Houston Texans vs. Philadelphia EaglesWeek 16 Prediction, Odds and Spread
Lincoln Financial Field · Eagles at home
The ratings project Houston Texans 25, Philadelphia Eagles 20 (HOU -4.4) and give the Texans a 63% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.
Texans vs. Eagles prediction: score, spread and over/under
Projected scoreThrill 45
Houston Texans
253-5 · No. 10 in the ratings
Philadelphia Eagles
202-7 · No. 25 in the ratings
HOU 63%Win probability37% PHI
| vs. marketPrediction vs. the market | Model | Market | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -4.4 | — | — |
| Total | 44.9 | — | — |
| Win prob.probability | HOU 63% | — | — |
| Moneyline | — | — | |
No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 16 lines · How the projections work
Tale of the tape season to date
| Stat | HOU | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-5 | 2-7 |
| Division | 2nd, AFC S | 4th, NFC E |
| Rating | +2.610 | -3.325 |
| Adj Off | 25.17 | 19.928 |
| Adj Def | 22.514 | 23.319 |
| Points per game | 26.19 | 16.430 |
| Points allowed per game | 24.018 | 24.619 |
| Playoff odds | 28% | 1% |
Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.
Texans vs. Eagles matchup stats season to date
When the Texans have the ball
| Stat | HOUoff | PHIdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.26 | 6.420 |
| Yards per rush | 3.730 | 4.215 |
| Starting field position | Own 2927 | Own 3014 |
| EPA per play | +0.0668 | +0.07727 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.0428 | +0.02824 |
| Success rate | 43.8%13 | 43.8%16 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.1897 | +0.15125 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.16125 | -0.02331 |
| CPOE | 1.610 | -0.912 |
| Explosive play rate | 8.8%11 | 8.4%17 |
| Points per game | 26.19 | 24.619 |
| Points per drive | 2.469 | 2.2817 |
| Red zone TD rate | 62.9%18 | 60.5%12 |
| 3rd down conversion | 39.8%13 | 40.6%19 |
| Turnovers per game | 0.501 | 0.4432 |
| Sack rate | 4.8%10 | 4.5%30 |
| Penalties per game | 8.023 | 8.75 |
When the Eagles have the ball
| Stat | PHIoff | HOUdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 4.732 | 6.217 |
| Yards per rush | 3.829 | 4.011 |
| Starting field position | Own 3025 | Own 3116 |
| EPA per play | -0.11329 | +0.02018 |
| Adj. EPA per play | -0.05929 | -0.00314 |
| Success rate | 36.3%31 | 41.3%6 |
| Passing EPA per play | -0.08727 | +0.08418 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.16226 | -0.08419 |
| CPOE | -3.628 | -1.78 |
| Explosive play rate | 4.6%32 | 9.2%25 |
| Points per game | 16.430 | 24.018 |
| Points per drive | 1.5331 | 2.2315 |
| Red zone TD rate | 75.0%3 | 75.0%30 |
| 3rd down conversion | 35.9%25 | 38.7%13 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.1111 | 1.0024 |
| Sack rate | 8.1%27 | 8.8%2 |
| Penalties per game | 7.113 | 7.514 |
Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.
Texans and Eagles recent results
Players to watch season totals
Houston Texans
- C.J. StroudQB · #7181/282, 2,251 yds, 16 TD, 2 INT
- Woody MarksRB · #495 car, 341 yds, 2 TD
- Dalton SchultzTE · #8635 rec, 364 yds, 0 TD
- Nico CollinsWR · #1228 rec, 384 yds, 4 TD
Philadelphia Eagles
- Jalen HurtsQB · #189/154, 933 yds, 8 TD, 3 INT
- Saquon BarkleyRB · #2669 car, 296 yds, 3 TD
- Makai LemonWR · #937 rec, 312 yds, 1 TD
- Dallas GoedertTE · #8831 rec, 308 yds, 2 TD
Texans vs. Eagles: quick answers
- What is the predicted score of Texans vs. Eagles?
- The ratings project Houston Texans 25, Philadelphia Eagles 20, 44.9 total points.
- Who is favored, the Texans or the Eagles?
- The ratings make the Texans 4.4-point favorites with a 63% chance to win.
- When and where is Texans vs. Eagles?
- Thu, Dec 24 · 8:15 PM ET at Lincoln Financial Field, the Eagles' home field.
More Week 16 predictions
- Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
- Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos
- Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks
- Arizona Cardinals vs. New Orleans Saints
- Carolina Panthers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts
- Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Los Angeles Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins
- New England Patriots vs. New York Jets
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Washington Commanders vs. Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans vs. Las Vegas Raiders
- San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Dallas Cowboys
- New York Giants vs. Detroit Lions