PFR

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota VikingsWeek 15 Prediction, Odds and Spread

U.S. Bank Stadium · Vikings at homeNFC North division game

The ratings project Minnesota Vikings 21, Detroit Lions 20 (MIN -0.9) and give the Vikings a 53% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Lions vs. Vikings prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 79
Detroit Lions

6-2 · No. 9 in the ratings

20
Minnesota Vikings

6-2 · No. 13 in the ratings

21
DET 47%Win probability53% MIN
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadMIN -0.9——
Total41.4——
Win prob.MIN 53%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 15 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatDETMIN
Record6-26-2
Division2nd, NFC N3rd, NFC N
Rating+2.89+2.213
Adj Off25.3520.826
Adj Def22.61518.61
Points per game27.8518.327
Points allowed per game23.61714.51
Playoff odds82%83%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Lions vs. Vikings matchup stats season to date

When the Lions have the ball

StatDEToffMINdef
Yards per pass attempt6.9104.92
Yards per rush4.694.421
Starting field positionOwn 328Own 3011
EPA per play+0.1047-0.1681
Adj. EPA per play+0.0506-0.0861
Success rate48.8%336.7%1
Passing EPA per play+0.2374-0.1831
Rushing EPA per play-0.07712-0.1498
CPOE1.412-6.81
Explosive play rate10.4%38.0%12
Points per game27.8514.51
Points per drive2.7461.471
Red zone TD rate64.1%1642.3%1
3rd down conversion37.2%2131.2%3
Turnovers per game0.6321.634
Sack rate6.1%2010.3%1
Penalties per game7.0118.010

When the Vikings have the ball

StatMINoffDETdef
Yards per pass attempt5.2276.116
Yards per rush4.3154.316
Starting field positionOwn 334Own 282
EPA per play-0.15131+0.08630
Adj. EPA per play-0.07731+0.02422
Success rate37.1%3044.4%20
Passing EPA per play-0.11729+0.17527
Rushing EPA per play-0.20327-0.11512
CPOE-2.9263.527
Explosive play rate7.6%199.5%29
Points per game18.32723.617
Points per drive1.57302.3320
Red zone TD rate52.6%2768.6%21
3rd down conversion33.3%3044.4%27
Turnovers per game1.0081.0024
Sack rate8.0%267.1%8
Penalties per game5.416.523

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Lions and Vikings recent results

Detroit Lions

Wk 9@Miami DolphinsW19-9
Wk 8vsMinnesota VikingsW19-15
Wk 7vsGreen Bay PackersW20-17
Wk 5@Arizona CardinalsW45-21
Wk 4@Carolina PanthersL26-32

Minnesota Vikings

Wk 9vsBuffalo BillsL6-23
Wk 8@Detroit LionsL15-19
Wk 7vsIndianapolis ColtsW16-10
Wk 5@New Orleans SaintsW23-13
Wk 4vsMiami DolphinsW15-10

Players to watch season totals

Detroit Lions

  • Jared GoffQB · #16185/273, 2,134 yds, 15 TD, 2 INT
  • Jahmyr GibbsRB · #0177 car, 847 yds, 9 TD
  • Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · #1461 rec, 657 yds, 5 TD
  • Sam LaPortaTE · #8735 rec, 399 yds, 3 TD

Minnesota Vikings

  • Kyler MurrayQB · #1100/154, 1,022 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT
  • Aaron JonesRB · #33115 car, 474 yds, 2 TD
  • T.J. HockensonTE · #8735 rec, 328 yds, 3 TD
  • Justin JeffersonWR · #1831 rec, 393 yds, 4 TD

Lions vs. Vikings: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Lions vs. Vikings?
The ratings project Detroit Lions 20, Minnesota Vikings 21, 41.4 total points.
Who is favored, the Lions or the Vikings?
The ratings make the Vikings 0.9-point favorites with a 53% chance to win.
When and where is Lions vs. Vikings?
Sun, Dec 20 · 8:20 PM ET at U.S. Bank Stadium, the Vikings' home field.

More Week 15 predictions

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