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San Francisco 49ers vs. Dallas CowboysWeek 10 Prediction, Odds and Spread

AT&T Stadium · Cowboys at home

The ratings project San Francisco 49ers 27, Dallas Cowboys 24 (SF -3.4) and give the 49ers a 60% chance to win. The market line is SF -3.5 with a total of 55.5, within half a point of the model.

49ers vs. Cowboys prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 69
San Francisco 49ers

7-1 · No. 4 in the ratings

27
Dallas Cowboys

4-5 · No. 17 in the ratings

24
SF 60%Win probability40% DAL
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadSF -3.4SF -3.5DAL +0.1
Total51.155.5Under 4.4
Win prob.SF 60%SF 64%-4 pts
Moneyline—SF -205 · DAL +170

Line as of Fri, Nov 13, 10:09 AM ET. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 10 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatSFDAL
Record7-14-5
Division1st, NFC W2nd, NFC E
Rating+4.34-0.617
Adj Off25.8424.58
Adj Def21.6925.125
Points per game29.4327.36
Points allowed per game19.5626.225
Playoff odds97%26%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

49ers vs. Cowboys matchup stats season to date

When the 49ers have the ball

StatSFoffDALdef
Yards per pass attempt8.016.621
Yards per rush4.955.230
Starting field positionOwn 3113Own 295
EPA per play+0.1641+0.10131
Adj. EPA per play+0.0723+0.05732
Success rate52.5%146.3%27
Passing EPA per play+0.2901+0.18729
Rushing EPA per play-0.0013-0.02830
CPOE4.932.423
Explosive play rate10.7%28.9%20
Points per game29.4326.225
Points per drive2.9522.4826
Red zone TD rate87.9%169.2%23
3rd down conversion51.7%248.3%32
Turnovers per game1.25160.8927
Sack rate2.9%14.7%26
Penalties per game6.369.41

When the Cowboys have the ball

StatDALoffSFdef
Yards per pass attempt6.6115.89
Yards per rush4.0233.41
Starting field positionOwn 3210Own 3227
EPA per play+0.1126-0.0637
Adj. EPA per play+0.0515-0.0356
Success rate47.1%843.4%14
Passing EPA per play+0.1898+0.02412
Rushing EPA per play-0.02710-0.2081
CPOE0.1173.426
Explosive play rate7.4%254.5%1
Points per game27.3619.56
Points per drive2.8642.3320
Red zone TD rate68.3%950.0%4
3rd down conversion45.3%540.4%18
Turnovers per game1.0081.634
Sack rate3.5%54.7%25
Penalties per game8.2266.327

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

49ers and Cowboys recent results

San Francisco 49ers

Wk 9vsLas Vegas RaidersW38-17
Wk 7@Atlanta FalconsL20-29
Wk 6vsWashington CommandersW23-17
Wk 5@Seattle SeahawksW32-29
Wk 4vsDenver BroncosW24-14

Dallas Cowboys

Wk 9@Indianapolis ColtsW27-23
Wk 8vsArizona CardinalsL30-33OT
Wk 7@Philadelphia EaglesW38-21
Wk 6@Green Bay PackersL13-23
Wk 5vsTampa Bay BuccaneersL16-24

Players to watch season totals

San Francisco 49ers

  • Brock PurdyQB · #13163/236, 1,980 yds, 17 TD, 5 INT
  • Christian McCaffreyRB · #23102 car, 457 yds, 9 TD
  • George KittleTE · #8538 rec, 483 yds, 5 TD
  • Mike EvansWR · #527 rec, 420 yds, 3 TD

Dallas Cowboys

  • Dak PrescottQB · #4218/336, 2,381 yds, 16 TD, 5 INT
  • Javonte WilliamsRB · #33154 car, 629 yds, 9 TD
  • CeeDee LambWR · #8870 rec, 904 yds, 7 TD
  • George PickensWR · #339 rec, 533 yds, 2 TD

49ers vs. Cowboys: quick answers

What is the predicted score of 49ers vs. Cowboys?
The ratings project San Francisco 49ers 27, Dallas Cowboys 24, 51.1 total points.
Who is favored, the 49ers or the Cowboys?
The market favors the 49ers by 3.5 points (SF -3.5). The ratings make the 49ers 3.4-point favorites with a 60% chance to win.
What is the over/under for 49ers vs. Cowboys?
The market total is 55.5; the ratings project 51.1 points.
When and where is 49ers vs. Cowboys?
Sun, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM ET at AT&T Stadium, the Cowboys' home field.

More Week 10 predictions

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