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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis ColtsWeek 16 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Lucas Oil Stadium · Colts at home

The ratings project Cincinnati Bengals 28, Indianapolis Colts 23 (CIN -4.8) and give the Bengals a 64% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Bengals vs. Colts prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 47
Cincinnati Bengals

6-2 · No. 6 in the ratings

28
Indianapolis Colts

2-7 · No. 23 in the ratings

23
CIN 64%Win probability36% IND
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadCIN -4.8——
Total50.4——
Win prob.CIN 64%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 16 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatCININD
Record6-22-7
Division2nd, AFC N3rd, AFC S
Rating+3.26-3.023
Adj Off26.2222.020
Adj Def23.01625.125
Points per game30.0220.424
Points allowed per game21.91427.730
Playoff odds95%0%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Bengals vs. Colts matchup stats season to date

When the Bengals have the ball

StatCINoffINDdef
Yards per pass attempt7.357.230
Yards per rush4.0245.229
Starting field positionOwn 343Own 3226
EPA per play+0.1442+0.05022
Adj. EPA per play+0.0732+0.01420
Success rate50.8%242.8%12
Passing EPA per play+0.2622+0.10121
Rushing EPA per play-0.10117-0.02032
CPOE9.71-2.37
Explosive play rate8.8%129.9%30
Points per game30.0227.730
Points per drive2.8052.4024
Red zone TD rate71.8%473.5%28
3rd down conversion53.6%132.4%5
Turnovers per game1.13120.6731
Sack rate4.5%95.9%16
Penalties per game6.997.812

When the Colts have the ball

StatINDoffCINdef
Yards per pass attempt4.8316.218
Yards per rush4.3175.231
Starting field positionOwn 3116Own 271
EPA per play-0.11830+0.00916
Adj. EPA per play-0.06130+0.01621
Success rate42.3%2045.0%24
Passing EPA per play-0.18932+0.03813
Rushing EPA per play-0.0136-0.04327
CPOE-4.129-0.118
Explosive play rate7.6%209.0%21
Points per game20.42421.914
Points per drive2.15182.1211
Red zone TD rate63.0%1750.0%4
3rd down conversion36.9%2247.5%30
Turnovers per game1.89291.634
Sack rate7.1%226.7%9
Penalties per game6.039.12

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Bengals and Colts recent results

Cincinnati Bengals

Wk 9NAtlanta FalconsW34-17
Wk 8vsTennessee TitansW43-36OT
Wk 7@Baltimore RavensW35-13
Wk 5@Miami DolphinsW31-24
Wk 4vsJacksonville JaguarsL17-22

Indianapolis Colts

Wk 9vsDallas CowboysL23-27
Wk 8@Jacksonville JaguarsL7-42
Wk 7@Minnesota VikingsL10-16
Wk 6vsTennessee TitansL20-26
Wk 5@Pittsburgh SteelersL22-34

Players to watch season totals

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Joe BurrowQB · #9219/296, 2,386 yds, 23 TD, 6 INT
  • Chase BrownRB · #30103 car, 397 yds, 1 TD
  • Ja'Marr ChaseWR · #153 rec, 647 yds, 7 TD
  • Tee HigginsWR · #548 rec, 758 yds, 6 TD

Indianapolis Colts

  • Daniel JonesQB · #17182/302, 1,722 yds, 6 TD, 10 INT
  • Jonathan TaylorRB · #28161 car, 656 yds, 8 TD
  • Keenan AllenWR40 rec, 351 yds, 1 TD
  • Tyler WarrenTE · #8438 rec, 275 yds, 2 TD

Bengals vs. Colts: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Bengals vs. Colts?
The ratings project Cincinnati Bengals 28, Indianapolis Colts 23, 50.4 total points.
Who is favored, the Bengals or the Colts?
The ratings make the Bengals 4.8-point favorites with a 64% chance to win.
When and where is Bengals vs. Colts?
Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium, the Colts' home field.

More Week 16 predictions

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