PFR

Buffalo Bills vs. Green Bay PackersWeek 14 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Lambeau Field · Packers at home

The ratings project Buffalo Bills 26, Green Bay Packers 24 (BUF -1.9) and give the Bills a 56% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Bills vs. Packers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 88
Buffalo Bills

7-1 · No. 2 in the ratings

26
Green Bay Packers

6-3 · No. 12 in the ratings

24
BUF 56%Win probability44% GB
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadBUF -1.9——
Total49.6——
Win prob.BUF 56%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 14 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatBUFGB
Record7-16-3
Division1st, AFC E4th, NFC N
Rating+5.82+2.412
Adj Off27.9123.911
Adj Def22.11221.69
Points per game32.0124.012
Points allowed per game23.41621.211
Playoff odds100%63%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Bills vs. Packers matchup stats season to date

When the Bills have the ball

StatBUFoffGBdef
Yards per pass attempt7.535.43
Yards per rush4.884.113
Starting field positionOwn 342Own 296
EPA per play+0.1403-0.0509
Adj. EPA per play+0.0771-0.0327
Success rate47.7%644.4%19
Passing EPA per play+0.2503-0.0275
Rushing EPA per play-0.0014-0.09216
CPOE4.06-1.29
Explosive play rate11.6%17.0%8
Points per game32.0121.211
Points per drive3.0111.866
Red zone TD rate69.0%768.6%21
3rd down conversion43.2%841.7%22
Turnovers per game1.50222.112
Sack rate5.7%176.6%10
Penalties per game8.5306.128

When the Packers have the ball

StatGBoffBUFdef
Yards per pass attempt7.086.013
Yards per rush3.2314.09
Starting field positionOwn 326Own 3118
EPA per play+0.0459+0.01917
Adj. EPA per play+0.02910-0.0318
Success rate40.8%2745.7%25
Passing EPA per play+0.2016+0.07116
Rushing EPA per play-0.25531-0.08617
CPOE1.113-3.54
Explosive play rate9.2%88.5%18
Points per game24.01223.416
Points per drive2.19152.1714
Red zone TD rate58.1%2266.7%20
3rd down conversion37.8%1838.6%12
Turnovers per game1.22141.5010
Sack rate4.4%84.8%23
Penalties per game8.2267.316

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Bills and Packers recent results

Buffalo Bills

Wk 9@Minnesota VikingsW23-6
Wk 8vsBaltimore RavensW36-10
Wk 6@Las Vegas RaidersW33-30
Wk 5@Los Angeles RamsW37-34OT
Wk 4vsNew England PatriotsL26-29

Green Bay Packers

Wk 9@New England PatriotsW45-27
Wk 8vsCarolina PanthersW27-19
Wk 7@Detroit LionsL17-20
Wk 6vsDallas CowboysW23-13
Wk 5vsChicago BearsW31-7

Players to watch season totals

Buffalo Bills

  • Josh AllenQB · #17156/236, 2,027 yds, 12 TD, 6 INT
  • James CookRB · #4169 car, 814 yds, 8 TD
  • Khalil ShakirWR · #1031 rec, 412 yds, 1 TD
  • Dalton KincaidTE · #8630 rec, 429 yds, 2 TD

Green Bay Packers

  • Jordan LoveQB · #10215/341, 2,618 yds, 19 TD, 6 INT
  • MarShawn LloydRB · #3257 car, 149 yds, 2 TD
  • Matthew GoldenWR · #053 rec, 783 yds, 5 TD
  • Christian WatsonWR · #949 rec, 879 yds, 7 TD

Bills vs. Packers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Bills vs. Packers?
The ratings project Buffalo Bills 26, Green Bay Packers 24, 49.6 total points.
Who is favored, the Bills or the Packers?
The ratings make the Bills 1.9-point favorites with a 56% chance to win.
When and where is Bills vs. Packers?
Sun, Dec 13 · 8:20 PM ET at Lambeau Field, the Packers' home field.

More Week 14 predictions

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