New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay BuccaneersWeek 15 Prediction, Odds and Spread
Raymond James Stadium · Buccaneers at homeNFC South division game
The ratings project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26, New Orleans Saints 20 (TB -6.3) and give the Buccaneers a 69% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.
Saints vs. Buccaneers prediction: score, spread and over/under
Projected scoreThrill 40
New Orleans Saints
203-5 · No. 24 in the ratings
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
263-6 · No. 16 in the ratings
NO 31%Win probability69% TB
| vs. marketPrediction vs. the market | Model | Market | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TB -6.3 | — | — |
| Total | 46.1 | — | — |
| Win prob.probability | TB 69% | — | — |
| Moneyline | — | — | |
No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 15 lines · How the projections work
Tale of the tape season to date
| Stat | NO | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-5 | 3-6 |
| Division | 2nd, NFC S | 3rd, NFC S |
| Rating | -3.224 | +1.616 |
| Adj Off | 22.419 | 22.817 |
| Adj Def | 25.629 | 21.28 |
| Points per game | 23.115 | 22.418 |
| Points allowed per game | 27.027 | 19.87 |
| Playoff odds | 15% | 52% |
Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.
Saints vs. Buccaneers matchup stats season to date
When the Saints have the ball
| Stat | NOoff | TBdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 5.623 | 6.012 |
| Yards per rush | 3.828 | 3.87 |
| Starting field position | Own 3022 | Own 3120 |
| EPA per play | -0.02822 | -0.1602 |
| Adj. EPA per play | -0.02823 | -0.0862 |
| Success rate | 42.3%21 | 40.3%3 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.03221 | -0.1472 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.14123 | -0.1852 |
| CPOE | -0.219 | -2.65 |
| Explosive play rate | 6.2%30 | 6.5%3 |
| Points per game | 23.115 | 19.87 |
| Points per drive | 2.0920 | 1.834 |
| Red zone TD rate | 69.0%8 | 48.4%3 |
| 3rd down conversion | 43.5%7 | 34.5%9 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.7526 | 2.221 |
| Sack rate | 5.5%14 | 4.9%21 |
| Penalties per game | 6.15 | 6.721 |
When the Buccaneers have the ball
| Stat | TBoff | NOdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 4.830 | 6.724 |
| Yards per rush | 5.13 | 4.827 |
| Starting field position | Own 335 | Own 3328 |
| EPA per play | -0.10128 | +0.05624 |
| Adj. EPA per play | -0.04727 | +0.04528 |
| Success rate | 41.1%26 | 47.1%29 |
| Passing EPA per play | -0.16530 | +0.11422 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.0278 | -0.03328 |
| CPOE | -3.627 | 0.720 |
| Explosive play rate | 8.6%14 | 9.3%27 |
| Points per game | 22.418 | 27.027 |
| Points per drive | 2.0421 | 2.5328 |
| Red zone TD rate | 50.0%29 | 62.5%15 |
| 3rd down conversion | 36.3%23 | 47.2%28 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.6725 | 1.2517 |
| Sack rate | 8.6%29 | 7.2%7 |
| Penalties per game | 7.011 | 7.316 |
Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.
Saints and Buccaneers recent results
Players to watch season totals
New Orleans Saints
- Tyler ShoughQB · #6204/308, 1,986 yds, 14 TD, 6 INT
- Kendre MillerRB57 car, 159 yds, 2 TD
- Chris OlaveWR · #1256 rec, 734 yds, 2 TD
- Devaughn VeleWR · #1435 rec, 365 yds, 3 TD
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Baker MayfieldQB · #686/142, 922 yds, 3 TD, 4 INT
- Bucky IrvingRB · #7167 car, 825 yds, 7 TD
- Emeka EgbukaWR · #231 rec, 278 yds, 2 TD
- Chris Godwin Jr.WR · #1429 rec, 259 yds, 0 TD
Saints vs. Buccaneers: quick answers
- What is the predicted score of Saints vs. Buccaneers?
- The ratings project New Orleans Saints 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26, 46.1 total points.
- Who is favored, the Saints or the Buccaneers?
- The ratings make the Buccaneers 6.3-point favorites with a 69% chance to win.
- When and where is Saints vs. Buccaneers?
- Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET at Raymond James Stadium, the Buccaneers' home field.
More Week 15 predictions
- San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Seattle Seahawks vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Chicago Bears vs. Buffalo Bills
- Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders
- Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Cincinnati Bengals vs. Carolina Panthers
- Cleveland Browns vs. New York Giants
- Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans
- Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans
- Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers
- New York Jets vs. Arizona Cardinals
- Dallas Cowboys vs. Los Angeles Rams
- Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders
- Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings
- New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs
All Week 15 gamesNew Orleans SaintsTampa Bay BuccaneersWeek 18 meeting at NO