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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore RavensWeek 10 Prediction, Odds and Spread

M&T Bank Stadium · Ravens at home

The ratings project Baltimore Ravens 24, Los Angeles Chargers 20 (BAL -4.1) and give the Ravens a 62% chance to win. The market line is BAL -4.5 with a total of 38.5, within half a point of the model.

Chargers vs. Ravens prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 24
Los Angeles Chargers

0-8 · No. 30 in the ratings

20
Baltimore Ravens

4-5 · No. 19 in the ratings

24
LAC 38%Win probability62% BAL
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadBAL -4.1BAL -4.5LAC +0.4
Total44.138.5Over 5.6
Win prob.BAL 62%BAL 66%-3 pts
Moneyline—LAC +180 · BAL -218

Line as of Fri, Nov 13, 10:09 AM ET. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 10 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatLACBAL
Record0-84-5
Division4th, AFC W4th, AFC N
Rating-4.630-2.019
Adj Off19.82921.922
Adj Def24.42423.921
Points per game15.13221.022
Points allowed per game27.42826.225
Playoff odds0%8%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Chargers vs. Ravens matchup stats season to date

When the Chargers have the ball

StatLACoffBALdef
Yards per pass attempt5.2286.725
Yards per rush4.1213.74
Starting field positionOwn 2830Own 3119
EPA per play-0.22032+0.02419
Adj. EPA per play-0.09632+0.00215
Success rate36.2%3244.7%22
Passing EPA per play-0.18931+0.09620
Rushing EPA per play-0.26732-0.08518
CPOE-6.0311.422
Explosive play rate6.8%287.2%10
Points per game15.13226.225
Points per drive1.27322.3118
Red zone TD rate52.4%2865.7%19
3rd down conversion34.2%2839.0%15
Turnovers per game2.38321.0024
Sack rate9.8%314.9%20
Penalties per game8.3295.432

When the Ravens have the ball

StatBALoffLACdef
Yards per pass attempt6.3157.231
Yards per rush4.874.420
Starting field positionOwn 3117Own 3732
EPA per play-0.01820+0.00615
Adj. EPA per play-0.02221-0.01313
Success rate43.7%1444.0%18
Passing EPA per play+0.03720+0.07417
Rushing EPA per play-0.08615-0.07821
CPOE1.6110.821
Explosive play rate8.0%169.2%26
Points per game21.02227.428
Points per drive2.23142.3623
Red zone TD rate64.7%1360.0%11
3rd down conversion37.8%1734.3%8
Turnovers per game1.22141.5010
Sack rate7.5%244.7%24
Penalties per game8.2268.46

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Chargers and Ravens recent results

Los Angeles Chargers

Wk 9vsHouston TexansL22-44
Wk 8@Los Angeles RamsL9-24
Wk 6@Kansas City ChiefsL6-22
Wk 5vsDenver BroncosL17-23
Wk 4@Seattle SeahawksL23-30

Baltimore Ravens

Wk 9vsJacksonville JaguarsL10-33
Wk 8@Buffalo BillsL10-36
Wk 7vsCincinnati BengalsL13-35
Wk 6@Cleveland BrownsL10-13
Wk 5@Atlanta FalconsW30-23OT

Players to watch season totals

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Justin HerbertQB · #10144/235, 1,591 yds, 6 TD, 11 INT
  • Omarion HamptonRB · #8102 car, 369 yds, 3 TD
  • Tre HarrisWR · #921 rec, 262 yds, 0 TD
  • Oronde Gadsden IITE · #8619 rec, 172 yds, 1 TD

Baltimore Ravens

  • Tyler HuntleyQB · #576/110, 727 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
  • Derrick HenryRB · #22175 car, 689 yds, 8 TD
  • Zay FlowersWR · #443 rec, 614 yds, 3 TD
  • Mark AndrewsTE · #8931 rec, 237 yds, 1 TD

Chargers vs. Ravens: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Chargers vs. Ravens?
The ratings project Los Angeles Chargers 20, Baltimore Ravens 24, 44.1 total points.
Who is favored, the Chargers or the Ravens?
The market favors the Ravens by 4.5 points (BAL -4.5). The ratings make the Ravens 4.1-point favorites with a 62% chance to win.
What is the over/under for Chargers vs. Ravens?
The market total is 38.5; the ratings project 44.1 points.
When and where is Chargers vs. Ravens?
Mon, Nov 16 · 8:15 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium, the Ravens' home field.

More Week 10 predictions

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