23, Green Bay Packers 24, 47.5 total points.
Who is favored, the Lions or the Packers?
The ratings make the Packers 1.1-point favorites with a 53% chance to win.
When and where is Lions vs. Packers?
Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at Lambeau Field, the Packers' home field.

More Week 18 predictions

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