PFR

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas RaidersWeek 15 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Allegiant Stadium · Raiders at homeAFC West division game

The ratings project Denver Broncos 27, Las Vegas Raiders 22 (DEN -4.9) and give the Broncos a 65% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Broncos vs. Raiders prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 38
Denver Broncos

7-2 · No. 11 in the ratings

27
Las Vegas Raiders

4-5 · No. 27 in the ratings

22
DEN 65%Win probability35% LV
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadDEN -4.9——
Total49.7——
Win prob.DEN 65%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 15 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatDENLV
Record7-24-5
Division1st, AFC W3rd, AFC W
Rating+2.511-3.927
Adj Off23.51523.614
Adj Def21.0727.532
Points per game22.02026.48
Points allowed per game20.71029.832
Playoff odds96%7%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Broncos vs. Raiders matchup stats season to date

When the Broncos have the ball

StatDENoffLVdef
Yards per pass attempt5.6247.128
Yards per rush3.9275.332
Starting field positionOwn 3019Own 297
EPA per play+0.01315+0.08028
Adj. EPA per play+0.02112+0.04930
Success rate40.5%2847.8%31
Passing EPA per play+0.08516+0.18628
Rushing EPA per play-0.09916-0.06623
CPOE-1.1244.729
Explosive play rate6.5%2910.2%31
Points per game22.02029.832
Points per drive2.01232.6330
Red zone TD rate64.5%1469.8%24
3rd down conversion32.4%3244.0%26
Turnovers per game0.6731.568
Sack rate3.2%35.5%17
Penalties per game7.7217.911

When the Raiders have the ball

StatLVoffDENdef
Yards per pass attempt6.995.76
Yards per rush3.1324.624
Starting field positionOwn 371Own 284
EPA per play+0.01216-0.00913
Adj. EPA per play-0.01419-0.01712
Success rate43.5%1641.8%9
Passing EPA per play+0.15310+0.01310
Rushing EPA per play-0.23430-0.04726
CPOE0.516-0.417
Explosive play rate7.4%238.0%13
Points per game26.4820.710
Points per drive2.8631.928
Red zone TD rate62.2%2055.6%9
3rd down conversion43.8%641.2%21
Turnovers per game1.44201.4414
Sack rate3.0%26.4%12
Penalties per game6.038.19

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Broncos and Raiders recent results

Denver Broncos

Wk 9@Carolina PanthersW26-21
Wk 8vsKansas City ChiefsW28-24
Wk 7@Arizona CardinalsW30-16
Wk 6vsSeattle SeahawksW17-14OT
Wk 5@Los Angeles ChargersW23-17

Las Vegas Raiders

Wk 9@San Francisco 49ersL17-38
Wk 8@New York JetsW38-33
Wk 7vsLos Angeles RamsL21-35
Wk 6vsBuffalo BillsL30-33
Wk 5@New England PatriotsL17-45

Players to watch season totals

Denver Broncos

  • Bo NixQB · #10174/287, 1,730 yds, 11 TD, 4 INT
  • J.K. DobbinsRB · #2798 car, 324 yds, 3 TD
  • Jaylen WaddleWR · #1730 rec, 337 yds, 2 TD
  • Courtland SuttonWR · #1425 rec, 266 yds, 2 TD

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Kirk CousinsQB202/315, 2,340 yds, 20 TD, 8 INT
  • Ashton JeantyRB · #2114 car, 362 yds, 1 TD
  • Brock BowersTE · #8948 rec, 658 yds, 6 TD
  • Michael MayerTE · #8739 rec, 388 yds, 1 TD

Broncos vs. Raiders: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Broncos vs. Raiders?
The ratings project Denver Broncos 27, Las Vegas Raiders 22, 49.7 total points.
Who is favored, the Broncos or the Raiders?
The ratings make the Broncos 4.9-point favorites with a 65% chance to win.
When and where is Broncos vs. Raiders?
Sun, Dec 20 · 4:25 PM ET at Allegiant Stadium, the Raiders' home field.

More Week 15 predictions

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