AFC South · 2026
Houston Texans
2-5 (2-1 AFC South · 2-3 AFC)2nd in the AFC South
Last: L 21-27 vs New York Giants (OT)Next: at Los Angeles ChargersLine HOU -4.5 · Model HOU -3.3
- Rating
- +1.215
- Adj Off
- 23.712
- Adj Def
- 22.513
- Playoffs
- 15%
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 35.1%24 | 37.7%21 |
| Early-down pass rate | 54.7%11 | 54.2%6 |
| Plays per game | 64.717 | 65.913 |
| Time of possession | 29:4119 | 30:4114 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 6.89 | 6.420 |
| Yards per rush | 3.629 | 3.98 |
| Starting field position | Own 2929 | Own 3015 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.03313 | +0.04722 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.02311 | +0.00716 |
| Success rate | 43.5%15 | 41.9%8 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.14112 | +0.10222 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.16725 | -0.04527 |
| CPOE | 2.38 | 0.318 |
| Explosive play rate | 8.4%15 | 9.5%26 |
Situational
Scoring, red zone finishing, money downs, ball security, protection and discipline.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 23.613 | 24.318 |
| Points per drive | 2.2613 | 2.3319 |
| Red zone TD rate | 60.7%21 | 76.0%28 |
| 3rd down conversion | 37.1%25 | 40.5%17 |
| Turnovers per game | 0.431 | 0.8628 |
| Sack rate | 5.1%12 | 7.3%5 |
| Penalties per game | 8.328 | 7.317 |
Rank out of 32 teams, regular season only. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like pace and pass rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 7.7-9.3
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13Wk 1 | 3Buffalo Bills | L31-36 | +0.07 | +0.28 |
| Sep 20Wk 2 | 8Cincinnati Bengals | L6-20 | -0.24 | -0.11 |
| Sep 27Wk 3 | @24Indianapolis ColtsDIV | L17-19 | -0.08 | -0.11 |
| Oct 4Wk 4 | 17Dallas Cowboys | L30-34 | +0.18 | +0.20 |
| Oct 11Wk 5 | @32Tennessee TitansDIV | W26-3 | +0.14 | -0.36 |
| Oct 18Wk 6 | N1Jacksonville JaguarsDIV | W34-31 | +0.27 | +0.15 |
| Oct 25Wk 7 | 20New York Giants | L21-27OT | -0.04 | +0.25 |
| Nov 8Wk 9 | @28Los Angeles Chargers | -3.360% | — | — |
| Nov 15Wk 10 | @27Cleveland Browns | -3.260% | — | — |
| Nov 19Wk 11 | 24Indianapolis ColtsDIV | -5.867% | — | — |
| Nov 29Wk 12 | 18Baltimore Ravens | -4.062% | — | — |
| Dec 6Wk 13 | @13Pittsburgh Steelers | +2.044% | — | — |
| Dec 13Wk 14 | @22Washington Commanders | -2.156% | — | — |
| Dec 20Wk 15 | 1Jacksonville JaguarsDIV | +3.739% | — | — |
| Dec 24Wk 16 | @26Philadelphia Eagles | -2.959% | — | — |
| Jan 4Wk 17 | @16Green Bay Packers | +1.446% | — | — |
| Jan 10Wk 18 | 32Tennessee TitansDIV | -8.875% | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them; defenders by tackles. Regular season only. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7C.J. StroudYr 4 | 100% | 160/247 | 64.8% | 1867 | 7.6 | 11 | 1 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Woody MarksYr 2 | 46% | 77 | 271 | 3.5 | 2 | 14 |
| 32David MontgomeryYr 8 | 31% | 52 | 138 | 2.7 | 2 | 7 |
| 25Jawhar JordanYr 3 | 4% | 6 | 43 | 7.2 | 1 | 1 |
Receivers and tight ends
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86Dalton SchultzTE Yr 9 | 13% | 33 | 322 | 9.8 | 0 |
| 12Nico CollinsWR Yr 6 | 10% | 24 | 329 | 13.7 | 3 |
| 19Xavier HutchinsonWR Yr 4 | 8% | 21 | 258 | 12.3 | 1 |
| 13Jaylin NoelWR Yr 2 | 8% | 19 | 331 | 17.4 | 2 |
| 14Kayshon BoutteWR Yr 4 | 6% | 15 | 194 | 12.9 | 0 |
| 87Foster MoreauTE Yr 8 | 4% | 11 | 72 | 6.5 | 3 |
| 18Marvin Harrison Jr.WR Yr 3 | 4% | 9 | 125 | 13.9 | 2 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | QBH | FF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51Will Anderson Jr.DE Yr 4 | 17 | 10 | 7.5 | 15 | 1 |
| 98Sheldon RankinsDT Yr 11 | 13 | 4 | 2.0 | 6 | 0 |
| 72Tommy TogiaiDT Yr 6 | 11 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 55Danielle HunterDE Yr 12 | 8 | 3 | 4.0 | 9 | 1 |
| 90Jadeveon ClowneyDE Yr 13 | 5 | 2 | 1.5 | 4 | 0 |
| 96Logan HallDE Yr 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 4 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0Azeez Al-ShaairLB Yr 8 | 22 | 1 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 35Jake HansenLB Yr 5 | 16 | 3 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| 39Henry To'oTo'oLB Yr 4 | 7 | 3 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| 30Wade WoodazLB R | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | FF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Kamari LassiterCB Yr 3 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 6Reed BlankenshipSAF Yr 5 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 2Calen BullockSAF Yr 3 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 5Jalen PitreSAF Yr 5 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 24Derek Stingley Jr.CB Yr 5 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| 29M.J. StewartSAF Yr 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11Tremon SmithCB Yr 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15Ka'imi FairbairnYr 11 | 15/16 | 94% | 58 | 16/16 | 61 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38Kai KroegerYr 2 | 29 | 47.7 | 67 | 9 | 0 |