Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans SaintsWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread
Caesars Superdome · Saints at homeNFC South division game
The ratings project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25, New Orleans Saints 21 (TB -3.3) and give the Buccaneers a 60% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.
Buccaneers vs. Saints prediction: score, spread and over/under
Projected scoreThrill 54
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
253-6 · No. 16 in the ratings
New Orleans Saints
213-5 · No. 24 in the ratings
TB 60%Win probability40% NO
| vs. marketPrediction vs. the market | Model | Market | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TB -3.3 | — | — |
| Total | 46.1 | — | — |
| Win prob.probability | TB 60% | — | — |
| Moneyline | — | — | |
No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work
Tale of the tape season to date
| Stat | TB | NO |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Division | 3rd, NFC S | 2nd, NFC S |
| Rating | +1.616 | -3.224 |
| Adj Off | 22.817 | 22.419 |
| Adj Def | 21.28 | 25.629 |
| Points per game | 22.418 | 23.115 |
| Points allowed per game | 19.87 | 27.027 |
| Playoff odds | 52% | 15% |
Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.
Buccaneers vs. Saints matchup stats season to date
When the Buccaneers have the ball
| Stat | TBoff | NOdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 4.830 | 6.724 |
| Yards per rush | 5.13 | 4.827 |
| Starting field position | Own 335 | Own 3328 |
| EPA per play | -0.10128 | +0.05624 |
| Adj. EPA per play | -0.04727 | +0.04528 |
| Success rate | 41.1%26 | 47.1%29 |
| Passing EPA per play | -0.16530 | +0.11422 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.0278 | -0.03328 |
| CPOE | -3.627 | 0.720 |
| Explosive play rate | 8.6%14 | 9.3%27 |
| Points per game | 22.418 | 27.027 |
| Points per drive | 2.0421 | 2.5328 |
| Red zone TD rate | 50.0%29 | 62.5%15 |
| 3rd down conversion | 36.3%23 | 47.2%28 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.6725 | 1.2517 |
| Sack rate | 8.6%29 | 7.2%7 |
| Penalties per game | 7.011 | 7.316 |
When the Saints have the ball
| Stat | NOoff | TBdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 5.623 | 6.012 |
| Yards per rush | 3.828 | 3.87 |
| Starting field position | Own 3022 | Own 3120 |
| EPA per play | -0.02822 | -0.1602 |
| Adj. EPA per play | -0.02823 | -0.0862 |
| Success rate | 42.3%21 | 40.3%3 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.03221 | -0.1472 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.14123 | -0.1852 |
| CPOE | -0.219 | -2.65 |
| Explosive play rate | 6.2%30 | 6.5%3 |
| Points per game | 23.115 | 19.87 |
| Points per drive | 2.0920 | 1.834 |
| Red zone TD rate | 69.0%8 | 48.4%3 |
| 3rd down conversion | 43.5%7 | 34.5%9 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.7526 | 2.221 |
| Sack rate | 5.5%14 | 4.9%21 |
| Penalties per game | 6.15 | 6.721 |
Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.
Buccaneers and Saints recent results
Players to watch season totals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Baker MayfieldQB · #686/142, 922 yds, 3 TD, 4 INT
- Bucky IrvingRB · #7167 car, 825 yds, 7 TD
- Emeka EgbukaWR · #231 rec, 278 yds, 2 TD
- Chris Godwin Jr.WR · #1429 rec, 259 yds, 0 TD
New Orleans Saints
- Tyler ShoughQB · #6204/308, 1,986 yds, 14 TD, 6 INT
- Kendre MillerRB57 car, 159 yds, 2 TD
- Chris OlaveWR · #1256 rec, 734 yds, 2 TD
- Devaughn VeleWR · #1435 rec, 365 yds, 3 TD
Buccaneers vs. Saints: quick answers
- What is the predicted score of Buccaneers vs. Saints?
- The ratings project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25, New Orleans Saints 21, 46.1 total points.
- Who is favored, the Buccaneers or the Saints?
- The ratings make the Buccaneers 3.3-point favorites with a 60% chance to win.
- When and where is Buccaneers vs. Saints?
- Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at Caesars Superdome, the Saints' home field.
More Week 18 predictions
- Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers
- Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings
- Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders
- Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
- Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts
- Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos
- Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
- New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
- Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants
- Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams
- San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals
- Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans
All Week 18 gamesTampa Bay BuccaneersNew Orleans SaintsWeek 15 meeting at TB