PFR

Arizona Cardinals vs. New Orleans SaintsWeek 16 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Caesars Superdome · Saints at home

The ratings project New Orleans Saints 26, Arizona Cardinals 23 (NO -2.6) and give the Saints a 58% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Cardinals vs. Saints prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 39
Arizona Cardinals

3-6 · No. 28 in the ratings

23
New Orleans Saints

3-5 · No. 24 in the ratings

26
ARI 42%Win probability58% NO
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadNO -2.6——
Total49.1——
Win prob.NO 58%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 16 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatARINO
Record3-63-5
Division4th, NFC W2nd, NFC S
Rating-4.428-3.224
Adj Off21.32522.419
Adj Def25.73125.629
Points per game19.82623.115
Points allowed per game28.33127.027
Playoff odds1%15%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Cardinals vs. Saints matchup stats season to date

When the Cardinals have the ball

StatARIoffNOdef
Yards per pass attempt5.1296.724
Yards per rush4.2204.827
Starting field positionOwn 3026Own 3328
EPA per play-0.01921+0.05624
Adj. EPA per play-0.01720+0.04528
Success rate44.0%1247.1%29
Passing EPA per play+0.01323+0.11422
Rushing EPA per play-0.07813-0.03328
CPOE1.1140.720
Explosive play rate5.3%319.3%27
Points per game19.82627.027
Points per drive1.94252.5328
Red zone TD rate46.0%3162.5%15
3rd down conversion38.0%1547.2%28
Turnovers per game1.0081.2517
Sack rate5.6%167.2%7
Penalties per game7.6207.316

When the Saints have the ball

StatNOoffARIdef
Yards per pass attempt5.6236.927
Yards per rush3.8284.318
Starting field positionOwn 3022Own 3122
EPA per play-0.02822+0.08529
Adj. EPA per play-0.02823+0.03926
Success rate42.3%2143.6%15
Passing EPA per play+0.03221+0.27632
Rushing EPA per play-0.14123-0.1567
CPOE-0.219-0.714
Explosive play rate6.2%308.3%15
Points per game23.11528.331
Points per drive2.09202.6229
Red zone TD rate69.0%873.2%27
3rd down conversion43.5%740.7%20
Turnovers per game1.75260.7830
Sack rate5.5%146.0%15
Penalties per game6.156.425

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Cardinals and Saints recent results

Arizona Cardinals

Wk 9@Seattle SeahawksL3-17
Wk 8@Dallas CowboysW33-30OT
Wk 7vsDenver BroncosL16-30
Wk 6@Los Angeles RamsW18-16
Wk 5vsDetroit LionsL21-45

New Orleans Saints

Wk 9vsCleveland BrownsW23-22OT
Wk 7NPittsburgh SteelersL10-16
Wk 6@New York GiantsW34-27
Wk 5vsMinnesota VikingsL13-23
Wk 4vsAtlanta FalconsL24-45

Players to watch season totals

Arizona Cardinals

  • Jacoby BrissettQB193/305, 1,719 yds, 10 TD, 7 INT
  • Tyler AllgeierRB · #2289 car, 369 yds, 2 TD
  • Trey McBrideTE · #8573 rec, 598 yds, 5 TD
  • Michael WilsonWR · #1451 rec, 546 yds, 2 TD

New Orleans Saints

  • Tyler ShoughQB · #6204/308, 1,986 yds, 14 TD, 6 INT
  • Kendre MillerRB57 car, 159 yds, 2 TD
  • Chris OlaveWR · #1256 rec, 734 yds, 2 TD
  • Devaughn VeleWR · #1435 rec, 365 yds, 3 TD

Cardinals vs. Saints: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Cardinals vs. Saints?
The ratings project Arizona Cardinals 23, New Orleans Saints 26, 49.1 total points.
Who is favored, the Cardinals or the Saints?
The ratings make the Saints 2.6-point favorites with a 58% chance to win.
When and where is Cardinals vs. Saints?
Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET at Caesars Superdome, the Saints' home field.

More Week 16 predictions

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