PFR

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston TexansWeek 15 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Reliant Stadium · Texans at homeAFC South division game

The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 25, Houston Texans 22 (JAX -3.3) and give the Jaguars a 60% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Jaguars vs. Texans prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 84
Jacksonville Jaguars

6-2 · No. 1 in the ratings

25
Houston Texans

3-5 · No. 10 in the ratings

22
JAX 60%Win probability40% HOU
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadJAX -3.3——
Total46.7——
Win prob.JAX 60%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 15 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatJAXHOU
Record6-23-5
Division1st, AFC S2nd, AFC S
Rating+7.41+2.610
Adj Off26.2225.17
Adj Def18.8222.514
Points per game28.6426.19
Points allowed per game15.1224.018
Playoff odds99%28%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Jaguars vs. Texans matchup stats season to date

When the Jaguars have the ball

StatJAXoffHOUdef
Yards per pass attempt7.626.217
Yards per rush4.2184.011
Starting field positionOwn 328Own 3116
EPA per play+0.1135+0.02018
Adj. EPA per play+0.0564-0.00314
Success rate46.3%941.3%6
Passing EPA per play+0.2315+0.08418
Rushing EPA per play-0.0279-0.08419
CPOE2.47-1.78
Explosive play rate9.5%69.2%25
Points per game28.6424.018
Points per drive2.7272.2315
Red zone TD rate75.8%275.0%30
3rd down conversion46.4%338.7%13
Turnovers per game0.7541.0024
Sack rate4.9%118.8%2
Penalties per game7.3177.514

When the Texans have the ball

StatHOUoffJAXdef
Yards per pass attempt7.266.622
Yards per rush3.7303.86
Starting field positionOwn 2927Own 298
EPA per play+0.0668-0.1093
Adj. EPA per play+0.0428-0.0663
Success rate43.8%1341.1%5
Passing EPA per play+0.1897-0.0673
Rushing EPA per play-0.16125-0.1843
CPOE1.6104.328
Explosive play rate8.8%116.8%6
Points per game26.1915.12
Points per drive2.4692.1612
Red zone TD rate62.9%1850.0%4
3rd down conversion39.8%1334.0%6
Turnovers per game0.5011.883
Sack rate4.8%105.1%19
Penalties per game8.0238.83

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Jaguars and Texans recent results

Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk 9@Baltimore RavensW33-10
Wk 8vsIndianapolis ColtsW42-7
Wk 6NHouston TexansL31-34
Wk 5NPhiladelphia EaglesW19-17
Wk 4@Cincinnati BengalsW22-17

Houston Texans

Wk 9@Los Angeles ChargersW44-22
Wk 7vsNew York GiantsL21-27OT
Wk 6NJacksonville JaguarsW34-31
Wk 5@Tennessee TitansW26-3
Wk 4vsDallas CowboysL30-34

Players to watch season totals

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Trevor LawrenceQB · #16146/224, 1,932 yds, 18 TD, 4 INT
  • Bhayshul TutenRB · #33122 car, 521 yds, 4 TD
  • Brenton StrangeTE · #8530 rec, 356 yds, 1 TD
  • Parker WashingtonWR · #1129 rec, 493 yds, 5 TD

Houston Texans

  • C.J. StroudQB · #7181/282, 2,251 yds, 16 TD, 2 INT
  • Woody MarksRB · #495 car, 341 yds, 2 TD
  • Dalton SchultzTE · #8635 rec, 364 yds, 0 TD
  • Nico CollinsWR · #1228 rec, 384 yds, 4 TD

Jaguars vs. Texans: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Jaguars vs. Texans?
The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 25, Houston Texans 22, 46.7 total points.
Who is favored, the Jaguars or the Texans?
The ratings make the Jaguars 3.3-point favorites with a 60% chance to win.
When and where is Jaguars vs. Texans?
Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET at Reliant Stadium, the Texans' home field.

More Week 15 predictions

All Week 15 gamesJacksonville JaguarsHouston TexansWeek 6 meeting at JAX