PFR

New York Giants vs. Detroit LionsWeek 16 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Ford Field · Lions at home

The ratings project Detroit Lions 26, New York Giants 21 (DET -5.6) and give the Lions a 67% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Giants vs. Lions prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 56
New York Giants

5-3-1 · No. 18 in the ratings

21
Detroit Lions

6-2 · No. 9 in the ratings

26
NYG 33%Win probability67% DET
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadDET -5.6——
Total47.0——
Win prob.DET 67%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 16 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatNYGDET
Record5-3-16-2
Division1st, NFC E2nd, NFC N
Rating-1.418+2.89
Adj Off21.82325.35
Adj Def23.21722.615
Points per game22.61627.85
Points allowed per game21.81223.617
Playoff odds63%82%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Giants vs. Lions matchup stats season to date

When the Giants have the ball

StatNYGoffDETdef
Yards per pass attempt6.2166.116
Yards per rush4.1224.316
Starting field positionOwn 3020Own 282
EPA per play+0.02614+0.08630
Adj. EPA per play-0.00917+0.02422
Success rate41.9%2544.4%20
Passing EPA per play+0.12312+0.17527
Rushing EPA per play-0.11619-0.11512
CPOE-1.1233.527
Explosive play rate7.9%189.5%29
Points per game22.61623.617
Points per drive2.01242.3320
Red zone TD rate66.7%1168.6%21
3rd down conversion39.7%1444.4%27
Turnovers per game1.44201.0024
Sack rate7.8%257.1%8
Penalties per game7.2146.523

When the Lions have the ball

StatDEToffNYGdef
Yards per pass attempt6.9105.54
Yards per rush4.694.725
Starting field positionOwn 328Own 283
EPA per play+0.1047-0.01012
Adj. EPA per play+0.0506+0.00517
Success rate48.8%343.0%13
Passing EPA per play+0.2374+0.05114
Rushing EPA per play-0.07712-0.10813
CPOE1.412-2.36
Explosive play rate10.4%37.9%11
Points per game27.8521.812
Points per drive2.7461.9910
Red zone TD rate64.1%1682.1%31
3rd down conversion37.2%2138.8%14
Turnovers per game0.6321.4414
Sack rate6.1%204.8%22
Penalties per game7.0117.219

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Giants and Lions recent results

New York Giants

Wk 10vsWashington CommandersL21-24
Wk 9@Philadelphia EaglesW19-11
Wk 7@Houston TexansW27-21OT
Wk 6vsNew Orleans SaintsL27-34
Wk 5@Washington CommandersT27-27OT

Detroit Lions

Wk 9@Miami DolphinsW19-9
Wk 8vsMinnesota VikingsW19-15
Wk 7vsGreen Bay PackersW20-17
Wk 5@Arizona CardinalsW45-21
Wk 4@Carolina PanthersL26-32

Players to watch season totals

New York Giants

  • Jameis WinstonQB · #1996/166, 1,028 yds, 8 TD, 5 INT
  • Cam SkatteboRB · #44116 car, 496 yds, 4 TD
  • Malik NabersWR · #158 rec, 692 yds, 2 TD
  • Isaiah LikelyTE · #955 rec, 575 yds, 7 TD

Detroit Lions

  • Jared GoffQB · #16185/273, 2,134 yds, 15 TD, 2 INT
  • Jahmyr GibbsRB · #0177 car, 847 yds, 9 TD
  • Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · #1461 rec, 657 yds, 5 TD
  • Sam LaPortaTE · #8735 rec, 399 yds, 3 TD

Giants vs. Lions: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Giants vs. Lions?
The ratings project New York Giants 21, Detroit Lions 26, 47.0 total points.
Who is favored, the Giants or the Lions?
The ratings make the Lions 5.6-point favorites with a 67% chance to win.
When and where is Giants vs. Lions?
Mon, Dec 28 · 8:15 PM ET at Ford Field, the Lions' home field.

More Week 16 predictions

All Week 16 gamesNew York GiantsDetroit Lions