Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver BroncosWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread
Empower Field at Mile High · Broncos at homeAFC West division game
The ratings project Denver Broncos 26, Los Angeles Chargers 17 (DEN -8.6) and give the Broncos a 74% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.
Chargers vs. Broncos prediction: score, spread and over/under
Projected scoreThrill 23
Los Angeles Chargers
170-8 · No. 30 in the ratings
Denver Broncos
267-2 · No. 11 in the ratings
LAC 26%Win probability74% DEN
| vs. marketPrediction vs. the market | Model | Market | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DEN -8.6 | — | — |
| Total | 42.8 | — | — |
| Win prob.probability | DEN 74% | — | — |
| Moneyline | — | — | |
No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work
Tale of the tape season to date
| Stat | LAC | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-8 | 7-2 |
| Division | 4th, AFC W | 1st, AFC W |
| Rating | -4.630 | +2.511 |
| Adj Off | 19.829 | 23.515 |
| Adj Def | 24.424 | 21.07 |
| Points per game | 15.132 | 22.020 |
| Points allowed per game | 27.428 | 20.710 |
| Playoff odds | 0% | 96% |
Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.
Chargers vs. Broncos matchup stats season to date
When the Chargers have the ball
| Stat | LACoff | DENdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 5.228 | 5.76 |
| Yards per rush | 4.121 | 4.624 |
| Starting field position | Own 2830 | Own 284 |
| EPA per play | -0.22032 | -0.00913 |
| Adj. EPA per play | -0.09632 | -0.01712 |
| Success rate | 36.2%32 | 41.8%9 |
| Passing EPA per play | -0.18931 | +0.01310 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.26732 | -0.04726 |
| CPOE | -6.031 | -0.417 |
| Explosive play rate | 6.8%28 | 8.0%13 |
| Points per game | 15.132 | 20.710 |
| Points per drive | 1.2732 | 1.928 |
| Red zone TD rate | 52.4%28 | 55.6%9 |
| 3rd down conversion | 34.2%28 | 41.2%21 |
| Turnovers per game | 2.3832 | 1.4414 |
| Sack rate | 9.8%31 | 6.4%12 |
| Penalties per game | 8.329 | 8.19 |
When the Broncos have the ball
| Stat | DENoff | LACdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 5.624 | 7.231 |
| Yards per rush | 3.927 | 4.420 |
| Starting field position | Own 3019 | Own 3732 |
| EPA per play | +0.01315 | +0.00615 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.02112 | -0.01313 |
| Success rate | 40.5%28 | 44.0%18 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.08516 | +0.07417 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.09916 | -0.07821 |
| CPOE | -1.124 | 0.821 |
| Explosive play rate | 6.5%29 | 9.2%26 |
| Points per game | 22.020 | 27.428 |
| Points per drive | 2.0123 | 2.3623 |
| Red zone TD rate | 64.5%14 | 60.0%11 |
| 3rd down conversion | 32.4%32 | 34.3%8 |
| Turnovers per game | 0.673 | 1.5010 |
| Sack rate | 3.2%3 | 4.7%24 |
| Penalties per game | 7.721 | 8.46 |
Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.
Chargers and Broncos recent results
Players to watch season totals
Los Angeles Chargers
- Justin HerbertQB · #10144/235, 1,591 yds, 6 TD, 11 INT
- Omarion HamptonRB · #8102 car, 369 yds, 3 TD
- Tre HarrisWR · #921 rec, 262 yds, 0 TD
- Oronde Gadsden IITE · #8619 rec, 172 yds, 1 TD
Denver Broncos
- Bo NixQB · #10174/287, 1,730 yds, 11 TD, 4 INT
- J.K. DobbinsRB · #2798 car, 324 yds, 3 TD
- Jaylen WaddleWR · #1730 rec, 337 yds, 2 TD
- Courtland SuttonWR · #1425 rec, 266 yds, 2 TD
Chargers vs. Broncos: quick answers
- What is the predicted score of Chargers vs. Broncos?
- The ratings project Los Angeles Chargers 17, Denver Broncos 26, 42.8 total points.
- Who is favored, the Chargers or the Broncos?
- The ratings make the Broncos 8.6-point favorites with a 74% chance to win.
- When and where is Chargers vs. Broncos?
- Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at Empower Field at Mile High, the Broncos' home field.
More Week 18 predictions
- Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers
- Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings
- Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders
- Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
- Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts
- Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
- New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
- Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants
- Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams
- San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints
- Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans
All Week 18 gamesLos Angeles ChargersDenver BroncosWeek 5 meeting at LAC