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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati BengalsWeek 10 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Paycor Stadium · Bengals at homeAFC North division game

The ratings project Cincinnati Bengals 25, Pittsburgh Steelers 22 (CIN -3.1) and give the Bengals a 60% chance to win. The market line is CIN -3.5 with a total of 49.5, within half a point of the model.

Steelers vs. Bengals prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 71
Pittsburgh Steelers

6-2 · No. 15 in the ratings

22
Cincinnati Bengals

6-2 · No. 6 in the ratings

25
PIT 41%Win probability60% CIN
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadCIN -3.1CIN -3.5PIT +0.4
Total46.849.5Under 2.7
Win prob.CIN 60%CIN 62%-2 pts
Moneyline—PIT +150 · CIN -180

Line as of Fri, Nov 13, 10:09 AM ET. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 10 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatPITCIN
Record6-26-2
Division1st, AFC N2nd, AFC N
Rating+1.615+3.26
Adj Off22.61826.22
Adj Def20.9523.016
Points per game22.51730.02
Points allowed per game18.0421.914
Playoff odds84%95%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Steelers vs. Bengals matchup stats season to date

When the Steelers have the ball

StatPIToffCINdef
Yards per pass attempt5.4256.218
Yards per rush5.225.231
Starting field positionOwn 3118Own 271
EPA per play-0.01118+0.00916
Adj. EPA per play+0.00015+0.01621
Success rate42.8%1845.0%24
Passing EPA per play-0.07226+0.03813
Rushing EPA per play+0.1021-0.04327
CPOE-2.225-0.118
Explosive play rate8.9%109.0%21
Points per game22.51721.914
Points per drive2.16172.1211
Red zone TD rate56.7%2450.0%4
3rd down conversion37.9%1647.5%30
Turnovers per game1.13121.634
Sack rate6.8%216.7%9
Penalties per game5.929.12

When the Bengals have the ball

StatCINoffPITdef
Yards per pass attempt7.355.88
Yards per rush4.0243.85
Starting field positionOwn 343Own 309
EPA per play+0.1442-0.0686
Adj. EPA per play+0.0732-0.01811
Success rate50.8%242.1%10
Passing EPA per play+0.2622-0.0177
Rushing EPA per play-0.10117-0.1676
CPOE9.71-0.911
Explosive play rate8.8%128.2%14
Points per game30.0218.04
Points per drive2.8051.753
Red zone TD rate71.8%450.0%4
3rd down conversion53.6%134.3%7
Turnovers per game1.13121.5010
Sack rate4.5%97.8%4
Penalties per game6.997.813

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Steelers and Bengals recent results

Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk 8vsCleveland BrownsW27-6
Wk 7NNew Orleans SaintsW16-10
Wk 6@Tampa Bay BuccaneersW26-19OT
Wk 5vsIndianapolis ColtsW34-22
Wk 4@Cleveland BrownsL24-27

Cincinnati Bengals

Wk 9NAtlanta FalconsW34-17
Wk 8vsTennessee TitansW43-36OT
Wk 7@Baltimore RavensW35-13
Wk 5@Miami DolphinsW31-24
Wk 4vsJacksonville JaguarsL17-22

Players to watch season totals

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Aaron RodgersQB · #8175/288, 1,871 yds, 13 TD, 6 INT
  • Jaylen WarrenRB · #30119 car, 704 yds, 2 TD
  • DK MetcalfWR · #433 rec, 378 yds, 1 TD
  • Germie BernardWR · #1732 rec, 284 yds, 1 TD

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Joe BurrowQB · #9219/296, 2,386 yds, 23 TD, 6 INT
  • Chase BrownRB · #30103 car, 397 yds, 1 TD
  • Ja'Marr ChaseWR · #153 rec, 647 yds, 7 TD
  • Tee HigginsWR · #548 rec, 758 yds, 6 TD

Steelers vs. Bengals: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Steelers vs. Bengals?
The ratings project Pittsburgh Steelers 22, Cincinnati Bengals 25, 46.8 total points.
Who is favored, the Steelers or the Bengals?
The market favors the Bengals by 3.5 points (CIN -3.5). The ratings make the Bengals 3.1-point favorites with a 60% chance to win.
What is the over/under for Steelers vs. Bengals?
The market total is 49.5; the ratings project 46.8 points.
When and where is Steelers vs. Bengals?
Sun, Nov 15 · 8:20 PM ET at Paycor Stadium, the Bengals' home field.

More Week 10 predictions

All Week 10 gamesPittsburgh SteelersCincinnati BengalsWeek 3 meeting at PIT