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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati BengalsWeek 14 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Paycor Stadium · Bengals at home

The ratings project Cincinnati Bengals 25, Kansas City Chiefs 23 (CIN -1.8) and give the Bengals a 55% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Chiefs vs. Bengals prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 79
Kansas City Chiefs

6-2 · No. 8 in the ratings

23
Cincinnati Bengals

6-2 · No. 6 in the ratings

25
KC 45%Win probability55% CIN
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadCIN -1.8——
Total48.1——
Win prob.CIN 55%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 14 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatKCCIN
Record6-26-2
Division2nd, AFC W2nd, AFC N
Rating+3.08+3.26
Adj Off23.91126.22
Adj Def20.9523.016
Points per game25.31030.02
Points allowed per game17.9321.914
Playoff odds93%95%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Chiefs vs. Bengals matchup stats season to date

When the Chiefs have the ball

StatKCoffCINdef
Yards per pass attempt7.276.218
Yards per rush5.315.231
Starting field positionOwn 3112Own 271
EPA per play+0.1194+0.00916
Adj. EPA per play+0.0497+0.01621
Success rate48.3%445.0%24
Passing EPA per play+0.14911+0.03813
Rushing EPA per play+0.0732-0.04327
CPOE2.28-0.118
Explosive play rate10.1%49.0%21
Points per game25.31021.914
Points per drive2.35112.1211
Red zone TD rate67.7%1050.0%4
3rd down conversion41.7%947.5%30
Turnovers per game0.7541.634
Sack rate3.6%66.7%9
Penalties per game6.999.12

When the Bengals have the ball

StatCINoffKCdef
Yards per pass attempt7.355.811
Yards per rush4.0243.73
Starting field positionOwn 343Own 3012
EPA per play+0.1442-0.0538
Adj. EPA per play+0.0732-0.0229
Success rate50.8%241.3%7
Passing EPA per play+0.2622+0.02311
Rushing EPA per play-0.10117-0.1755
CPOE9.71-4.33
Explosive play rate8.8%126.6%5
Points per game30.0217.93
Points per drive2.8051.887
Red zone TD rate71.8%450.0%4
3rd down conversion53.6%136.7%10
Turnovers per game1.13121.5010
Sack rate4.5%94.3%31
Penalties per game6.996.523

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Chiefs and Bengals recent results

Kansas City Chiefs

Wk 9vsNew York JetsW35-12
Wk 8@Denver BroncosL24-28
Wk 7@Seattle SeahawksL3-20
Wk 6vsLos Angeles ChargersW22-6
Wk 4@Las Vegas RaidersW30-27

Cincinnati Bengals

Wk 9NAtlanta FalconsW34-17
Wk 8vsTennessee TitansW43-36OT
Wk 7@Baltimore RavensW35-13
Wk 5@Miami DolphinsW31-24
Wk 4vsJacksonville JaguarsL17-22

Players to watch season totals

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Patrick MahomesQB · #15177/263, 2,037 yds, 14 TD, 4 INT
  • Kenneth Walker IIIRB · #9159 car, 872 yds, 7 TD
  • Travis KelceTE · #8733 rec, 482 yds, 2 TD
  • Xavier WorthyWR · #133 rec, 278 yds, 1 TD

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Joe BurrowQB · #9219/296, 2,386 yds, 23 TD, 6 INT
  • Chase BrownRB · #30103 car, 397 yds, 1 TD
  • Ja'Marr ChaseWR · #153 rec, 647 yds, 7 TD
  • Tee HigginsWR · #548 rec, 758 yds, 6 TD

Chiefs vs. Bengals: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Chiefs vs. Bengals?
The ratings project Kansas City Chiefs 23, Cincinnati Bengals 25, 48.1 total points.
Who is favored, the Chiefs or the Bengals?
The ratings make the Bengals 1.8-point favorites with a 55% chance to win.
When and where is Chiefs vs. Bengals?
Sun, Dec 13 · 4:25 PM ET at Paycor Stadium, the Bengals' home field.

More Week 14 predictions

All Week 14 gamesKansas City ChiefsCincinnati Bengals