PFR

Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay PackersWeek 15 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Lambeau Field · Packers at home

The ratings project Green Bay Packers 26, Miami Dolphins 17 (GB -8.4) and give the Packers a 74% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Dolphins vs. Packers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 20
Miami Dolphins

1-7 · No. 29 in the ratings

17
Green Bay Packers

6-3 · No. 12 in the ratings

26
MIA 26%Win probability74% GB
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadGB -8.4——
Total42.8——
Win prob.GB 74%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 15 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatMIAGB
Record1-76-3
Division4th, AFC E4th, NFC N
Rating-4.629+2.412
Adj Off19.33223.911
Adj Def23.92121.69
Points per game15.83124.012
Points allowed per game25.02421.211
Playoff odds0%63%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Dolphins vs. Packers matchup stats season to date

When the Dolphins have the ball

StatMIAoffGBdef
Yards per pass attempt5.7225.43
Yards per rush4.4134.113
Starting field positionOwn 2831Own 296
EPA per play-0.06726-0.0509
Adj. EPA per play-0.04326-0.0327
Success rate39.2%2944.4%19
Passing EPA per play-0.01524-0.0275
Rushing EPA per play-0.14122-0.09216
CPOE-4.630-1.29
Explosive play rate8.0%177.0%8
Points per game15.83121.211
Points per drive1.70281.866
Red zone TD rate54.2%2668.6%21
3rd down conversion41.6%1041.7%22
Turnovers per game1.25162.112
Sack rate8.6%306.6%10
Penalties per game7.5196.128

When the Packers have the ball

StatGBoffMIAdef
Yards per pass attempt7.087.332
Yards per rush3.2314.214
Starting field positionOwn 326Own 3731
EPA per play+0.0459+0.11132
Adj. EPA per play+0.02910+0.05231
Success rate40.8%2748.4%32
Passing EPA per play+0.2016+0.25531
Rushing EPA per play-0.25531-0.06922
CPOE1.11310.832
Explosive play rate9.2%88.8%19
Points per game24.01225.024
Points per drive2.19152.7432
Red zone TD rate58.1%2262.9%16
3rd down conversion37.8%1847.4%29
Turnovers per game1.22140.8829
Sack rate4.4%84.5%29
Penalties per game8.2267.316

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Dolphins and Packers recent results

Miami Dolphins

Wk 9vsDetroit LionsL9-19
Wk 8vsNew England PatriotsL19-24
Wk 7@New York JetsW28-25
Wk 5vsCincinnati BengalsL24-31
Wk 4@Minnesota VikingsL10-15

Green Bay Packers

Wk 9@New England PatriotsW45-27
Wk 8vsCarolina PanthersW27-19
Wk 7@Detroit LionsL17-20
Wk 6vsDallas CowboysW23-13
Wk 5vsChicago BearsW31-7

Players to watch season totals

Miami Dolphins

  • Malik WillisQB · #2121/208, 1,396 yds, 6 TD, 6 INT
  • Ollie Gordon IIRB · #0107 car, 463 yds, 4 TD
  • Malik WashingtonWR · #633 rec, 350 yds, 1 TD
  • Greg DulcichTE · #8524 rec, 270 yds, 0 TD

Green Bay Packers

  • Jordan LoveQB · #10215/341, 2,618 yds, 19 TD, 6 INT
  • MarShawn LloydRB · #3257 car, 149 yds, 2 TD
  • Matthew GoldenWR · #053 rec, 783 yds, 5 TD
  • Christian WatsonWR · #949 rec, 879 yds, 7 TD

Dolphins vs. Packers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Dolphins vs. Packers?
The ratings project Miami Dolphins 17, Green Bay Packers 26, 42.8 total points.
Who is favored, the Dolphins or the Packers?
The ratings make the Packers 8.4-point favorites with a 74% chance to win.
When and where is Dolphins vs. Packers?
Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET at Lambeau Field, the Packers' home field.

More Week 15 predictions

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