Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago BearsWeek 16 Prediction, Odds and Spread
Soldier Field · Bears at homeNFC North division game
The ratings project Chicago Bears 25, Green Bay Packers 22 (CHI -2.4) and give the Bears a 57% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.
Packers vs. Bears prediction: score, spread and over/under
Projected scoreThrill 85
Green Bay Packers
226-3 · No. 12 in the ratings
Chicago Bears
257-2 · No. 7 in the ratings
GB 43%Win probability57% CHI
| vs. marketPrediction vs. the market | Model | Market | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -2.4 | — | — |
| Total | 46.8 | — | — |
| Win prob.probability | CHI 57% | — | — |
| Moneyline | — | — | |
No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 16 lines · How the projections work
Tale of the tape season to date
| Stat | GB | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-3 | 7-2 |
| Division | 4th, NFC N | 1st, NFC N |
| Rating | +2.412 | +3.27 |
| Adj Off | 23.911 | 25.26 |
| Adj Def | 21.69 | 22.011 |
| Points per game | 24.012 | 26.87 |
| Points allowed per game | 21.211 | 20.49 |
| Playoff odds | 63% | 84% |
Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.
Packers vs. Bears matchup stats season to date
When the Packers have the ball
| Stat | GBoff | CHIdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.08 | 6.926 |
| Yards per rush | 3.231 | 4.522 |
| Starting field position | Own 326 | Own 3225 |
| EPA per play | +0.0459 | -0.04310 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.02910 | -0.01910 |
| Success rate | 40.8%27 | 40.8%4 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.2016 | -0.0138 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.25531 | -0.09814 |
| CPOE | 1.113 | -0.813 |
| Explosive play rate | 9.2%8 | 9.0%22 |
| Points per game | 24.012 | 20.49 |
| Points per drive | 2.1915 | 2.2316 |
| Red zone TD rate | 58.1%22 | 61.8%14 |
| 3rd down conversion | 37.8%18 | 22.8%1 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.2214 | 1.2218 |
| Sack rate | 4.4%8 | 8.0%3 |
| Penalties per game | 8.226 | 7.415 |
When the Bears have the ball
| Stat | CHIoff | GBdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 6.612 | 5.43 |
| Yards per rush | 4.414 | 4.113 |
| Starting field position | Own 3111 | Own 296 |
| EPA per play | +0.03812 | -0.0509 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.02013 | -0.0327 |
| Success rate | 47.1%7 | 44.4%19 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.11213 | -0.0275 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.06211 | -0.09216 |
| CPOE | 4.25 | -1.29 |
| Explosive play rate | 9.1%9 | 7.0%8 |
| Points per game | 26.87 | 21.211 |
| Points per drive | 2.2912 | 1.866 |
| Red zone TD rate | 58.7%21 | 68.6%21 |
| 3rd down conversion | 45.3%4 | 41.7%22 |
| Turnovers per game | 2.1130 | 2.112 |
| Sack rate | 5.4%13 | 6.6%10 |
| Penalties per game | 8.023 | 6.128 |
Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.
Packers and Bears recent results
Players to watch season totals
Green Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · #10215/341, 2,618 yds, 19 TD, 6 INT
- MarShawn LloydRB · #3257 car, 149 yds, 2 TD
- Matthew GoldenWR · #053 rec, 783 yds, 5 TD
- Christian WatsonWR · #949 rec, 879 yds, 7 TD
Chicago Bears
- Caleb WilliamsQB · #18134/195, 1,546 yds, 8 TD, 5 INT
- D'Andre SwiftRB · #4155 car, 576 yds, 10 TD
- Luther Burden IIIWR · #1049 rec, 644 yds, 4 TD
- Colston LovelandTE · #8437 rec, 363 yds, 2 TD
Packers vs. Bears: quick answers
- What is the predicted score of Packers vs. Bears?
- The ratings project Green Bay Packers 22, Chicago Bears 25, 46.8 total points.
- Who is favored, the Packers or the Bears?
- The ratings make the Bears 2.4-point favorites with a 57% chance to win.
- When and where is Packers vs. Bears?
- Fri, Dec 25 · 1:00 PM ET at Soldier Field, the Bears' home field.
More Week 16 predictions
- Houston Texans vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos
- Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks
- Arizona Cardinals vs. New Orleans Saints
- Carolina Panthers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts
- Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Los Angeles Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins
- New England Patriots vs. New York Jets
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Washington Commanders vs. Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans vs. Las Vegas Raiders
- San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Dallas Cowboys
- New York Giants vs. Detroit Lions
All Week 16 gamesGreen Bay PackersChicago BearsWeek 5 meeting at GB