PFR

Minnesota Vikings vs. New England PatriotsWeek 14 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Gillette Stadium · Patriots at home

The ratings project New England Patriots 21, Minnesota Vikings 19 (NE -1.3) and give the Patriots a 54% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Vikings vs. Patriots prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 71
Minnesota Vikings

6-2 · No. 13 in the ratings

19
New England Patriots

5-4 · No. 14 in the ratings

21
MIN 46%Win probability54% NE
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadNE -1.3——
Total40.0——
Win prob.NE 54%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 14 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatMINNE
Record6-25-4
Division3rd, NFC N2nd, AFC E
Rating+2.213+1.914
Adj Off20.82624.29
Adj Def18.6122.313
Points per game18.32723.414
Points allowed per game14.5123.015
Playoff odds83%68%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Vikings vs. Patriots matchup stats season to date

When the Vikings have the ball

StatMINoffNEdef
Yards per pass attempt5.2276.723
Yards per rush4.3153.98
Starting field positionOwn 334Own 3013
EPA per play-0.15131+0.04221
Adj. EPA per play-0.07731+0.00919
Success rate37.1%3043.8%17
Passing EPA per play-0.11729+0.14424
Rushing EPA per play-0.20327-0.11811
CPOE-2.9265.130
Explosive play rate7.6%199.3%28
Points per game18.32723.015
Points per drive1.57302.3320
Red zone TD rate52.6%2761.1%13
3rd down conversion33.3%3038.0%11
Turnovers per game1.0080.8927
Sack rate8.0%267.3%6
Penalties per game5.416.425

When the Patriots have the ball

StatNEoffMINdef
Yards per pass attempt7.444.92
Yards per rush4.5114.421
Starting field positionOwn 3023Own 3011
EPA per play+0.04010-0.1681
Adj. EPA per play+0.0309-0.0861
Success rate45.5%1036.7%1
Passing EPA per play+0.1619-0.1831
Rushing EPA per play-0.14924-0.1498
CPOE6.52-6.81
Explosive play rate9.8%58.0%12
Points per game23.41414.51
Points per drive2.10191.471
Red zone TD rate69.4%642.3%1
3rd down conversion40.4%1131.2%3
Turnovers per game2.11301.634
Sack rate5.7%1910.3%1
Penalties per game7.3188.010

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Vikings and Patriots recent results

Minnesota Vikings

Wk 9vsBuffalo BillsL6-23
Wk 8@Detroit LionsL15-19
Wk 7vsIndianapolis ColtsW16-10
Wk 5@New Orleans SaintsW23-13
Wk 4vsMiami DolphinsW15-10

New England Patriots

Wk 9vsGreen Bay PackersL27-45
Wk 8@Miami DolphinsW24-19
Wk 7@Chicago BearsL24-30
Wk 6vsNew York JetsW26-19
Wk 5vsLas Vegas RaidersW45-17

Players to watch season totals

Minnesota Vikings

  • Kyler MurrayQB · #1100/154, 1,022 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT
  • Aaron JonesRB · #33115 car, 474 yds, 2 TD
  • T.J. HockensonTE · #8735 rec, 328 yds, 3 TD
  • Justin JeffersonWR · #1831 rec, 393 yds, 4 TD

New England Patriots

  • Drake MayeQB · #10178/272, 2,282 yds, 18 TD, 11 INT
  • Rhamondre StevensonRB · #38102 car, 399 yds, 2 TD
  • Hunter HenryTE · #8532 rec, 361 yds, 2 TD
  • DeMario DouglasWR · #331 rec, 434 yds, 4 TD

Vikings vs. Patriots: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Vikings vs. Patriots?
The ratings project Minnesota Vikings 19, New England Patriots 21, 40.0 total points.
Who is favored, the Vikings or the Patriots?
The ratings make the Patriots 1.3-point favorites with a 54% chance to win.
When and where is Vikings vs. Patriots?
Thu, Dec 10 · 8:15 PM ET at Gillette Stadium, the Patriots' home field.

More Week 14 predictions

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