PFR

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina PanthersWeek 14 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Bank of America Stadium · Panthers at homeNFC South division game

The ratings project Carolina Panthers 27, New Orleans Saints 24 (CAR -2.5) and give the Panthers a 57% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Saints vs. Panthers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 48
New Orleans Saints

3-5 · No. 24 in the ratings

24
Carolina Panthers

3-5 · No. 22 in the ratings

27
NO 43%Win probability57% CAR
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadCAR -2.5——
Total51.0——
Win prob.CAR 57%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 14 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatNOCAR
Record3-53-5
Division2nd, NFC S1st, NFC S
Rating-3.224-2.322
Adj Off22.41923.316
Adj Def25.62925.629
Points per game23.11524.911
Points allowed per game27.02727.428
Playoff odds15%21%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Saints vs. Panthers matchup stats season to date

When the Saints have the ball

StatNOoffCARdef
Yards per pass attempt5.6235.810
Yards per rush3.8284.726
Starting field positionOwn 3022Own 3224
EPA per play-0.02822+0.05023
Adj. EPA per play-0.02823+0.03225
Success rate42.3%2145.0%23
Passing EPA per play+0.03221+0.12623
Rushing EPA per play-0.14123-0.06624
CPOE-0.219-0.515
Explosive play rate6.2%306.5%4
Points per game23.11527.428
Points per drive2.09202.7031
Red zone TD rate69.0%8—
3rd down conversion43.5%747.7%31
Turnovers per game1.75261.634
Sack rate5.5%143.6%32
Penalties per game6.158.83

When the Panthers have the ball

StatCARoffNOdef
Yards per pass attempt6.2176.724
Yards per rush4.4124.827
Starting field positionOwn 3115Own 3328
EPA per play+0.02613+0.05624
Adj. EPA per play+0.00314+0.04528
Success rate42.5%1947.1%29
Passing EPA per play+0.08317+0.11422
Rushing EPA per play-0.08414-0.03328
CPOE1.1150.720
Explosive play rate8.7%139.3%27
Points per game24.91127.027
Points per drive2.39102.5328
Red zone TD rate69.7%562.5%15
3rd down conversion37.7%1947.2%28
Turnovers per game1.25161.2517
Sack rate7.1%237.2%7
Penalties per game8.8317.316

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Saints and Panthers recent results

New Orleans Saints

Wk 9vsCleveland BrownsW23-22OT
Wk 7NPittsburgh SteelersL10-16
Wk 6@New York GiantsW34-27
Wk 5vsMinnesota VikingsL13-23
Wk 4vsAtlanta FalconsL24-45

Carolina Panthers

Wk 9vsDenver BroncosL21-26
Wk 8@Green Bay PackersL19-27
Wk 7vsTampa Bay BuccaneersL13-43
Wk 6@Philadelphia EaglesW25-14
Wk 4vsDetroit LionsW32-26

Players to watch season totals

New Orleans Saints

  • Tyler ShoughQB · #6204/308, 1,986 yds, 14 TD, 6 INT
  • Kendre MillerRB57 car, 159 yds, 2 TD
  • Chris OlaveWR · #1256 rec, 734 yds, 2 TD
  • Devaughn VeleWR · #1435 rec, 365 yds, 3 TD

Carolina Panthers

  • Bryce YoungQB · #9186/308, 2,197 yds, 16 TD, 6 INT
  • Chuba HubbardRB · #30134 car, 619 yds, 5 TD
  • Tetairoa McMillanWR · #446 rec, 625 yds, 3 TD
  • Jalen CokerWR · #1831 rec, 393 yds, 3 TD

Saints vs. Panthers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Saints vs. Panthers?
The ratings project New Orleans Saints 24, Carolina Panthers 27, 51.0 total points.
Who is favored, the Saints or the Panthers?
The ratings make the Panthers 2.5-point favorites with a 57% chance to win.
When and where is Saints vs. Panthers?
Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET at Bank of America Stadium, the Panthers' home field.

More Week 14 predictions

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