PFR

Chicago Bears vs. Miami DolphinsWeek 14 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Hard Rock Stadium · Dolphins at home

The ratings project Chicago Bears 25, Miami Dolphins 19 (CHI -6.3) and give the Bears a 69% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Bears vs. Dolphins prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 38
Chicago Bears

7-2 · No. 7 in the ratings

25
Miami Dolphins

1-7 · No. 29 in the ratings

19
CHI 69%Win probability32% MIA
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadCHI -6.3——
Total44.5——
Win prob.CHI 69%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 14 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatCHIMIA
Record7-21-7
Division1st, NFC N4th, AFC E
Rating+3.27-4.629
Adj Off25.2619.332
Adj Def22.01123.921
Points per game26.8715.831
Points allowed per game20.4925.024
Playoff odds84%0%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Bears vs. Dolphins matchup stats season to date

When the Bears have the ball

StatCHIoffMIAdef
Yards per pass attempt6.6127.332
Yards per rush4.4144.214
Starting field positionOwn 3111Own 3731
EPA per play+0.03812+0.11132
Adj. EPA per play+0.02013+0.05231
Success rate47.1%748.4%32
Passing EPA per play+0.11213+0.25531
Rushing EPA per play-0.06211-0.06922
CPOE4.2510.832
Explosive play rate9.1%98.8%19
Points per game26.8725.024
Points per drive2.29122.7432
Red zone TD rate58.7%2162.9%16
3rd down conversion45.3%447.4%29
Turnovers per game2.11300.8829
Sack rate5.4%134.5%29
Penalties per game8.0237.316

When the Dolphins have the ball

StatMIAoffCHIdef
Yards per pass attempt5.7226.926
Yards per rush4.4134.522
Starting field positionOwn 2831Own 3225
EPA per play-0.06726-0.04310
Adj. EPA per play-0.04326-0.01910
Success rate39.2%2940.8%4
Passing EPA per play-0.01524-0.0138
Rushing EPA per play-0.14122-0.09814
CPOE-4.630-0.813
Explosive play rate8.0%179.0%22
Points per game15.83120.49
Points per drive1.70282.2316
Red zone TD rate54.2%2661.8%14
3rd down conversion41.6%1022.8%1
Turnovers per game1.25161.2218
Sack rate8.6%308.0%3
Penalties per game7.5197.415

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Bears and Dolphins recent results

Chicago Bears

Wk 9vsTampa Bay BuccaneersW27-24
Wk 8@Seattle SeahawksW34-17
Wk 7vsNew England PatriotsW30-24
Wk 6@Atlanta FalconsW31-23
Wk 5@Green Bay PackersL7-31

Miami Dolphins

Wk 9vsDetroit LionsL9-19
Wk 8vsNew England PatriotsL19-24
Wk 7@New York JetsW28-25
Wk 5vsCincinnati BengalsL24-31
Wk 4@Minnesota VikingsL10-15

Players to watch season totals

Chicago Bears

  • Caleb WilliamsQB · #18134/195, 1,546 yds, 8 TD, 5 INT
  • D'Andre SwiftRB · #4155 car, 576 yds, 10 TD
  • Luther Burden IIIWR · #1049 rec, 644 yds, 4 TD
  • Colston LovelandTE · #8437 rec, 363 yds, 2 TD

Miami Dolphins

  • Malik WillisQB · #2121/208, 1,396 yds, 6 TD, 6 INT
  • Ollie Gordon IIRB · #0107 car, 463 yds, 4 TD
  • Malik WashingtonWR · #633 rec, 350 yds, 1 TD
  • Greg DulcichTE · #8524 rec, 270 yds, 0 TD

Bears vs. Dolphins: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Bears vs. Dolphins?
The ratings project Chicago Bears 25, Miami Dolphins 19, 44.5 total points.
Who is favored, the Bears or the Dolphins?
The ratings make the Bears 6.3-point favorites with a 69% chance to win.
When and where is Bears vs. Dolphins?
Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET at Hard Rock Stadium, the Dolphins' home field.

More Week 14 predictions

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