PFR

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston TexansWeek 18 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Reliant Stadium · Texans at homeAFC South division game

The ratings project Houston Texans 28, Tennessee Titans 18 (HOU -10.0) and give the Texans a 78% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Titans vs. Texans prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 13
Tennessee Titans

1-7 · No. 32 in the ratings

18
Houston Texans

3-5 · No. 10 in the ratings

28
TEN 22%Win probability78% HOU
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadHOU -10.0——
Total46.6——
Win prob.HOU 78%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 18 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatTENHOU
Record1-73-5
Division4th, AFC S2nd, AFC S
Rating-5.932+2.610
Adj Off19.53125.17
Adj Def25.42722.514
Points per game18.02826.19
Points allowed per game24.92324.018
Playoff odds0%28%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Titans vs. Texans matchup stats season to date

When the Titans have the ball

StatTENoffHOUdef
Yards per pass attempt5.3266.217
Yards per rush4.2194.011
Starting field positionOwn 3021Own 3116
EPA per play-0.07627+0.02018
Adj. EPA per play-0.05828-0.00314
Success rate42.0%2241.3%6
Passing EPA per play-0.06025+0.08418
Rushing EPA per play-0.10318-0.08419
CPOE-0.922-1.78
Explosive play rate7.0%279.2%25
Points per game18.02824.018
Points per drive1.76272.2315
Red zone TD rate56.0%2575.0%30
3rd down conversion36.2%2438.7%13
Turnovers per game1.50221.0024
Sack rate4.4%78.8%2
Penalties per game6.677.514

When the Texans have the ball

StatHOUoffTENdef
Yards per pass attempt7.267.129
Yards per rush3.7304.319
Starting field positionOwn 2927Own 3115
EPA per play+0.0668+0.05926
Adj. EPA per play+0.0428+0.04729
Success rate43.8%1346.3%28
Passing EPA per play+0.1897+0.17426
Rushing EPA per play-0.16125-0.09815
CPOE1.6108.131
Explosive play rate8.8%119.2%24
Points per game26.1924.923
Points per drive2.4692.4927
Red zone TD rate62.9%1865.6%18
3rd down conversion39.8%1343.6%25
Turnovers per game0.5011.3816
Sack rate4.8%106.3%13
Penalties per game8.0238.46

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Titans and Texans recent results

Tennessee Titans

Wk 8@Cincinnati BengalsL36-43OT
Wk 7vsCleveland BrownsL24-27
Wk 6@Indianapolis ColtsW26-20
Wk 5vsHouston TexansL3-26
Wk 4@Baltimore RavensL18-24

Houston Texans

Wk 9@Los Angeles ChargersW44-22
Wk 7vsNew York GiantsL21-27OT
Wk 6NJacksonville JaguarsW34-31
Wk 5@Tennessee TitansW26-3
Wk 4vsDallas CowboysL30-34

Players to watch season totals

Tennessee Titans

  • Cam WardQB · #1155/248, 1,483 yds, 6 TD, 5 INT
  • Tony PollardRB · #20133 car, 595 yds, 6 TD
  • Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · #435 rec, 262 yds, 3 TD
  • Carnell TateWR · #1434 rec, 413 yds, 1 TD

Houston Texans

  • C.J. StroudQB · #7181/282, 2,251 yds, 16 TD, 2 INT
  • Woody MarksRB · #495 car, 341 yds, 2 TD
  • Dalton SchultzTE · #8635 rec, 364 yds, 0 TD
  • Nico CollinsWR · #1228 rec, 384 yds, 4 TD

Titans vs. Texans: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Titans vs. Texans?
The ratings project Tennessee Titans 18, Houston Texans 28, 46.6 total points.
Who is favored, the Titans or the Texans?
The ratings make the Texans 10.0-point favorites with a 78% chance to win.
When and where is Titans vs. Texans?
Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET at Reliant Stadium, the Texans' home field.

More Week 18 predictions

All Week 18 gamesTennessee TitansHouston TexansWeek 5 meeting at TEN