PFR

Carolina Panthers vs. Pittsburgh SteelersWeek 16 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Acrisure Stadium · Steelers at home

The ratings project Pittsburgh Steelers 26, Carolina Panthers 21 (PIT -5.4) and give the Steelers a 66% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Panthers vs. Steelers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 48
Carolina Panthers

3-5 · No. 22 in the ratings

21
Pittsburgh Steelers

6-2 · No. 15 in the ratings

26
CAR 34%Win probability66% PIT
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadPIT -5.4——
Total46.5——
Win prob.PIT 66%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 16 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatCARPIT
Record3-56-2
Division1st, NFC S1st, AFC N
Rating-2.322+1.615
Adj Off23.31622.618
Adj Def25.62920.95
Points per game24.91122.517
Points allowed per game27.42818.04
Playoff odds21%84%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Panthers vs. Steelers matchup stats season to date

When the Panthers have the ball

StatCARoffPITdef
Yards per pass attempt6.2175.88
Yards per rush4.4123.85
Starting field positionOwn 3115Own 309
EPA per play+0.02613-0.0686
Adj. EPA per play+0.00314-0.01811
Success rate42.5%1942.1%10
Passing EPA per play+0.08317-0.0177
Rushing EPA per play-0.08414-0.1676
CPOE1.115-0.911
Explosive play rate8.7%138.2%14
Points per game24.91118.04
Points per drive2.39101.753
Red zone TD rate69.7%550.0%4
3rd down conversion37.7%1934.3%7
Turnovers per game1.25161.5010
Sack rate7.1%237.8%4
Penalties per game8.8317.813

When the Steelers have the ball

StatPIToffCARdef
Yards per pass attempt5.4255.810
Yards per rush5.224.726
Starting field positionOwn 3118Own 3224
EPA per play-0.01118+0.05023
Adj. EPA per play+0.00015+0.03225
Success rate42.8%1845.0%23
Passing EPA per play-0.07226+0.12623
Rushing EPA per play+0.1021-0.06624
CPOE-2.225-0.515
Explosive play rate8.9%106.5%4
Points per game22.51727.428
Points per drive2.16172.7031
Red zone TD rate56.7%24—
3rd down conversion37.9%1647.7%31
Turnovers per game1.13121.634
Sack rate6.8%213.6%32
Penalties per game5.928.83

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Panthers and Steelers recent results

Carolina Panthers

Wk 9vsDenver BroncosL21-26
Wk 8@Green Bay PackersL19-27
Wk 7vsTampa Bay BuccaneersL13-43
Wk 6@Philadelphia EaglesW25-14
Wk 4vsDetroit LionsW32-26

Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk 8vsCleveland BrownsW27-6
Wk 7NNew Orleans SaintsW16-10
Wk 6@Tampa Bay BuccaneersW26-19OT
Wk 5vsIndianapolis ColtsW34-22
Wk 4@Cleveland BrownsL24-27

Players to watch season totals

Carolina Panthers

  • Bryce YoungQB · #9186/308, 2,197 yds, 16 TD, 6 INT
  • Chuba HubbardRB · #30134 car, 619 yds, 5 TD
  • Tetairoa McMillanWR · #446 rec, 625 yds, 3 TD
  • Jalen CokerWR · #1831 rec, 393 yds, 3 TD

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Aaron RodgersQB · #8175/288, 1,871 yds, 13 TD, 6 INT
  • Jaylen WarrenRB · #30119 car, 704 yds, 2 TD
  • DK MetcalfWR · #433 rec, 378 yds, 1 TD
  • Germie BernardWR · #1732 rec, 284 yds, 1 TD

Panthers vs. Steelers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Panthers vs. Steelers?
The ratings project Carolina Panthers 21, Pittsburgh Steelers 26, 46.5 total points.
Who is favored, the Panthers or the Steelers?
The ratings make the Steelers 5.4-point favorites with a 66% chance to win.
When and where is Panthers vs. Steelers?
Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET at Acrisure Stadium, the Steelers' home field.

More Week 16 predictions

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