PFR

New England Patriots vs. New York JetsWeek 16 Prediction, Odds and Spread

MetLife Stadium · Jets at homeAFC East division game

The ratings project New England Patriots 26, New York Jets 20 (NE -5.5) and give the Patriots a 66% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Patriots vs. Jets prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 27
New England Patriots

5-4 · No. 14 in the ratings

26
New York Jets

2-7 · No. 31 in the ratings

20
NE 66%Win probability34% NYJ
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadNE -5.5——
Total46.3——
Win prob.NE 66%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 16 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatNENYJ
Record5-42-7
Division2nd, AFC E3rd, AFC E
Rating+1.914-5.131
Adj Off24.2920.327
Adj Def22.31325.427
Points per game23.41420.225
Points allowed per game23.01524.820
Playoff odds68%0%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Patriots vs. Jets matchup stats season to date

When the Patriots have the ball

StatNEoffNYJdef
Yards per pass attempt7.446.115
Yards per rush4.5114.317
Starting field positionOwn 3023Own 3117
EPA per play+0.04010+0.05825
Adj. EPA per play+0.0309+0.04327
Success rate45.5%1047.2%30
Passing EPA per play+0.1619+0.19530
Rushing EPA per play-0.14924-0.12210
CPOE6.52-0.019
Explosive play rate9.8%58.3%16
Points per game23.41424.820
Points per drive2.10192.4525
Red zone TD rate69.4%671.0%25
3rd down conversion40.4%1142.3%23
Turnovers per game2.11301.1122
Sack rate5.7%196.6%11
Penalties per game7.3185.631

When the Jets have the ball

StatNYJoffNEdef
Yards per pass attempt6.1186.723
Yards per rush4.3163.98
Starting field positionOwn 327Own 3013
EPA per play+0.00317+0.04221
Adj. EPA per play-0.02422+0.00919
Success rate44.6%1143.8%17
Passing EPA per play+0.09415+0.14424
Rushing EPA per play-0.13721-0.11811
CPOE4.245.130
Explosive play rate9.3%79.3%28
Points per game20.22523.015
Points per drive2.02222.3320
Red zone TD rate50.0%2961.1%13
3rd down conversion35.4%2638.0%11
Turnovers per game0.7860.8927
Sack rate8.5%287.3%6
Penalties per game8.1256.425

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Patriots and Jets recent results

New England Patriots

Wk 9vsGreen Bay PackersL27-45
Wk 8@Miami DolphinsW24-19
Wk 7@Chicago BearsL24-30
Wk 6vsNew York JetsW26-19
Wk 5vsLas Vegas RaidersW45-17

New York Jets

Wk 9@Kansas City ChiefsL12-35
Wk 8vsLas Vegas RaidersL33-38
Wk 7vsMiami DolphinsL25-28
Wk 6@New England PatriotsL19-26
Wk 5vsCleveland BrownsW17-12

Players to watch season totals

New England Patriots

  • Drake MayeQB · #10178/272, 2,282 yds, 18 TD, 11 INT
  • Rhamondre StevensonRB · #38102 car, 399 yds, 2 TD
  • Hunter HenryTE · #8532 rec, 361 yds, 2 TD
  • DeMario DouglasWR · #331 rec, 434 yds, 4 TD

New York Jets

  • Geno SmithQB · #7183/271, 2,078 yds, 12 TD, 3 INT
  • Braelon AllenRB · #0120 car, 598 yds, 3 TD
  • Garrett WilsonWR · #543 rec, 527 yds, 3 TD
  • Kenyon SadiqTE · #1621 rec, 235 yds, 1 TD

Patriots vs. Jets: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Patriots vs. Jets?
The ratings project New England Patriots 26, New York Jets 20, 46.3 total points.
Who is favored, the Patriots or the Jets?
The ratings make the Patriots 5.5-point favorites with a 66% chance to win.
When and where is Patriots vs. Jets?
Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET at MetLife Stadium, the Jets' home field.

More Week 16 predictions

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