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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee TitansWeek 10 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Nissan Stadium · Titans at homeAFC South division game

The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 28, Tennessee Titans 16 (JAX -11.9) and give the Jaguars a 82% chance to win. The market line is JAX -10.5 with a total of 46.5, so the model is 1.4 points toward the Jaguars.

Jaguars vs. Titans prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 18
Jacksonville Jaguars

6-2 · No. 1 in the ratings

28
Tennessee Titans

1-7 · No. 32 in the ratings

16
JAX 82%Win probability18% TEN
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadJAX -11.9JAX -10.5JAX +1.4
Total44.046.5Under 2.5
Win prob.JAX 82%JAX 83%-1 pts
Moneyline—JAX -650 · TEN +470

Line as of Fri, Nov 13, 10:09 AM ET. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 10 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatJAXTEN
Record6-21-7
Division1st, AFC S4th, AFC S
Rating+7.41-5.932
Adj Off26.2219.531
Adj Def18.8225.427
Points per game28.6418.028
Points allowed per game15.1224.923
Playoff odds99%0%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Jaguars vs. Titans matchup stats season to date

When the Jaguars have the ball

StatJAXoffTENdef
Yards per pass attempt7.627.129
Yards per rush4.2184.319
Starting field positionOwn 328Own 3115
EPA per play+0.1135+0.05926
Adj. EPA per play+0.0564+0.04729
Success rate46.3%946.3%28
Passing EPA per play+0.2315+0.17426
Rushing EPA per play-0.0279-0.09815
CPOE2.478.131
Explosive play rate9.5%69.2%24
Points per game28.6424.923
Points per drive2.7272.4927
Red zone TD rate75.8%265.6%18
3rd down conversion46.4%343.6%25
Turnovers per game0.7541.3816
Sack rate4.9%116.3%13
Penalties per game7.3178.46

When the Titans have the ball

StatTENoffJAXdef
Yards per pass attempt5.3266.622
Yards per rush4.2193.86
Starting field positionOwn 3021Own 298
EPA per play-0.07627-0.1093
Adj. EPA per play-0.05828-0.0663
Success rate42.0%2241.1%5
Passing EPA per play-0.06025-0.0673
Rushing EPA per play-0.10318-0.1843
CPOE-0.9224.328
Explosive play rate7.0%276.8%6
Points per game18.02815.12
Points per drive1.76272.1612
Red zone TD rate56.0%2550.0%4
3rd down conversion36.2%2434.0%6
Turnovers per game1.50221.883
Sack rate4.4%75.1%19
Penalties per game6.678.83

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Jaguars and Titans recent results

Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk 9@Baltimore RavensW33-10
Wk 8vsIndianapolis ColtsW42-7
Wk 6NHouston TexansL31-34
Wk 5NPhiladelphia EaglesW19-17
Wk 4@Cincinnati BengalsW22-17

Tennessee Titans

Wk 8@Cincinnati BengalsL36-43OT
Wk 7vsCleveland BrownsL24-27
Wk 6@Indianapolis ColtsW26-20
Wk 5vsHouston TexansL3-26
Wk 4@Baltimore RavensL18-24

Players to watch season totals

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Trevor LawrenceQB · #16146/224, 1,932 yds, 18 TD, 4 INT
  • Bhayshul TutenRB · #33122 car, 521 yds, 4 TD
  • Brenton StrangeTE · #8530 rec, 356 yds, 1 TD
  • Parker WashingtonWR · #1129 rec, 493 yds, 5 TD

Tennessee Titans

  • Cam WardQB · #1155/248, 1,483 yds, 6 TD, 5 INT
  • Tony PollardRB · #20133 car, 595 yds, 6 TD
  • Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · #435 rec, 262 yds, 3 TD
  • Carnell TateWR · #1434 rec, 413 yds, 1 TD

Jaguars vs. Titans: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Jaguars vs. Titans?
The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 28, Tennessee Titans 16, 44.0 total points.
Who is favored, the Jaguars or the Titans?
The market favors the Jaguars by 10.5 points (JAX -10.5). The ratings make the Jaguars 11.9-point favorites with a 82% chance to win.
What is the over/under for Jaguars vs. Titans?
The market total is 46.5; the ratings project 44.0 points.
When and where is Jaguars vs. Titans?
Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET at Nissan Stadium, the Titans' home field.

More Week 10 predictions

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