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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Baltimore RavensWeek 14 Prediction, Odds and Spread

M&T Bank Stadium · Ravens at home

The ratings project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23, Baltimore Ravens 21 (TB -2.1) and give the Buccaneers a 56% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Buccaneers vs. Ravens prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 55
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3-6 · No. 16 in the ratings

23
Baltimore Ravens

4-5 · No. 19 in the ratings

21
TB 56%Win probability44% BAL
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadTB -2.1——
Total43.9——
Win prob.TB 56%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 14 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatTBBAL
Record3-64-5
Division3rd, NFC S4th, AFC N
Rating+1.616-2.019
Adj Off22.81721.922
Adj Def21.2823.921
Points per game22.41821.022
Points allowed per game19.8726.225
Playoff odds52%8%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Buccaneers vs. Ravens matchup stats season to date

When the Buccaneers have the ball

StatTBoffBALdef
Yards per pass attempt4.8306.725
Yards per rush5.133.74
Starting field positionOwn 335Own 3119
EPA per play-0.10128+0.02419
Adj. EPA per play-0.04727+0.00215
Success rate41.1%2644.7%22
Passing EPA per play-0.16530+0.09620
Rushing EPA per play-0.0278-0.08518
CPOE-3.6271.422
Explosive play rate8.6%147.2%10
Points per game22.41826.225
Points per drive2.04212.3118
Red zone TD rate50.0%2965.7%19
3rd down conversion36.3%2339.0%15
Turnovers per game1.67251.0024
Sack rate8.6%294.9%20
Penalties per game7.0115.432

When the Ravens have the ball

StatBALoffTBdef
Yards per pass attempt6.3156.012
Yards per rush4.873.87
Starting field positionOwn 3117Own 3120
EPA per play-0.01820-0.1602
Adj. EPA per play-0.02221-0.0862
Success rate43.7%1440.3%3
Passing EPA per play+0.03720-0.1472
Rushing EPA per play-0.08615-0.1852
CPOE1.611-2.65
Explosive play rate8.0%166.5%3
Points per game21.02219.87
Points per drive2.23141.834
Red zone TD rate64.7%1348.4%3
3rd down conversion37.8%1734.5%9
Turnovers per game1.22142.221
Sack rate7.5%244.9%21
Penalties per game8.2266.721

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Buccaneers and Ravens recent results

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk 9@Chicago BearsL24-27
Wk 8vsAtlanta FalconsW16-0
Wk 7@Carolina PanthersW43-13
Wk 6vsPittsburgh SteelersL19-26OT
Wk 5@Dallas CowboysW24-16

Baltimore Ravens

Wk 9vsJacksonville JaguarsL10-33
Wk 8@Buffalo BillsL10-36
Wk 7vsCincinnati BengalsL13-35
Wk 6@Cleveland BrownsL10-13
Wk 5@Atlanta FalconsW30-23OT

Players to watch season totals

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Baker MayfieldQB · #686/142, 922 yds, 3 TD, 4 INT
  • Bucky IrvingRB · #7167 car, 825 yds, 7 TD
  • Emeka EgbukaWR · #231 rec, 278 yds, 2 TD
  • Chris Godwin Jr.WR · #1429 rec, 259 yds, 0 TD

Baltimore Ravens

  • Tyler HuntleyQB · #576/110, 727 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
  • Derrick HenryRB · #22175 car, 689 yds, 8 TD
  • Zay FlowersWR · #443 rec, 614 yds, 3 TD
  • Mark AndrewsTE · #8931 rec, 237 yds, 1 TD

Buccaneers vs. Ravens: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Buccaneers vs. Ravens?
The ratings project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23, Baltimore Ravens 21, 43.9 total points.
Who is favored, the Buccaneers or the Ravens?
The ratings make the Buccaneers 2.1-point favorites with a 56% chance to win.
When and where is Buccaneers vs. Ravens?
Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium, the Ravens' home field.

More Week 14 predictions

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