PFR

New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay BuccaneersWeek 15 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Raymond James Stadium · Buccaneers at homeNFC South division game

The ratings project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26, New Orleans Saints 20 (TB -6.3) and give the Buccaneers a 69% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Saints vs. Buccaneers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 40
New Orleans Saints

3-5 · No. 24 in the ratings

20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3-6 · No. 16 in the ratings

26
NO 31%Win probability69% TB
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadTB -6.3——
Total46.1——
Win prob.TB 69%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 15 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatNOTB
Record3-53-6
Division2nd, NFC S3rd, NFC S
Rating-3.224+1.616
Adj Off22.41922.817
Adj Def25.62921.28
Points per game23.11522.418
Points allowed per game27.02719.87
Playoff odds15%52%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Saints vs. Buccaneers matchup stats season to date

When the Saints have the ball

StatNOoffTBdef
Yards per pass attempt5.6236.012
Yards per rush3.8283.87
Starting field positionOwn 3022Own 3120
EPA per play-0.02822-0.1602
Adj. EPA per play-0.02823-0.0862
Success rate42.3%2140.3%3
Passing EPA per play+0.03221-0.1472
Rushing EPA per play-0.14123-0.1852
CPOE-0.219-2.65
Explosive play rate6.2%306.5%3
Points per game23.11519.87
Points per drive2.09201.834
Red zone TD rate69.0%848.4%3
3rd down conversion43.5%734.5%9
Turnovers per game1.75262.221
Sack rate5.5%144.9%21
Penalties per game6.156.721

When the Buccaneers have the ball

StatTBoffNOdef
Yards per pass attempt4.8306.724
Yards per rush5.134.827
Starting field positionOwn 335Own 3328
EPA per play-0.10128+0.05624
Adj. EPA per play-0.04727+0.04528
Success rate41.1%2647.1%29
Passing EPA per play-0.16530+0.11422
Rushing EPA per play-0.0278-0.03328
CPOE-3.6270.720
Explosive play rate8.6%149.3%27
Points per game22.41827.027
Points per drive2.04212.5328
Red zone TD rate50.0%2962.5%15
3rd down conversion36.3%2347.2%28
Turnovers per game1.67251.2517
Sack rate8.6%297.2%7
Penalties per game7.0117.316

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Saints and Buccaneers recent results

New Orleans Saints

Wk 9vsCleveland BrownsW23-22OT
Wk 7NPittsburgh SteelersL10-16
Wk 6@New York GiantsW34-27
Wk 5vsMinnesota VikingsL13-23
Wk 4vsAtlanta FalconsL24-45

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk 9@Chicago BearsL24-27
Wk 8vsAtlanta FalconsW16-0
Wk 7@Carolina PanthersW43-13
Wk 6vsPittsburgh SteelersL19-26OT
Wk 5@Dallas CowboysW24-16

Players to watch season totals

New Orleans Saints

  • Tyler ShoughQB · #6204/308, 1,986 yds, 14 TD, 6 INT
  • Kendre MillerRB57 car, 159 yds, 2 TD
  • Chris OlaveWR · #1256 rec, 734 yds, 2 TD
  • Devaughn VeleWR · #1435 rec, 365 yds, 3 TD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Baker MayfieldQB · #686/142, 922 yds, 3 TD, 4 INT
  • Bucky IrvingRB · #7167 car, 825 yds, 7 TD
  • Emeka EgbukaWR · #231 rec, 278 yds, 2 TD
  • Chris Godwin Jr.WR · #1429 rec, 259 yds, 0 TD

Saints vs. Buccaneers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Saints vs. Buccaneers?
The ratings project New Orleans Saints 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26, 46.1 total points.
Who is favored, the Saints or the Buccaneers?
The ratings make the Buccaneers 6.3-point favorites with a 69% chance to win.
When and where is Saints vs. Buccaneers?
Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET at Raymond James Stadium, the Buccaneers' home field.

More Week 15 predictions

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