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San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles ChargersWeek 15 Prediction, Odds and Spread

SoFi Stadium · Chargers at home

The ratings project San Francisco 49ers 27, Los Angeles Chargers 19 (SF -7.4) and give the 49ers a 71% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

49ers vs. Chargers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 32
San Francisco 49ers

7-1 · No. 4 in the ratings

27
Los Angeles Chargers

0-8 · No. 30 in the ratings

19
SF 71%Win probability29% LAC
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadSF -7.4——
Total45.7——
Win prob.SF 71%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 15 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatSFLAC
Record7-10-8
Division1st, NFC W4th, AFC W
Rating+4.34-4.630
Adj Off25.8419.829
Adj Def21.6924.424
Points per game29.4315.132
Points allowed per game19.5627.428
Playoff odds97%0%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

49ers vs. Chargers matchup stats season to date

When the 49ers have the ball

StatSFoffLACdef
Yards per pass attempt8.017.231
Yards per rush4.954.420
Starting field positionOwn 3113Own 3732
EPA per play+0.1641+0.00615
Adj. EPA per play+0.0723-0.01313
Success rate52.5%144.0%18
Passing EPA per play+0.2901+0.07417
Rushing EPA per play-0.0013-0.07821
CPOE4.930.821
Explosive play rate10.7%29.2%26
Points per game29.4327.428
Points per drive2.9522.3623
Red zone TD rate87.9%160.0%11
3rd down conversion51.7%234.3%8
Turnovers per game1.25161.5010
Sack rate2.9%14.7%24
Penalties per game6.368.46

When the Chargers have the ball

StatLACoffSFdef
Yards per pass attempt5.2285.89
Yards per rush4.1213.41
Starting field positionOwn 2830Own 3227
EPA per play-0.22032-0.0637
Adj. EPA per play-0.09632-0.0356
Success rate36.2%3243.4%14
Passing EPA per play-0.18931+0.02412
Rushing EPA per play-0.26732-0.2081
CPOE-6.0313.426
Explosive play rate6.8%284.5%1
Points per game15.13219.56
Points per drive1.27322.3320
Red zone TD rate52.4%2850.0%4
3rd down conversion34.2%2840.4%18
Turnovers per game2.38321.634
Sack rate9.8%314.7%25
Penalties per game8.3296.327

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

49ers and Chargers recent results

San Francisco 49ers

Wk 9vsLas Vegas RaidersW38-17
Wk 7@Atlanta FalconsL20-29
Wk 6vsWashington CommandersW23-17
Wk 5@Seattle SeahawksW32-29
Wk 4vsDenver BroncosW24-14

Los Angeles Chargers

Wk 9vsHouston TexansL22-44
Wk 8@Los Angeles RamsL9-24
Wk 6@Kansas City ChiefsL6-22
Wk 5vsDenver BroncosL17-23
Wk 4@Seattle SeahawksL23-30

Players to watch season totals

San Francisco 49ers

  • Brock PurdyQB · #13163/236, 1,980 yds, 17 TD, 5 INT
  • Christian McCaffreyRB · #23102 car, 457 yds, 9 TD
  • George KittleTE · #8538 rec, 483 yds, 5 TD
  • Mike EvansWR · #527 rec, 420 yds, 3 TD

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Justin HerbertQB · #10144/235, 1,591 yds, 6 TD, 11 INT
  • Omarion HamptonRB · #8102 car, 369 yds, 3 TD
  • Tre HarrisWR · #921 rec, 262 yds, 0 TD
  • Oronde Gadsden IITE · #8619 rec, 172 yds, 1 TD

49ers vs. Chargers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of 49ers vs. Chargers?
The ratings project San Francisco 49ers 27, Los Angeles Chargers 19, 45.7 total points.
Who is favored, the 49ers or the Chargers?
The ratings make the 49ers 7.4-point favorites with a 71% chance to win.
When and where is 49ers vs. Chargers?
Thu, Dec 17 · 8:15 PM ET at SoFi Stadium, the Chargers' home field.

More Week 15 predictions

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