PFR

Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans SaintsWeek 10 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Caesars Superdome · Saints at homeNFC South division game

The ratings project New Orleans Saints 26, Carolina Panthers 25 (NO -0.5) and give the Saints a 52% chance to win. The market line is NO -2.5 with a total of 48.5, so the model is 2.0 points toward the Panthers.

Panthers vs. Saints prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 57
Carolina Panthers

3-5 · No. 22 in the ratings

25
New Orleans Saints

3-5 · No. 24 in the ratings

26
CAR 48%Win probability52% NO
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadNO -0.5NO -2.5CAR +2.0
Total51.048.5Over 2.5
Win prob.NO 52%NO 55%-3 pts
Moneyline—CAR +114 · NO -135

Line as of Fri, Nov 13, 10:09 AM ET. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 10 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatCARNO
Record3-53-5
Division1st, NFC S2nd, NFC S
Rating-2.322-3.224
Adj Off23.31622.419
Adj Def25.62925.629
Points per game24.91123.115
Points allowed per game27.42827.027
Playoff odds21%15%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Panthers vs. Saints matchup stats season to date

When the Panthers have the ball

StatCARoffNOdef
Yards per pass attempt6.2176.724
Yards per rush4.4124.827
Starting field positionOwn 3115Own 3328
EPA per play+0.02613+0.05624
Adj. EPA per play+0.00314+0.04528
Success rate42.5%1947.1%29
Passing EPA per play+0.08317+0.11422
Rushing EPA per play-0.08414-0.03328
CPOE1.1150.720
Explosive play rate8.7%139.3%27
Points per game24.91127.027
Points per drive2.39102.5328
Red zone TD rate69.7%562.5%15
3rd down conversion37.7%1947.2%28
Turnovers per game1.25161.2517
Sack rate7.1%237.2%7
Penalties per game8.8317.316

When the Saints have the ball

StatNOoffCARdef
Yards per pass attempt5.6235.810
Yards per rush3.8284.726
Starting field positionOwn 3022Own 3224
EPA per play-0.02822+0.05023
Adj. EPA per play-0.02823+0.03225
Success rate42.3%2145.0%23
Passing EPA per play+0.03221+0.12623
Rushing EPA per play-0.14123-0.06624
CPOE-0.219-0.515
Explosive play rate6.2%306.5%4
Points per game23.11527.428
Points per drive2.09202.7031
Red zone TD rate69.0%8—
3rd down conversion43.5%747.7%31
Turnovers per game1.75261.634
Sack rate5.5%143.6%32
Penalties per game6.158.83

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Panthers and Saints recent results

Carolina Panthers

Wk 9vsDenver BroncosL21-26
Wk 8@Green Bay PackersL19-27
Wk 7vsTampa Bay BuccaneersL13-43
Wk 6@Philadelphia EaglesW25-14
Wk 4vsDetroit LionsW32-26

New Orleans Saints

Wk 9vsCleveland BrownsW23-22OT
Wk 7NPittsburgh SteelersL10-16
Wk 6@New York GiantsW34-27
Wk 5vsMinnesota VikingsL13-23
Wk 4vsAtlanta FalconsL24-45

Players to watch season totals

Carolina Panthers

  • Bryce YoungQB · #9186/308, 2,197 yds, 16 TD, 6 INT
  • Chuba HubbardRB · #30134 car, 619 yds, 5 TD
  • Tetairoa McMillanWR · #446 rec, 625 yds, 3 TD
  • Jalen CokerWR · #1831 rec, 393 yds, 3 TD

New Orleans Saints

  • Tyler ShoughQB · #6204/308, 1,986 yds, 14 TD, 6 INT
  • Kendre MillerRB57 car, 159 yds, 2 TD
  • Chris OlaveWR · #1256 rec, 734 yds, 2 TD
  • Devaughn VeleWR · #1435 rec, 365 yds, 3 TD

Panthers vs. Saints: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Panthers vs. Saints?
The ratings project Carolina Panthers 25, New Orleans Saints 26, 51.0 total points.
Who is favored, the Panthers or the Saints?
The market favors the Saints by 2.5 points (NO -2.5). The ratings make the Saints 0.5-point favorites with a 52% chance to win.
What is the over/under for Panthers vs. Saints?
The market total is 48.5; the ratings project 51.0 points.
When and where is Panthers vs. Saints?
Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET at Caesars Superdome, the Saints' home field.

More Week 10 predictions

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