PFR

Houston Texans vs. Washington CommandersWeek 14 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Northwest Stadium · Commanders at home

The ratings project Houston Texans 26, Washington Commanders 22 (HOU -3.3) and give the Texans a 60% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Texans vs. Commanders prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 57
Houston Texans

3-5 · No. 10 in the ratings

26
Washington Commanders

3-5-1 · No. 21 in the ratings

22
HOU 60%Win probability40% WAS
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadHOU -3.3——
Total47.9——
Win prob.HOU 60%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 14 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatHOUWAS
Record3-53-5-1
Division2nd, AFC S3rd, NFC E
Rating+2.610-2.221
Adj Off25.1722.020
Adj Def22.51424.223
Points per game26.1921.821
Points allowed per game24.01824.820
Playoff odds28%13%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Texans vs. Commanders matchup stats season to date

When the Texans have the ball

StatHOUoffWASdef
Yards per pass attempt7.266.319
Yards per rush3.7304.112
Starting field positionOwn 2927Own 3121
EPA per play+0.0668+0.03720
Adj. EPA per play+0.0428+0.02623
Success rate43.8%1346.0%26
Passing EPA per play+0.1897+0.09019
Rushing EPA per play-0.16125-0.06325
CPOE1.6102.624
Explosive play rate8.8%117.0%9
Points per game26.1924.820
Points per drive2.4692.3219
Red zone TD rate62.9%1874.3%29
3rd down conversion39.8%1339.3%16
Turnovers per game0.5011.568
Sack rate4.8%104.6%27
Penalties per game8.0236.622

When the Commanders have the ball

StatWASoffHOUdef
Yards per pass attempt5.9206.217
Yards per rush4.5104.011
Starting field positionOwn 3024Own 3116
EPA per play-0.01219+0.02018
Adj. EPA per play-0.01318-0.00314
Success rate43.0%1741.3%6
Passing EPA per play+0.05119+0.08418
Rushing EPA per play-0.12620-0.08419
CPOE2.09-1.78
Explosive play rate7.5%229.2%25
Points per game21.82124.018
Points per drive1.90262.2315
Red zone TD rate66.7%1175.0%30
3rd down conversion33.3%3038.7%13
Turnovers per game0.7861.0024
Sack rate5.6%158.8%2
Penalties per game7.2147.514

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Texans and Commanders recent results

Houston Texans

Wk 9@Los Angeles ChargersW44-22
Wk 7vsNew York GiantsL21-27OT
Wk 6NJacksonville JaguarsW34-31
Wk 5@Tennessee TitansW26-3
Wk 4vsDallas CowboysL30-34

Washington Commanders

Wk 10@New York GiantsW24-21
Wk 9vsLos Angeles RamsL13-20
Wk 8vsPhiladelphia EaglesW27-10
Wk 6@San Francisco 49ersL17-23
Wk 5vsNew York GiantsT27-27OT

Players to watch season totals

Houston Texans

  • C.J. StroudQB · #7181/282, 2,251 yds, 16 TD, 2 INT
  • Woody MarksRB · #495 car, 341 yds, 2 TD
  • Dalton SchultzTE · #8635 rec, 364 yds, 0 TD
  • Nico CollinsWR · #1228 rec, 384 yds, 4 TD

Washington Commanders

  • Jayden DanielsQB · #5138/213, 1,499 yds, 10 TD, 2 INT
  • Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · #2267 car, 239 yds, 2 TD
  • Stefon DiggsWR · #336 rec, 386 yds, 6 TD
  • Antonio WilliamsWR · #1428 rec, 326 yds, 2 TD

Texans vs. Commanders: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Texans vs. Commanders?
The ratings project Houston Texans 26, Washington Commanders 22, 47.9 total points.
Who is favored, the Texans or the Commanders?
The ratings make the Texans 3.3-point favorites with a 60% chance to win.
When and where is Texans vs. Commanders?
Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET at Northwest Stadium, the Commanders' home field.

More Week 14 predictions

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