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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Dallas CowboysWeek 16 Prediction, Odds and Spread

AT&T Stadium · Cowboys at home

The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 28, Dallas Cowboys 21 (JAX -6.5) and give the Jaguars a 69% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Jaguars vs. Cowboys prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 67
Jacksonville Jaguars

6-2 · No. 1 in the ratings

28
Dallas Cowboys

4-5 · No. 17 in the ratings

21
JAX 69%Win probability31% DAL
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadJAX -6.5——
Total48.7——
Win prob.JAX 69%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 16 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatJAXDAL
Record6-24-5
Division1st, AFC S2nd, NFC E
Rating+7.41-0.617
Adj Off26.2224.58
Adj Def18.8225.125
Points per game28.6427.36
Points allowed per game15.1226.225
Playoff odds99%26%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Jaguars vs. Cowboys matchup stats season to date

When the Jaguars have the ball

StatJAXoffDALdef
Yards per pass attempt7.626.621
Yards per rush4.2185.230
Starting field positionOwn 328Own 295
EPA per play+0.1135+0.10131
Adj. EPA per play+0.0564+0.05732
Success rate46.3%946.3%27
Passing EPA per play+0.2315+0.18729
Rushing EPA per play-0.0279-0.02830
CPOE2.472.423
Explosive play rate9.5%68.9%20
Points per game28.6426.225
Points per drive2.7272.4826
Red zone TD rate75.8%269.2%23
3rd down conversion46.4%348.3%32
Turnovers per game0.7540.8927
Sack rate4.9%114.7%26
Penalties per game7.3179.41

When the Cowboys have the ball

StatDALoffJAXdef
Yards per pass attempt6.6116.622
Yards per rush4.0233.86
Starting field positionOwn 3210Own 298
EPA per play+0.1126-0.1093
Adj. EPA per play+0.0515-0.0663
Success rate47.1%841.1%5
Passing EPA per play+0.1898-0.0673
Rushing EPA per play-0.02710-0.1843
CPOE0.1174.328
Explosive play rate7.4%256.8%6
Points per game27.3615.12
Points per drive2.8642.1612
Red zone TD rate68.3%950.0%4
3rd down conversion45.3%534.0%6
Turnovers per game1.0081.883
Sack rate3.5%55.1%19
Penalties per game8.2268.83

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Jaguars and Cowboys recent results

Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk 9@Baltimore RavensW33-10
Wk 8vsIndianapolis ColtsW42-7
Wk 6NHouston TexansL31-34
Wk 5NPhiladelphia EaglesW19-17
Wk 4@Cincinnati BengalsW22-17

Dallas Cowboys

Wk 9@Indianapolis ColtsW27-23
Wk 8vsArizona CardinalsL30-33OT
Wk 7@Philadelphia EaglesW38-21
Wk 6@Green Bay PackersL13-23
Wk 5vsTampa Bay BuccaneersL16-24

Players to watch season totals

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Trevor LawrenceQB · #16146/224, 1,932 yds, 18 TD, 4 INT
  • Bhayshul TutenRB · #33122 car, 521 yds, 4 TD
  • Brenton StrangeTE · #8530 rec, 356 yds, 1 TD
  • Parker WashingtonWR · #1129 rec, 493 yds, 5 TD

Dallas Cowboys

  • Dak PrescottQB · #4218/336, 2,381 yds, 16 TD, 5 INT
  • Javonte WilliamsRB · #33154 car, 629 yds, 9 TD
  • CeeDee LambWR · #8870 rec, 904 yds, 7 TD
  • George PickensWR · #339 rec, 533 yds, 2 TD

Jaguars vs. Cowboys: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Jaguars vs. Cowboys?
The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 28, Dallas Cowboys 21, 48.7 total points.
Who is favored, the Jaguars or the Cowboys?
The ratings make the Jaguars 6.5-point favorites with a 69% chance to win.
When and where is Jaguars vs. Cowboys?
Sun, Dec 27 · 8:20 PM ET at AT&T Stadium, the Cowboys' home field.

More Week 16 predictions

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