PFR

Atlanta Falcons vs. Cleveland BrownsWeek 14 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Huntington Bank Field · Browns at home

The ratings project Cleveland Browns 21.4, Atlanta Falcons 21.1 (a pick 'em) and give the Browns a 51% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Falcons vs. Browns prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 42
Atlanta Falcons

3-6 · No. 20 in the ratings

21.1
Cleveland Browns

5-4 · No. 26 in the ratings

21.4
ATL 50%Win probability51% CLE
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadPick 'em——
Total42.5——
Win prob.CLE 51%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 14 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatATLCLE
Record3-65-4
Division4th, NFC S3rd, AFC N
Rating-2.120-3.526
Adj Off21.62419.829
Adj Def23.82023.217
Points per game20.92317.929
Points allowed per game24.82021.812
Playoff odds13%22%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Falcons vs. Browns matchup stats season to date

When the Falcons have the ball

StatATLoffCLEdef
Yards per pass attempt6.1195.65
Yards per rush4.944.828
Starting field positionOwn 2832Own 3123
EPA per play-0.06124-0.01911
Adj. EPA per play-0.03124+0.00618
Success rate43.6%1542.7%11
Passing EPA per play-0.10328-0.0109
Rushing EPA per play-0.0085-0.03229
CPOE-6.532-1.010
Explosive play rate8.6%1510.2%32
Points per game20.92321.812
Points per drive2.5481.999
Red zone TD rate62.5%1955.6%9
3rd down conversion34.9%2739.4%17
Turnovers per game1.78271.2218
Sack rate5.2%127.4%5
Penalties per game6.786.128

When the Browns have the ball

StatCLEoffATLdef
Yards per pass attempt5.9216.114
Yards per rush3.9264.623
Starting field positionOwn 2928Own 3429
EPA per play-0.06625+0.00014
Adj. EPA per play-0.04125+0.00215
Success rate42.0%2344.4%21
Passing EPA per play+0.02122+0.05315
Rushing EPA per play-0.22829-0.08220
CPOE-0.6203.425
Explosive play rate7.4%239.2%23
Points per game17.92924.820
Points per drive1.59292.1613
Red zone TD rate—64.9%17
3rd down conversion34.2%2942.6%24
Turnovers per game1.33191.2218
Sack rate10.1%325.5%18
Penalties per game9.1327.219

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Falcons and Browns recent results

Atlanta Falcons

Wk 9NCincinnati BengalsL17-34
Wk 8@Tampa Bay BuccaneersL0-16
Wk 7vsSan Francisco 49ersW29-20
Wk 6vsChicago BearsL23-31
Wk 5vsBaltimore RavensL23-30OT

Cleveland Browns

Wk 9@New Orleans SaintsL22-23OT
Wk 8@Pittsburgh SteelersL6-27
Wk 7@Tennessee TitansW27-24
Wk 6vsBaltimore RavensW13-10
Wk 5@New York JetsL12-17

Players to watch season totals

Atlanta Falcons

  • Michael Penix Jr.QB · #9124/199, 1,444 yds, 10 TD, 6 INT
  • Bijan RobinsonRB · #7169 car, 880 yds, 5 TD
  • Drake LondonWR · #544 rec, 692 yds, 1 TD
  • Kyle PittsTE · #825 rec, 220 yds, 4 TD

Cleveland Browns

  • Deshaun WatsonQB · #4163/249, 1,806 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT
  • Quinshon JudkinsRB · #10116 car, 385 yds, 3 TD
  • Harold Fannin Jr.TE · #4437 rec, 453 yds, 4 TD
  • KC ConcepcionWR · #137 rec, 437 yds, 1 TD

Falcons vs. Browns: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Falcons vs. Browns?
The ratings project Atlanta Falcons 21.1, Cleveland Browns 21.4, 42.5 total points.
Who is favored, the Falcons or the Browns?
The ratings call it a pick 'em.
When and where is Falcons vs. Browns?
Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET at Huntington Bank Field, the Browns' home field.

More Week 14 predictions

All Week 14 gamesAtlanta FalconsCleveland Browns